How does Fan Graphs come up with these pre-game percentages?

They seem so random right now. I get it once lineups are announced the numbers tighten a bit, but right now here are a few of their percentage winners:

NYM 60.9% (-172) over TB - even with Snell starting, does their math hate him?
Det 53.7% (-116) over Min - although they have a bullpen arm listed as the Min starter when books have Maeda listed, still no way Tigers over Twins with any matchup.
Was 66.6% (-197) over Phi - second game of DH, who knows if the pitchers hold but still Nats at this price is ridiculous unless it was Scherzer and its not

Feels like they just throw a random number out there right now, do you get a real number if you subscribe?
 

FairWarning

Bells Beer Connoisseur
Minn pulled Maeda early last game, saving him for the playoffs. Certainly not an endorsement for Detroit though.
 
Minn pulled Maeda early last game, saving him for the playoffs. Certainly not an endorsement for Detroit though.

Yeah I see game is off on the books. I think it may mess up some pitchers to go over a week without a start, but I'm sure he'll throw on the side. I'd put my aces out there today or tomorrow and have them throw 2-3 innings, 40-50 pitches, to keep them on schedule.
 

MrTop

EOG Master
they are mixing it up with their own number ...looking at william hill, 538 & massey...then flip a coin?
 
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