EOG's NFL Survivor Contest (Week 17)

Dell Dude

EOG Master
Go look at all my picks every week, I never put them in early. And again, go look at my plays and tell me who I should have taken today other than the Giants. The funny thing is I had four possible teams written down, the Giants, Skins, Steelers, and the Camless Panthers, the Giants were the only team that I thought had no shot. Looking back I would have advanced regardless of who I picked.

Right there. Brees at home playing for HFA to the Super Show. Giants was +EV but certainly not your only option.
 

BigDeemer

EOG Dedicated
I likely will PM my pick this week, if allowed.

JK, could you post them after the 1p games start?
 
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John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
I likely will PM my pick this week, if allowed.

JK, could you post them after the 1p games start?


No need for any privately-submitted selections, IMO.

Unless I'm missing something.

Contestants will be able to hide their selections by merely posting seconds before kickoff.

Why change the rules for Week 17?
 

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
Once again the Rules are:

Each NFL week, contestants submit a team to LOSE.

If the team loses, the contestant advances to the following week.

If the team wins OR ties, the contestant is eliminated.

You can only pick each NFL team ONCE during the season.

Entries must be submitted prior to kickoff of the contestant's game.

In case of ties, prize money will be divided evenly among all winners at season's end.
 

ComptrBob

EOG Master
Teams that have been used by all 4 "finalists":
49ers, Cardinals, Bengals, Falcons, Eagles, Jets, Dolphins, Buccs, Bills, Giants.

Just my projections, so not worth much, but Week 17 choices are likely to be BigDeemer & kane: Raiders; Lap18: Lions; njdave: Jaguars.
 

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
Teams that have been used by all 4 "finalists":
49ers, Cardinals, Bengals, Falcons, Eagles, Jets, Dolphins, Buccs, Bills, Giants.

Just my projections, so not worth much, but Week 17 choices are likely to be BigDeemer & kane: Raiders; Lap18: Lions; njdave: Jaguars.

Interesting.

I assume BigD and/or Kane could go a different direction if they wanted to gamble for a bigger share of the $1,000 pot.
 

ComptrBob

EOG Master
Interesting.

I assume BigD and/or Kane could go a different direction if they wanted to gamble for a bigger share of the $1,000 pot.

The two obviously have a little more "equity" in the contest money at this point by using the largest ML dog (that hasn't been used before) which will likely be the Raiders.

A way to get some "guaranteed" return would be, for example, take the Week 17 Bears to lose (or any dog that hasn't been used before) and do a $83 ML hedge @ +200 to win. If the Bears lose, you win at least $250 (another pick might "lose") - hedge = $167, if the Bears win, you pocket $166 ( plus you have some contest equity, if the other 3 selections all "lose").
 
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Dell Dude

EOG Master
Pretty much set there will be a multi chop unless there is a massive upset. Should extend into the playoffs. I know kane will never agree.

What you could do is pay kane’s sharia and go all balls out or nothing those posters with balls.

$1000 prize with 4 left. Give kane his $250 cookie and play for $750.
 

BigDeemer

EOG Dedicated
W2 - Cards
W3 - Jets
W4 - 49ers
W5 - Colts
W6 - Broncos
W7 - Bengals
W8 - Bills
W9 - Browns
W10 - Dolphins
W11 - Eagles
W12 - Falcons
W13 - Lions
W14 - Bucaneers
W15 - Panthers
W16 - Giants
W17 - Raiders
 

kane

EOG master
Wk 2 Arizona
Wk 3 Indy
Wk 4 Buffalo
Wk 5 Seattle
Wk 6 KC
Wk 7 SF
Wk 8 NYJ
Wk 9 Cleveland
Wk 10 Miami
Wk 11 Philadelphia
Wk 12 Atlanta
Wk 13 Detroit
Wk 14 Cincinnati
Wk 15 Tampa
Wk 16 NYG
Wk 17 Oakland

Fuck you Dell
 

lap18

EOG Dedicated
W2 - Cardinals
W3 - Colts
W4 - 49ers
W5 - Dolphins
W6 - Buccaneers
W7 - Bills
W8 - Broncos
W9 - Browns
W10- Seahawks
W11- Eagles
W12- Falcons
W13- Raiders
W14- Bengals
W15- Jets
W16- Giants
W17- Lions
 

Dell Dude

EOG Master
Wk 17 Oakland

Fuck you Dell


Wager Approved

1
Bet(s) placed.
Dec 29, 2018 12:21 pm PST. New Available: $0.00
RIF Straight
Ticket #144306300-1
Created: Dec 29, 2018 12:21 pm PST
Risk: $83.87 To Win: $524.19
Oakland Raiders VS Kansas City Chiefs
303 - NFL/Football - Oakland Raiders Moneyline +625 for Game
Note: TIME CHANGE
Game Time: Dec 30, 2018 1:25 pm PST
 

njdave

EOG Addicted
Week 2 NE
Week 3 Jets
Week 4 SF
Week 5 NY Giants
Week 6 KC
Week 7 Tenn
Week 8 Miami
Week 9 Detroit
Week 10 Arizona
Week 11 Philadelphia
Week 12 Atlanta
Week 13 Oakland
Week 14 Cincinnati
Week 15 TB
Week 16 Buffalo
Week 17 Washington
 

Dell Dude

EOG Master
It's going to be American Beauty when raiders eliminates kane final week and gives me a +625 winner. Also in roosters!
 

lap18

EOG Dedicated
I hated backing Rogers in a meaningless game. I didn’t figure he would be interested in playing but I really didn’t think they would play like shit in front of their home crowd.
 

kane

EOG master
I hated backing Rogers in a meaningless game. I didn’t figure he would be interested in playing but I really didn’t think they would play like shit in front of their home crowd.

Rodgers suffered a concussion early in the game and was taken out, Kizer has taken the majority of snaps
 

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
I hated backing Rogers in a meaningless game. I didn’t figure he would be interested in playing but I really didn’t think they would play like shit in front of their home crowd.


Fitting way to end a miserable 6-9-1 season for the Packers.

I was rooting for you, LAP18.
 
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