EOG's Best Bet thread for Tuesday, March 10
- Thread starter winkyduck
- Start date
winkyduck
TYVM Morgan William!!!
Pinny
543 Brooklyn Nets +11.5 -108
Kane got +12. Good job. This is the mother of all flat spots for the Lakers. Friday - Host the Bucks. Sunday at Clippers. Today host Nets. Thursday host Houston. Sunday host Denver
Look over that schedule and it is soooooo easy to see this being a massive flat spot for the Lakers. I'll add one more thing. I fully expect someone like AD or LeBron to sit out this game. Perfect spot to do so and if that happens this line instantly goes to +10 for the Nets. Or less. Lakers will win but I'm not sure by 12+. If you like the Nets TAKE THEM NOW because I don't expect the game to tip off with a number anywhere near +11.5
FWIW: I also like Ov6.5 the most and Tampa Bay -112 in the same game at the Leaves on Frozen Ice
543 Brooklyn Nets +11.5 -108
Kane got +12. Good job. This is the mother of all flat spots for the Lakers. Friday - Host the Bucks. Sunday at Clippers. Today host Nets. Thursday host Houston. Sunday host Denver
Look over that schedule and it is soooooo easy to see this being a massive flat spot for the Lakers. I'll add one more thing. I fully expect someone like AD or LeBron to sit out this game. Perfect spot to do so and if that happens this line instantly goes to +10 for the Nets. Or less. Lakers will win but I'm not sure by 12+. If you like the Nets TAKE THEM NOW because I don't expect the game to tip off with a number anywhere near +11.5
FWIW: I also like Ov6.5 the most and Tampa Bay -112 in the same game at the Leaves on Frozen Ice
KevinStott11
EOG Veteran
>Posting Monday for Tuesday spot for Tuesday game...
Tuesday, March 10, 2020—308352 Prairie View A&M -13 -105 (BetOnline)
6:30 pm EDT/3:30 pm PDT (ESPN3, WatchESPN)—The SWAC Conference Tournament tips off this week with #1 seed Prairie View A&M (18-13 SU, 16-13 ATS) facing the #8 seed Alabama A&M (8-21 SU, 18-11 ATS) at William J. Nicks Building in Prairie View, TX on Tuesday in this Quarterfinal with the remaining Rounds to be played at Bartow Arena in Birmingham, AL. PVAM (14-4 in SWAC) are 13-point Home chalks here with the Total currently in a 131 to 132 range Offshore. KenPom.com has Alabama A&M ranked #343 of 353 DI teams with PV at #215.
When they met in Alabama (Attendance 796), the Panthers (5-5 ATS at Home) won 69-54 after trailing by 3 at Halftime (ALA A&M 29 PV 26), so Prairie View will remember that bad first 20 minutes and play more like the top-seed it is here. In their last meeting in Dixie, Prairie View defeated Alabama State, 73-62, this time only leading by 2 at Half on March 2, so, beware of the First Half market in this only lifeline to the Big Dance for the Bulldogs.
Senior Gerard Andrus (14.9 ppg, 5.4 rpg) and Prairie View (11-0 SU at Home) have L4 ATS and twice in a row SU in 3 straight Overs. But the Under is 8-2 the L10 Bulldogs (ALA A&M) games and the last meeting between the two went Under by 13½ points. Cameron Alford (12.4 ppg, 5.6 rpg) and Alabama A&M have W3 ATS and have a nice ATS mark (18-11).
But With Andrus, Devonte Patterson (15.9 ppg), Darrus Williams (11.0 ppg) and Antione Lister (7.3 ppg), Prairie View (9-6-1 ATS L16 as a Favorite) and the Home Site a focused effort should be expected by the team that fought so hard to win the SWAC Regular Season title. Another ticket-punching battle with (#2-seed) Southern may be looming on the SWAC-y horizon in Birmingham on Saturday.
