I think Serena is in big trouble tonight

IWishIWasAPro

EOG Master
I was going over her matches this entire tournament and the way she is moving won't cut it against somebody like Osaka. Serena is quite lucky because her last opponent Halep is somebody who doesn't rely on power and always had trouble with her serve. Her opponent before that in Sabalenka has power but she is a complete nut case who is always dishing out unforced errors and still took Serena to 3.

On the other hand Osaka's 4th round opponent Muguruza who up to that point was just steam rolling opponents this season prepared her big time for this moment. Not only did Osaka push through adversity (mishaps on serve) she pulled through against somebody who had BOTH power and movement.

Osaka is going to move on barring a complete meltdown serving. You can bet on it.
 

winkyduck

TYVM Morgan William!!!
I am actually rooting for her to win so we might be able to get Brady as a dog in the Finals or a very slight fave. Brady would mop the court with Serena
 

IWishIWasAPro

EOG Master
Brady should get by Muchova. Pliskova gave Muchova the match off some VERY pathetic serving and I'm not sure why Barty didn't finish off Muchova when she was in complete control. I just can't believe the medical timeout by Muchova really threw her for a loop.

Osaka Brady final...
 

Bigrunner

EOG Master
I am actually rooting for her to win so we might be able to get Brady as a dog in the Finals or a very slight fave. Brady would mop the court with Serena


I like Serena to win it all. Both Naomi or Serena will be favored over Brady. IMO
 

Bigrunner

EOG Master
Winky here's the odds on outright AO winner. Basically confirming Brady will be close to a +200 dog against either Osaka or Williams.

To win outright courtesy of Fanduel:

Osaka +125
Williams +180
Brady +440
Muchova +1200
 

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
I did not care for Serena's last match.

More unforced errors (33) than winners (24).

I do fear Serena's back class, however.
 

Bigrunner

EOG Master
I did not care for Serena's last match.

More unforced errors (33) than winners (24).

I do fear Serena's back class, however.

Her Grand Slam record since her return from childbirth is not too shabby. 8 starts, 4 finals, 1 semifinal, 1 quarter final, and 2 3rd rounds. Her return game, which was known as the best has diminished since her return. Will Osaka serve cause this pattern to continue? Most so yes but I believe Serena has gotten in her best shape since childbirth and has improved since losing to Osaka in the famous 2018 U.S. Open final. Her return % was 38.4%. I predict a better return % tonight?

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-serena-williams-could-finally-break-the-grand-slam-record/
 

winkyduck

TYVM Morgan William!!!
Winky here's the odds on outright AO winner. Basically confirming Brady will be close to a +200 dog against either Osaka or Williams.

To win outright courtesy of Fanduel:

Osaka +125
Williams +180
Brady +440
Muchova +1200

Brady is -170 now. +440 means a 2-team "parlay" of her in the Semis & Finals. She would need to be +240 to make a +440 "parlay" of her in the Semis & Finals. If less than +240 then +440 is better while over +240 makes +440 a bad payout

So now what is left to determine is what price Brady would be in the Finals. I think she is less than +240 if facing Serena and around this price or a tad higher against Osaka
 

Bigrunner

EOG Master
Will Jennifer Brady win the WTA Australian Open 2021? (Player Must Start for Action) - Yes +474 - (Yes vrs No)
Game Start 02/17/2021 @ 09:00 PM

Got this about an hour ago at BM.
 

winkyduck

TYVM Morgan William!!!
Will Jennifer Brady win the WTA Australian Open 2021? (Player Must Start for Action) - Yes +474 - (Yes vrs No)
Game Start 02/17/2021 @ 09:00 PM

Got this about an hour ago at BM.

Brady now -182 meaning she would have to be at least +271 to get +475 on that payout. Can't see her being that big of a dog to either
 

railbird

EOG Master
Osaka gets tight in tight matches. Serena looking the best she has since being a mom. her unforced errors last match came in a 20 minute window mostly back hands, may have been string related somewhat
 

railbird

EOG Master
Patrick Mouratoglou a fake coach like nick bolleteri, an academy huistler scam artist who cant play himself
 
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