Five Buys In Big Dance...

Heim

Heim

EOG Master
(1) Providence
(2) Iowa
(3) Texas Tech
(4) Connecticut
(5) Arkansas


All guard oriented squads in a guard oriented landscape now.

And all get after it on defense. Providence a real sleeper.

Especially if Watson decides to show up in tourney

Tomorrow....who I'm selling.
 
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John Kelly

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
HEIM is a man for all seasons but I especially like his opinions in March.

He was a practicing attorney in California but I will not hold that fact against him.
 
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John Kelly

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
About the Ramblers of Loyola-Chicago: Sister Jean is still pulling for the team but Porter Moser is no longer directing it.
 
B

Blackcloud

EOG Dedicated
Heim said:
(1) Providence
(2) Iowa
(3) Texas Tech
(4) Connecticut
(5) Arkansas


All guard oriented squads in a guard oriented landscape now.

And all get after it on defense. Providence a real sleeper.

Especially if Watson decides to show up in tourney

Tomorrow....who I'm selling.
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I think UConn has underachieved all year. They have some really nice pieces to work with.
 
jimmythegreek

jimmythegreek

The opening odds start here
I'm cautioning on Texas Tech. The halfcourt approach on burning the shot clock deep for high percentage will eventually catch them red handed against opposing teams that love to run.
 
V

Valuist

EOG Master
FairWarning said:
Thoughts on Loyola Chicago?
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How on earth were they only a 4 seed in Missouri Valley? Whoever seeds that conference needs many handicapping classes.

Having said that, they were life and death to cover against a team that played the late night game the night before, and an OT game at that. They played not to lose late, as pretty much almost all their points in final 5 minutes were FTs.
 
jimmythegreek

jimmythegreek

The opening odds start here
3 team logjam with Missouri St and Drake for second in conference records, but probably fell victim to tiebreakers.
 
I

IWishIWasAPro

EOG Master
Love Connecticut to make a lot of noise. When it comes tournament time they have exactly what you want and need to advance far as long Sanogo stays out of foul trouble.
 
raycabino

raycabino

Long Live Wilson!
Valuist said:
When the 4 seed is a 4.5 pt favorite vs a higher seed on a neutral floor, somebody in the MVC messed up.
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Disagree. Seeds for conference tourneys have zero to do with power ratings and all to do with connference tiebreakers. It is what it is.
 
John Kelly

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
raycabino said:
Disagree. Seeds for conference tourneys have zero to do with power ratings and all to do with connference tiebreakers. It is what it is.
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Except for the West Coast Conference.

The WCC commissioned Ken Pomeroy to help in their conference seeding process for the past two seasons because the pandemic forced cancellations and unbalanced schedules.
 
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C

ComptrBob

EOG Master
John Kelly said:
Except for the West Coast Conference.

The WCC commissioned Ken Pomeroy to help in their conference seeding process for the past two seasons because the pandemic forced cancellations and uneven schedules.
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I doubt they used Pomeroy this year. SF and BYU had a much higher rating than Santa Clara.

This year seeds 1 thru 7 were exactly the same as the conference standings (no tiebreakers involved). Seeds 8 and 9 were "swapped" between Pacific (3-11) and LMU (3-12), which of course made no difference whatsoever since #8 meets #9 in the first round.
 
C

ComptrBob

EOG Master
Heim said:
(1) Providence
(2) Iowa
(3) Texas Tech
(4) Connecticut
(5) Arkansas
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Just to provide a bit more info, Lunardi and Palm's current seed assignments and WH futures odds to win it all:

(1) Providence 4,4 75/1
(2) Iowa 6,7 100/1
(3) Texas Tech 3,4 18/1
(4) Connecticut 5,5 75/1
(5) Arkansas 4,4 50/1
 
John Kelly

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
ComptrBob said:
I doubt they used Pomeroy this year. SF and BYU had a much higher rating than Santa Clara.

This year seeds 1 thru 7 were exactly the same as the conference standings (no tiebreakers involved). Seeds 8 and 9 were "swapped" between Pacific (3-11) and LMU (3-12), which of course made no difference whatsoever since #8 meets #9 in the first round.
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With all of the regular season games for the men’s and women’s basketball wrapped up in West Coast Conference action, the brackets for Las Vegas are set for March 4-8. To establish conference rankings for seeding in both single elimination tournaments, the WCC used KenPom’s adjusted win percentage (AWP) calculations for the second year in a row.

Source: si.com
 
John Kelly

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
Good luck, KANE.

Sunday's bracket reveal is so important for both the teams and the gamblers.
 
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C

ComptrBob

EOG Master
John Kelly said:
With all of the regular season games for the men’s and women’s basketball wrapped up in West Coast Conference action, the brackets for Las Vegas are set for March 4-8. To establish conference rankings for seeding in both single elimination tournaments, the WCC used KenPom’s adjusted win percentage (AWP) calculations for the second year in a row.

Source: si.com
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Well, whatever they did had no effect over just taking the conference W/L standings, so essentially a wasted effort.
 
Ray Donovan

Ray Donovan

EOG Enthusiast
Do u think West Coast teams like Gonzaga & Arizona would prefer to play in the Western Region & be #1/#2 seeds vs one of them say being sent to the East Coast to be a #1 seed ?
 
John Kelly

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
Ray Donovan said:
Do u think West Coast teams like Gonzaga & Arizona would prefer to play in the Western Region & be #1/#2 seeds vs one of them say being sent to the East Coast to be a #1 seed ?
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Gonzaga fans are like Pittsburgh Steelers fans.

They will travel anywhere to see their beloved team.

That said, I don't have an answer to Ray's tough question.

As an aside, more important than the location of a game or pair of games is the matchup in terms of style.

I could argue more than 75% of the tournament field will have no chance to win because of Sunday's draw.

The brackets need to break your way.
 
Viejo Dinosaur

Viejo Dinosaur

EOG Master
After watching Gonzaga, I drop their power rating a couple points…..they better find some better guard play….but their front line is outstanding….
 
NowshesmyRuca

NowshesmyRuca

2
Heim said:
(1) Providence
(2) Iowa
(3) Texas Tech
(4) Connecticut
(5) Arkansas


All guard oriented squads in a guard oriented landscape now.

And all get after it on defense. Providence a real sleeper.

Especially if Watson decides to show up in tourney

Tomorrow....who I'm selling.
Click to expand...
What are your thoughts on Houston? I took a flyer on them at 50/1
 
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