Tuesday, March 10, 2020—308352 Prairie View A&M -13 -105 (BetOnline)
6:30 pm EDT/3:30 pm PDT (ESPN3, WatchESPN)—The SWAC Conference Tournament tips off this week with #1 seed Prairie View A&M (18-13 SU, 16-13 ATS) facing the #8 seed Alabama A&M (8-21 SU, 18-11 ATS) at William J. Nicks Building in Prairie View, TX on Tuesday in this Quarterfinal with the remaining Rounds to be played at Bartow Arena in Birmingham, AL. PVAM (14-4 in SWAC) are 13-point Home chalks here with the Total currently in a 131 to 132 range Offshore. KenPom.com has Alabama A&M ranked #343 of 353 DI teams with PV at #215.
When they met in Alabama (Attendance 796), the Panthers (5-5 ATS at Home) won 69-54 after trailing by 3 at Halftime (ALA A&M 29 PV 26), so Prairie View will remember that bad first 20 minutes and play more like the top-seed it is here. In their last meeting in Dixie, Prairie View defeated Alabama State, 73-62, this time only leading by 2 at Half on March 2, so, beware of the First Half market in this only lifeline to the Big Dance for the Bulldogs.
But With Andrus, Devonte Patterson (15.9 ppg), Darrus Williams (11.0 ppg) and Antione Lister (7.3 ppg), Prairie View (9-6-1 ATS L16 as a Favorite) and the Home Site a focused effort should be expected by the team that fought so hard to win the SWAC Regular Season title. Another ticket-punching battle with (#2-seed) Southern may be looming on the SWAC-y horizon in Birmingham on Saturday.
Prairie View A&M 70 Alabama A&M 52
winkyduck
TYVM Morgan William!!!
Line down to +10 because now word is out LeBron might sit. That couldn't have been a shock to (m)any out there. There is no reason to play him knowing who they played the last 2 games and who the next 2 games are
Monday was a brutal scheduling spot for the Avs against the Kings and most sharps saw that and hit the Kings who easily won 3-1 in a game that was pretty much a 60-minute rocking chair winner
KevinStott11
EOG Veteran
>Posting Tuesday for Wednesday spot for Wednesday match...
Wednesday, March 11, 2020—224242 Liverpool-Atlético Madrid Under 2½ -116 (Pinnacle)
4 pm EDT/1 pm PDT (TNT, Watch TNT, B/R Live, UniMás, Univision Now, TUDN en Vivo, TUDN USA)—These are the Strange Days where Fear runs amok and the woman on CNBC speculates on Oil hitting $3 a barrel just months after Gasoline was around $3 a gallon. There is New World Order, and then there is New World Chaos. And when people have lost their gourd and are wearing Masks, stockpiling Toilet Paper and Hand Sanitizer and talking about Oil at $3 a barrel, one can’t help but notice. Neither Saudi Arabia nor Russia seem to care In The Year Of COVID-19 and poor (Royal Dutch) Shell ($35.34) and Marathon ($3.68) may end up paying the ultimate corporate price. Time will tell. With friends like Saudi Arabia and Russia, what could possibly go wrong?
“A few months ago we were dancing on OPEC’s grave, arguing that the US was going to change the global world order in the energy complex—Continental (Resources) has gone from 25 (dollars a share) to $7. I mean, how is that impacting you personally and what leverage does the US possibly have against either the Russians or the Saudis?” —Carl Quintanilla CNBC, March 10
On Wednesday at Anfield (GrassMaster), in Liverpool, England, the Reds host La Liga side Atlético Madrid in Leg 2 of their UEFA Champions League Round of 16 series in a spot that actually sees the hosts coming in a bit cold. In Leg 1 on Feb. 16 at Wanda Metropolitano Stadium in Madrid, Atléti won 1-0 as MF Saul Niguez scored in the 4th minute then nothing happened the rest of the way.
