JIMMY THE GREEK SAYS

jimmythegreek

The opening odds start here
Army -37 over Massachusetts:
The Black Knights (6-3 4-1) host the Minutemen (1-9) in a battle of Independents from West Point. Army has won 2 straight and last week blitzkrieged Bucknell 63-10. Eight different Army players scored 1 TD, all on the ground, and Jabari Laws 3/3 58 1 TD) completed a completed a 22 yard scoring pass to Ay'Juan Marshall for his only catch. Army racked up 428 rushing yards led by Tyson Riley (10-70 7.0 1 TD) and ironically ran the ball 61 times for the same team average as Riley. The Black Knights also forced 3 turnovers and held Bucknell to just 175 total yards from scrimmage including only 39 on the ground. Ethan Grady (16/31 136 1 INT) could not get the Bison into the end zone, and other than a Ryan Schatzel 26 yard field goal, the only TD they could muster was a 19 yard run by Jarrett Cooper (10-33 3.3 1 TD). Bucknell (1-9 0-6) remains winless in the Patriot League and Army improved to 4-1 in the Independents. Meanwhile, Joe Fagnano (16/27 209 2 TD) led a 10 point comeback in the second quarter, and the defense shut out the Minutemen (1-9 0-6) the rest of the way with 35 unanswered as the Black Bears mauled U Mass 35-10. Freddie Brock (13-74 5.7 1 TD) scored on an 18 yard run in the second quarter to get Maine (5-5 2-3), out of the CAA, on the board, Fagnano found Devin Young (8-78 1 TD) on an 8 yard scoring pass to give Maine a 14-10 lead. Fagnano then hooked up with Shawn Bowman (2-21 1 TD) on a 14 yard TD connection, followed by 2 TD runs from Elijah Barnwell (16-84 5.3 2 TD) of 2 and 23 yards to put the game away. Brady Olson (14/29 113 1 TD) got U Mass on the board first with an 8 yard TD pass to Josiah Johnson (3-13 1 TD) just 2 and a half minutes into the contest, followed later by a Cameron Carson 42 yard field goal. It was all downhill from there as Maine outgained the Minutemen 366-297 despite a turnover free game.

Army's triple option is one of the most difficult run scheme to stop for any of the Midshipmen's opposition. Christian Anderson (16/28 401 4 TD) when under center throwing the ball has been relatively efficient on those occasions despite their aerial attack seldom used. However, when calling his own number leads Army in rushing (72-473 6.6 6 TD) and has 2 other dominating forces in the backfield, namely Tyrell Robinson (48-423 8.8 2 TD), and Tyhier Tyler (91-374 4.1 6 TD). In fact, more than 75% of Army's total offense is via the running game, and they average 400 yards per contest while ranked 3rd in the nation when it comes to the ground game. Army averaged more than 36 ppg and that does not bode well for the U Mass defense, who gives up an average of 44 points and 477 yards per contest, and that includes 224 on the ground, near the bottom in the country. Gerell Johnson and D'Ashon Ross each lead the team with 63 tackles, but each only have one sack of the Minutemen's 10 all season. They have also recorded only 2 interceptions and appear unprepared and undersized when it comes to their competition up front and in the secondary when it comes to tackling and a pass rush. Not like Army is a squad that pushes tempo, but can catch you off guard when they are operating at a gaining yards in bunches with every option call.

With Walt Bell losing his job at head coach of U Mass a couple of weeks ago, it's going to be a tough long term opportunity for OL coach Alex Miller to rightfully pick up the pieces. Olson (104/216 1153 8 TD 7 INT) has been relatively inefficient at the helm for a limited offense which has seen it's share of misfortune when it comes to both the aerial attack and ground game. Rico Arnold (25-384 2 TD) is the primary target in the passing attack with not much more shoulder to lean on. The lone bright spot for this team comes in the rushing game led by Ells Merriweather (178-858 4.8 3 TD), but what really has been lacking for years when it comes to the recruitment process is quality of personnel. U Mass averages a shade under 14 points and only 290 net yardage per game, well in the bottom 3rd in the country. Army yields better than 24 points per game and 323 scrimmage yards, so they could be vulnerable to big plays, but only if Massachusetts puts those to execution protocol. Arik Smith leads the Middies with 51 tackles but their main focus is on LB Andre Carter III who is tops on the team with 11 of the team's 19 sacks. Marquel Broughton is quick as a cat in the safety position, and his 3 INT gives the team anticipation process when it comes to eyeing the opposing QB for play patterns downfield.

