Asymptomatic cases in Italy are well over 50%.
Many of the rest have mild to flu like symptoms.
Almost all of those groups have not been tested, so they don’t show up in the stats as being infected.
The number of REPORTED cases is basically the tip of the iceberg.
That’s good news & bad news: bad news that it’s already infected a lot more people than we think. Good news is that the denominator for the REAL Covid fatality rate is much higher than what’s being used.
Italy is more vulnerable because of age, customs, smoking rate, temperature in Covid’s sweet spot last month, and any Italian who dies with Covid gets listed as dying from Covid, even though 98-99% of Italians who died had multiple symptoms.
So the 10% fatality rate uses a bloated numerator & very unrealistically low denominator.
There’s been many coronaviruses (SARS was one). Realistically, most are in 0.5-1% range. Covid will be in that range imo.
Covid fatality rate is bad. But in the real world, its waaaaay less than 10%.
Concern, yes.
Hysteria, no.