After seeing its long Winning Streak ended by Watford, Liverpool were shut out and eliminated by Chelsea 2-0 in the FA Cup last week before edging AFC Bournemouth, 2-1 early Saturday in EPL play. So Mo Salah and the defending European and soon-to-be EPL champions have scored just 2 goals in their L3 fixtures and seem to be tired. The good news for LFC Manager Klopp is that key cog Jordan Henderson will be back in the fold for this return leg which finds the Reds down 0-1 aggregate and fearing a Road goal from Los Rojiblancos.
This kind of nervous mentality could lead to tentativeness and despite the long Win Streak(s), Liverpool haven’t been clicking on he attack and now are in a spot where they need to score first or face the COVID-19-like Fear of being down 0-2 aggregate with the Spanish visitors sitting on a Road Goal. There were 7 NYSE rallies during The Spanish Flu way, way back in 1918-20 when Gasoline was just 25 cents a gallon—more than the Inflation-adjusted 2020 price of $3.73/gallon—when young Automobiles looked like Jeeps. We will survive.
There are no Circuit Breakers on the way up, so somewhere down the line, the DJIA will have routine +1,1111 days as The Machine continues its algorithmic and robot-like trading and the NYSE starts another march forth up again toward the hallowed 30,000 mark. For LFC, simply turning on the Scoring Switch has been a task in 2019/20, and with so much Pressure on, I see Atlético scoring at Anfield and playing enough Defense to eliminate the defending UCL champions. Liverpool is very tired and in its biggest match of the calendar year.
Wednesday, March 11, 2020—224242 Liverpool-Atlético Madrid Under 2½ -116 (Pinnacle)
4 pm EDT/1 pm PDT (TNT, Watch TNT, B/R Live, UniMás, Univision Now, TUDN en Vivo, TUDN USA)—These are the Strange Days where Fear runs amok and the woman on CNBC speculates on Oil hitting $3 a barrel just months after Gasoline was around $3 a gallon. There is New World Order, and then there is New World Chaos. And when people have lost their gourd and are wearing Masks, stockpiling Toilet Paper and Hand Sanitizer and talking about Oil at $3 a barrel, one can’t help but notice. Neither Saudi Arabia nor Russia seem to care In The Year Of COVID-19 and poor (Royal Dutch) Shell ($35.34) and Marathon ($3.68) may end up paying the ultimate corporate price. Time will tell. With friends like Saudi Arabia and Russia, what could possibly go wrong?
“A few months ago we were dancing on OPEC’s grave, arguing that the US was going to change the global world order in the energy complex—Continental (Resources) has gone from 25 (dollars a share) to $7. I mean, how is that impacting you personally and what leverage does the US possibly have against either the Russians or the Saudis?” —Carl Quintanilla CNBC, March 10
On Wednesday at Anfield (GrassMaster), in Liverpool, England, the Reds host La Liga side Atlético Madrid in Leg 2 of their UEFA Champions League Round of 16 series in a spot that actually sees the hosts coming in a bit cold. In Leg 1 on Feb. 16 at Wanda Metropolitano Stadium in Madrid, Atléti won 1-0 as MF Saul Niguez scored in the 4th minute then nothing happened the rest of the way.
After seeing its long Winning Streak ended by Watford, Liverpool were shut out and eliminated by Chelsea 2-0 in the FA Cup last week before edging AFC Bournemouth, 2-1 early Saturday in EPL play. So Mo Salah and the defending European and soon-to-be EPL champions have scored just 2 goals in their L3 fixtures and seem to be tired. The good news for LFC Manager Klopp is that key cog Jordan Henderson will be back in the fold for this return leg which finds the Reds down 0-1 aggregate and fearing a Road goal from Los Rojiblancos.
This kind of nervous mentality could lead to tentativeness and despite the long Win Streak(s), Liverpool haven’t been clicking on he attack and now are in a spot where they need to score first or face the COVID-19-like Fear of being down 0-2 aggregate with the Spanish visitors sitting on a Road Goal. There were 7 NYSE rallies during The Spanish Flu way, way back in 1918-20 when Gasoline was just 25 cents a gallon—more than the Inflation-adjusted 2020 price of $3.73/gallon—when young Automobiles looked like Jeeps. We will survive.
