EOG's Best Bet thread for Tuesday, October 8

KevinStott11

EOG Veteran
Tuesday, October 8, 2019—2 Penguins -143 (BetOnline)

7 pm ET/4 pm PT (NHL Center Ice—Cox Las Vegas Channels 674, 675)—Even with C Evgeni Malkin (Lower Body) out, the Penguins (1-1) are the solid call here over the Jets (1-2) on Tuesday with the game at PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh and all the Trends pointing to backing the hosts, with Pittsburgh 46-16 vs Winnipeg since 1996 (+28.7 units) and 27-4 the L31 in The Steel City.

Winnipeg has played 3 games so far with a robust 24 goals scored (10 GF-14 GA) in its games, an average of 8.0 gpg with 10, 9 and 5 goals—the latter an Under—after 8- and 9-goal games to end the NHL Preseason. But alas, oddsmakers have put a 6½ on the board Bubba Gump, the highest Total we usually see in the NHL Regular Season, save for the rare 7. And there almost have to be Goals here with the Jets allowing 4.67 gpg (#28) and Pittsburgh going Over the Total itself as it defeated Columbus on Saturday, 7-2—another team the Penguins have dominated of late (PITT 21-5 L26). Head on a swivel as we plod through this current Fear And Loathing In The Digital Age.

This game means either an acceptable 2-1 or scary 1-2 start for Sidney Crosby (3 Assists) and the Eastern Conference hosts and we should see Marty Murray vs Laurent Brossoit in net with Malkin’s absence obviously having no effect on the (posted) Total. Lady Cab Driver, roll up your window fast, lately Trouble Winds are blowin' hard, and I don't know if I can last oh, oh.

With icon Crosby, Alex Galchenyuk, Kris Letang and Jared McCann (2 Goals), Pittsburgh should approach 4 to 5 goals here while Nikolaj Ehlers (4 Assists), Captain Blake Wheeler (2 Goals) and the Ice Jets (+130) may get 3 goals although D Jack Johnson and Pittsburgh should be in top form and know they have owned this Western Conference opponent, especially at Home at the old Igloo and the new PPG Paints Arena, going 25-5 the L30 (+19.5 units).

The Penguins swept the season series last year (2-0), winning 4-0 in Pittsburgh as G Murray had 33 Saves in a SO with Pittsburgh winning 4-3 in Winnipeg as the visitors scored two goals in the 3rd Period to earn the Win and the Pens have W6 of 7 from the Jets. When will The Circus end? Never it seems.

How fucking nice to be able to go up to the betting window and say I want a Straight Bet on number “2” and not have to say the 6-digit phone numbers of the Soccer team codes. I shall die one day putting an 8-team Soccer parlay with 48 motherfucking digits to read. Bless Ticket Writers for Soccer codes are a cruel mistress and need to be changed like the US Electoral College, Daylight Saving Time and my A/C filter. Swing low, sweet cherry make it awful.

Winnipeg’s last Win in Pittsburgh was 13 years ago (WIN 4 PIT 2) and actually came when the franchise was still situado en Estados Unidos en Atlanta and called the Thrashers. An NHL franchise is much better suited for north of the border and Canada than here in the US in Georgia for many reasons including (Real Housewives Of Atlanta) NeNe Leakes knowing nothing about the puck.

Penguins 5 Jets 3

 
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JHU Dad

EOG Dedicated
Tuesday, October 8, 2019—2 Penguins -143 (BetOnline)

7 pm ET/4 pm PT (NHL Center Ice—Cox Las Vegas Channels 674, 675)—Even with C Evgeni Malkin (Lower Body) out, the Penguins (1-1) are the solid call here over the Jets (1-2) on Tuesday with the game at PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh and all the Trends pointing to backing the hosts, with Pittsburgh 46-16 vs Winnipeg since 1996 (+28.7 units) and 27-4 the L31 in The Steel City.

Winnipeg has played 3 games so far with a robust 24 goals scored (10 GF-14 GA) in its games, an average of 8.0 gpg with 10, 9 and 5 goals—the latter an Under—after 8- and 9-goal games to end the NHL Preseason. But alas, oddsmakers have put a 6½ on the board Bubba Gump, the highest Total we usually see in the NHL Regular Season, save for the rare 7. And there almost have to be Goals here with the Jets allowing 4.67 gpg (#28) and Pittsburgh going Over the Total itself as it defeated Columbus on Saturday, 7-2—another team the Penguins have dominated of late (PITT 21-5 L26). Head on a swivel as we plod through this current Fear And Loathing In The Digital Age.

This game means either an acceptable 2-1 or scary 1-2 start for Sidney Crosby (3 Assists) and the Eastern Conference hosts and we should see Marty Murray vs Laurent Brossoit in net with Malkin’s absence obviously having no effect on the (posted) Total. Lady Cab Driver, roll up your window fast, lately Trouble Winds are blowin' hard, and I don't know if I can last oh, oh.

With icon Crosby, Alex Galchenyuk, Kris Letang and Jared McCann (2 Goals), Pittsburgh should approach 4 to 5 goals here while Nikolaj Ehlers (4 Assists), Captain Blake Wheeler (2 Goals) and the Ice Jets (+130) may get 3 goals although D Jack Johnson and Pittsburgh should be in top form and know they have owned this Western Conference opponent, especially at Home at the old Igloo and the new PPG Paints Arena, going 25-5 the L30 (+19.5 units).