There are no Circuit Breakers on the way up, so somewhere down the line, the DJIA will have routine +1,1111 days as The Machine continues its algorithmic and robot-like trading and the NYSE starts another march forth up again toward the hallowed 30,000 mark. For LFC, simply turning on the Scoring Switch has been a task in 2019/20, and with so much Pressure on, I see Atlético scoring at Anfield and playing enough Defense to eliminate the defending UCL champions. Liverpool is very tired and in its biggest match of the calendar year.
Liverpool 1 Atlético Madrid 1
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WCC Final: 619 St. Mary's +9.5 (-110) at Coast Casinos
winkyduck
TYVM Morgan William!!!
I have no idea what I am going to do with this game. Or IF I am going to do anything with this game
Liverpool is +102 to advance. The AM TT is 0.5 with Un +112..................For anyone who thinks Liverpool will Advance taking +112 on the AM TT Under is the better play because if AM scores then Liverpool has to score (at least) 3 to Advance and that is not happening. Only way Liverpool Advance is with a clean sheet.
Taking AM +1 -108 should get you a PUSH at worst. If Liverpool score a goal then 1 more puts them thru. AM knows this and will be fine going to Extra Time and whatever happens in Extra Time doesn't affect +1.
This will be a fascinating game with all of the nuances involved. I have Man City +400+ to win the CL so seeing Liverpool gone makes that a tad better. I also wouldn't mind seeing Liverpool gone because there is one game I have big time circled on their schedule and if they are gone from the CL that will allow me to make a play on one of their games that I might not be able to make if they are still in it (NO - I will NOT say what that play is although if you look at their schedule it should be somewhat obvious)
jimmythegreek
The opening odds start here
8352 Prairie View A&M -12.5 -115 (S&O)
Best of luck, JIMMY.
Scoreboard update to be published later tonight.
Scoreboard update to be published later tonight.
Good luck! Thank you for the winner last night!!!
Patrick McIrish
OCCams raZOR
541 Phoenix +4 (-105)
WA (Like my last ex-wife...... WIDELY AVAILABLE!!!)
Suns 127-107
(accidently put this in Monday thread, ignore that one)
WA (Like my last ex-wife...... WIDELY AVAILABLE!!!)
Suns 127-107
(accidently put this in Monday thread, ignore that one)
Neveragain
EOG Dedicated
Nashville@Canadiens total over 5½ +101
Sportsrmylife
EOG Master
541 phoenix +4.5 -110
widely available
widely available
My bad....playing V-Tech.
Bigrunner
EOG Master
Knocked this one out of the park. Thanks!>Posting Monday for Tuesday spot for Tuesday game...
Tuesday, March 10, 2020—308352 Prairie View A&M -13 -105 (BetOnline)
6:30 pm EDT/3:30 pm PDT (ESPN3, WatchESPN)—The SWAC Conference Tournament tips off this week with #1 seed Prairie View A&M (18-13 SU, 16-13 ATS) facing the #8 seed Alabama A&M (8-21 SU, 18-11 ATS) at William J. Nicks Building in Prairie View, TX on Tuesday in this Quarterfinal with the remaining Rounds to be played at Bartow Arena in Birmingham, AL. PVAM (14-4 in SWAC) are 13-point Home chalks here with the Total currently in a 131 to 132 range Offshore. KenPom.com has Alabama A&M ranked #343 of 353 DI teams with PV at #215.
When they met in Alabama (Attendance 796), the Panthers (5-5 ATS at Home) won 69-54 after trailing by 3 at Halftime (ALA A&M 29 PV 26), so Prairie View will remember that bad first 20 minutes and play more like the top-seed it is here. In their last meeting in Dixie, Prairie View defeated Alabama State, 73-62, this time only leading by 2 at Half on March 2, so, beware of the First Half market in this only lifeline to the Big Dance for the Bulldogs.
Senior Gerard Andrus (14.9 ppg, 5.4 rpg) and Prairie View (11-0 SU at Home) have L4 ATS and twice in a row SU in 3 straight Overs. But the Under is 8-2 the L10 Bulldogs (ALA A&M) games and the last meeting between the two went Under by 13½ points. Cameron Alford (12.4 ppg, 5.6 rpg) and Alabama A&M have W3 ATS and have a nice ATS mark (18-11).
But With Andrus, Devonte Patterson (15.9 ppg), Darrus Williams (11.0 ppg) and Antione Lister (7.3 ppg), Prairie View (9-6-1 ATS L16 as a Favorite) and the Home Site a focused effort should be expected by the team that fought so hard to win the SWAC Regular Season title. Another ticket-punching battle with (#2-seed) Southern may be looming on the SWAC-y horizon in Birmingham on Saturday.
Prairie View A&M 70 Alabama A&M 52
puckhandler
EOG Dedicated
live wager
Detroit Red Wings ml +208 vs Carolina pinnaclesports
wager made 1st intermission...score tied 1-1
Detroit Red Wings ml +208 vs Carolina pinnaclesports
wager made 1st intermission...score tied 1-1
Birdie, would you handicap a game differently if no fans are allowed in the arena? ...Ivies, Big West ?and MAAC may cancel ticket sales for division playoffs.
NC Tar Heels win 78 -56F against VTech. Finally reversed my losing streak
KevinStott11
EOG Veteran
>Posting Tuesday night for Thursday spot for early Thursday game with 27½’s out there...
Thursday, March 12, 0 C.V.—774 New Mexico State -27½ -110 (BetOnline)
3 pm EDT/12 pm PDT (ESPN+, WatchESPN)—This will be the last chance to fade Chicago State, with the #8 seed Cougars facing #1-seed New Mexico State (NMS -27½, 132½, BetOnline) up the street here in rainy Paradise, Nevada at the Orleans Arena on Thursday in their third meeting of the season. Sometimes certain Picks (and wagers) can’t be measured in Art and/or Science and are just automatic backs or fades based on the bettor’s previous experiences and perceptions of a given Sports Betting Team/League/Totals Approach.
Hybrid handicappers also have auto-Fades, and fading Chicago State, while the Cougars are still a D1 team—both 1st Half and Full Game—has been my Winter foundation in writing and betting, although when games are Postponed, Fades become impossible and previews go unpublished because of COVID-19 and Fear of Travel and potential weak finances. So, no more Chicago State and time to start looking toward MLB, along with Soccer, maybe the best Parlay sport although odds have become insane and Run Line returns have been squeezed to death by Bean Counters over the years.
So why is Chicago State (L19 SU) the #8 seed when it finished last in the WAC you axed? Because, because, because, because because ... because Regular Season 2nd-place finishers California-Baptist (21-10 SU, 10-6 in WAC) are ineligible to participate—the 2nd of a 4-year Transition period where the Lancers can’t play in the WAC Tournament which is held here in Sin City. Cal-Baptist can, and will get an invitation from either the CBI or CIT tourneys with that impressive Record and 20-Win season in Riverside.
Anyway, New Mexico State (25-6 SU, 13-16 ATS) has W19 SU heading into this Quarterfinal and beat CSU, 71-49 in their last meeting in Deep Dish City, failing to cover as 23½-point Chalks (L 146/132, Palace Station), barely getting the cheese in the 1H market (NMS 34 CSU 17) as 13-point Favorites (W 200/181.80, Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook) in Chicago. I wrote “lucky” in my notes that day. The Aggies won 93-54 in Las Cruces on Jan 9....flow, how one thing passes into another, how everything and everyone are connected...