The Penguins swept the season series last year (2-0), winning 4-0 in Pittsburgh as G Murray had 33 Saves in a SO with Pittsburgh winning 4-3 in Winnipeg as the visitors scored two goals in the 3rd Period to earn the Win and the Pens have W6 of 7 from the Jets. When will The Circus end? Never it seems.

How fucking nice to be able to go up to the betting window and say I want a Straight Bet on number “2” and not have to say the 6-digit phone numbers of the Soccer team codes. I shall die one day putting an 8-team Soccer parlay with 48 motherfucking digits to read. Bless Ticket Writers for Soccer codes are a cruel mistress and need to be changed like the US Electoral College, Daylight Saving Time and my A/C filter. Swing low, sweet cherry make it awful.

Winnipeg’s last Win in Pittsburgh was 13 years ago (WIN 4 PIT 2) and actually came when the franchise was still situado en Estados Unidos en Atlanta and called the Thrashers. An NHL franchise is much better suited for north of the border and Canada than here in the US in Georgia for many reasons including (Real Housewives Of Atlanta) NeNe Leakes knowing nothing about the puck.

Penguins 5 Jets 3

Was at Winnipeg game on Sunday. They played no defense.
 

KevinStott11

EOG Veteran
>Posting Tuesday for Wednesday spot for Saturday game with a -27½ (Pinnacle) still on Betting Board

Wednesday, October 9, 2019—116 Indiana -27½ -119 (Pinnacle)

12 pm EDT/9 am PDT (BTN, DirecTV 610)—This Big Ten matchup features the third-highest spread on the NCAAF bet board (CLEM-SC, UCONN-TULANE) with the current (Tuesday) line at (Indiana minus) 28 and 28½ in most sportsbooks in Nevada and Offshore—with one 27½ [-117] still clinging to Life early Tuesday at Pinny (12:00 pm PDT)—up from an opening 25 and probably still in a rising mode with 4 days still left until kickoff in the Hoosier State.

Rutgers (1-4 SU/ATS) is coming off a 48-7 loss to Maryland (MD -14), its 4th straight ATS Loss and 15th SU Loss in Rutgers L16 games overall (they beat and covered -17 vs UMASS in season opener, 48-21). The Scarlet Knights have been shut out twice already this Regular Season (IOWA 30-0, MICH 52-0), gave up 490 Total Yards to Maryland and have only scored 23 points in 4 FBS games.

Indiana gave Michigan State a good game last Saturday, losing 40-31 but covering ATS as 14-point Road Dogs. The Hoosiers have defeated 3 easy opponents (BALL ST, FCS EIU, UCONN) and lost to the 2 toughies (OHIO ST, MSU) and should score in the 31- to 52-point range in a game in which the Hoosiers D will be looking for a Shutout, as it did vs EIU in Week 2 (IND 52-0). Since HC Tom Allen’s (12-14-1 ATS) arrival, IU was the most improved team in Total Defense nationally (169.5 ypg). Even in the quietest moments, I wish I knew what I had to do.

Leading the Offense for Indiana (3-2 SU/ATS) is QB Michael Penix Jr (6 TDs, 2 INTs), RB Stevie Scott II and WR Whop Phiylor and Indiana will welcome (another) easy opponent to Bloomington with two Road games up next (MD, NEB) followed by tough games against Northwestern, Penn State, Michigan and then at rival Purdue for the Old Oaken Bucket in West Lafayette to end the Regular Season (Nov 30).

So? So a 4th Win here and the potential of a nice season in Bloomington remains with NCAAB tipping off on Tuesday, Nov 5, Senor Smudge with Duke taking on Kansas in the Champions Classic at Madison Square Garden in The Big Apple. It will be here in no time, Skippy. Or in about 27 Earth days.

The Trends here show Indiana (23.8 PA, #52) to be just 1-4 ATS L5 vs Rutgers, but those Scarlet Knights teams were a level or two up from this year’s model which ranks 91st in Total Defense, allowing 413.5 ypg. 54 of the 61 points scored by Rutgers this season came against BC and Massachusetts, so 14 would be the high end the visitors could get meaning that IU would have to score 42 or more to get the Butter. The Total is currently at 51.

The last time these two met at Memorial Stadium (FieldTurf) in Bloomington (2017), Indiana rolled to a 41-0 victory, easily covering ATS as 10½-point Home chalks and this one could have the same exact Final Score if everything goes right for the Hoosiers. Let’s give the guests a complimentary 10 with TE Peyton Hendershot (20 Receptions, 3 TDs), WR Nick Westbroook (16.9 ypc, 2 TDs), WR Donovan Hale (17.7 ypc, 2 TDs) and IU again scoring a forecasted 5 TDs and kicking 2 FGs to get to its 41 with these Offensive players all looking to have good and productive games against (once again) lowly Rat, Rutgers. Walk-Ons are welcome and probably necessary these strange days in the three campuses of Rutgers, The State College of New Jersey. Sol iustitiae et occidentem illustra ("Sun of righteousness, shine upon the West also").

Indiana 41 Rutgers 10

 
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winkyduck

TYVM Morgan William!!!
Pinny

909/10 Astros/Rays O8 +118 (LP: Castillo/Mr. Kate Upton)

Mr. Kate Upton on 3-days rest and I think he gets hit harder than usual. WA line is 7.5 but I'll take shot at O8 and sees how it goes









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