The Trends show that Trevelin Queen (13.5 ppg, pictured above), Johnny McCants (6.7 rpg), Terell Brown and NMS—without G Al Harris (3.6 apg) who is Out for the Season with a Hand injury—have W4 ATS after losing its previous 4 ATS and the Aggies have played 3 straight Overs after 4 consecutive Unders. Perennial WAC champions NMS (W7-8 WAC Tourneys) walloped CSU in this same game (#1 vs #8) last year (March 14, 2019) at the Orleans, 86-49. Chicago State (4-25 SU, 9-17 ATS) is 4-11 ATS in its L15, L3 ATS straight before canceling games at virus-infected Seattle and at UTRGV. The Under is 14-5 the L19 Cougars games (73.7%). Vaya con Miguel Pence. I am seeing the number "19" everywhere here.
Like last year, NMS (#7 in Rebound Margin, +8 rpg) should get up big early in this game—he first in the Bracket in the ugly building with gold Crocodile Handles—and Rust may be a big issue for Chicago State (#332, -5 rpg) who haven’t played in a meaningful game since Leap Day, Feb. 29. The Fear will prevent me from wagering on or attending this early dribble so I will probably have to listen to this Basketball game on the Radio from the little hole inside my Oak Tree here.
Even Peanut Vendors can be The Grim Reaper these strange days where a fucking fruit bat accidentally forced an Oil Price War and we watch helplessly like we have any idea what happens next. It once seemed like a reality show. Now it seems like Egg Shells are everywhere.
Thursday, March 12, 0 C.V.—774 New Mexico State -27½ -110 (BetOnline)
3 pm EDT/12 pm PDT (ESPN+, WatchESPN)—This will be the last chance to fade Chicago State, with the #8 seed Cougars facing #1-seed New Mexico State (NMS -27½, 132½, BetOnline) up the street here in rainy Paradise, Nevada at the Orleans Arena on Thursday in their third meeting of the season. Sometimes certain Picks (and wagers) can’t be measured in Art and/or Science and are just automatic backs or fades based on the bettor’s previous experiences and perceptions of a given Sports Betting Team/League/Totals Approach.
Hybrid handicappers also have auto-Fades, and fading Chicago State, while the Cougars are still a D1 team—both 1st Half and Full Game—has been my Winter foundation in writing and betting, although when games are Postponed, Fades become impossible and previews go unpublished because of COVID-19 and Fear of Travel and potential weak finances. So, no more Chicago State and time to start looking toward MLB, along with Soccer, maybe the best Parlay sport although odds have become insane and Run Line returns have been squeezed to death by Bean Counters over the years.
Anyway, New Mexico State (25-6 SU, 13-16 ATS) has W19 SU heading into this Quarterfinal and beat CSU, 71-49 in their last meeting in Deep Dish City, failing to cover as 23½-point Chalks (L 146/132, Palace Station), barely getting the cheese in the 1H market (NMS 34 CSU 17) as 13-point Favorites (W 200/181.80, Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook) in Chicago. I wrote “lucky” in my notes that day. The Aggies won 93-54 in Las Cruces on Jan 9....flow, how one thing passes into another, how everything and everyone are connected...
Like last year, NMS (#7 in Rebound Margin, +8 rpg) should get up big early in this game—he first in the Bracket in the ugly building with gold Crocodile Handles—and Rust may be a big issue for Chicago State (#332, -5 rpg) who haven’t played in a meaningful game since Leap Day, Feb. 29. The Fear will prevent me from wagering on or attending this early dribble so I will probably have to listen to this Basketball game on the Radio from the little hole inside my Oak Tree here.
New Mexico State 90 Chicago State 57
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Well done winky and the dude who picked prairie view
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winkyduck
TYVM Morgan William!!!
Kevin was Prairie View
Thanks for the Nets kudos but Kane also gets some - he posted them Monday as his BB today. We DM'd each other and both saw this as a very big flat spot for the Lakers. Never thought they would lose SU, though. If AD hits that Trey at the buzzer they steal a game they probably shouldn't have won
Great job, men.
Compiling the scoreboard now.
Compiling the scoreboard now.
railbird
EOG Master
Akron is affected the most. 1.25 pts.
railbird
EOG Master
winner 64-63 in OT