Army's option game is going to be a harrowing process to adjust as their versatility and ability to utilize multiple options will be a success when it comes to Anderson, Robinson and Tyler in the feature spot. Army will thrive catching the Minutemen off guard when it comes to converting 3rd and short, and even on 4th and short to medium and medium Jeff Monken will take his shot. We've gone against U Mass 3 times ATS this season and have succeeded on 2 occasions. Since the Minutemen's lone win to even lowlier Connecticut, they've dropped 4 straight after starting out the season at 0-5. Army is already bowl eligible, and they have a couple of more games to make their statement that they are for real when it comes to making a prestigious bowl. The Minutemen are just playing out the string and will be thankful for only one thing this upcoming holiday, and that's a merciful ending to a dismal season.
 
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jimmythegreek

The opening odds start here
Coastal Carolina -24 over Texas St:
The Chanticleers (8-2 4-2) were dealt quite the surprise last week at home to Georgia State (5-5 4-2) dropping a tough one 42-40 and falling once again from the ranks of the top 25. A failed two point conversion after a late 17 yard TD strike from Bryce Carpenter to Isaiah Likely was the difference with just over a minute remaining. The game was nip and tuck virtually the whole way with Georgia St leading most of the way. Carpenter (17/29 233 1 TD 1 INT) clearly was not at his best, but did give his troops one late opportunity to send the game into OT. Shemari Jones got the Chanticleers their first score with a with a one yard run, but was held to just 65 yards on 16 carries (4.1) despite 3 rushing scores, as he later ran for consecutive 8 yard TD's. Braydon Bennett's 75 yard scamper to paydirt gave CC the lead again at 14-7 in the first quarter. Bennett ran for 127 yards on 10 carries (12.70 and that one TD. Likely caught 7 passes for 101 yards and a score. Coastal Carolina outgained Georgia St 442-373 but committed 3 costly turnovers stopping promising drives with the game in the balance. Tucker Gregg's 4 yard run gave the Panthers a 42-34 lead inside of 3:00 remaining in the game. Gregg (18-67 3.7 3 TD) matched Jones 3 scores as he had ran for 2 one yard scores earlier. A 36 yard TD run by Jaymest Williams gave GSU a 28-16 lead midway through the third quarter. Williams ran for 82 yards on 11 carries (7.5) and a TD. Darren Grainger (18/24 198 2 TD) hung tough all game long with a a TD toss to Aubrey Payne (2-6 1 TD) from 3 yards and later a 2 yard scoring strike to Terrance Dixon (3-35 1 TD) from 2 yards out. Meanwhile, in a pair of 3-7 teams doing battle, Jalen White (10-82 8.2 2 TD) ran for scores of 19 and 5 yards helped the Georgia Southern Eagles upend the Texas St Bobcats 38-30 last week at Bobcat Stadium. White's long run helped Georgia Southern capture the lead after trailing 7-3 early. Cam Ransom (7-12 125 1 TD) found Derwin Burgess Jr. (5-134 1 TD) on a 48 yard scoring pass that extended the Eagles' lead. Kenny Haynes then blocked a punt by Anthony Beck !! and recovered it in the end zone. tying the game at 17 at the half. Justin Tomlin (7/13 108 1 TD 1 INT then connected with Beau Johnson on a 25 yard TD pass that gave GSU the lead for good. Seth Keller hit on a 34 yard field goal that cut the lead to 8 points, but could not recover the ensuing onside kick.


Whether it's Greyson McCall (116/158 2063 17 TD 2 INT) who injured his shoulder in an Oct 28th game against Troy, or Carpenter (41/68 483 4 TD 1 INT) who since has been McCall's replacement, the Chanticleer passing attack remains one of the more dangerous in the nation. Listed as questionable for tomorrow, McCall propelled Coastal Carolina to top 25 status for most of the season. He's got several weapons in the receiving core in Javion Helligh (43-846 5 TD) and Likely (44-733 9 TD). Coastal Carolina is extremely diversive in their offense and McCall can rely on the running game led by Jones (105-685 6.5 12 TD) and Bennett (55-473 8.6 5 TD). Reese White (71-516 7.3 7 TD) is still out due to injury. The offense does work fast and is explosive thanks to their 42.5 points 493 yards of total offense per game. A return of McCall and possibly White would make an already potent offense that much more dominating. Texas St has lost 4 of it's last 5 and has not been sharp on the defensive side of the ball allowing 34 points per game. Markeveon Coleman leads the Bobcats in total tackles with 75, but is without a sack or INT all season. Isiah Nixon has 5 of his team's 13 sacks and has also forced a team high 5 fumbles. In man to man coverage, the Bobcats need to take advantage of forcing turnovers as they have picked off opponents only 3 times this season. If CC looks to push tempo for the duration of the game, it will be tough for Texas St to hang around.

McBride (146/244 1507 12 TD 10 INT) has been a little bit better than average for Texas St and in his place Tyler Vitt (51/90 567 1 TD 2 INT) hasn't fared much better. Whomever is under center this weekend does have multiple options in the receiving core in Javen Banks (36-548 5 TD) and Marcell Barbee (38-482 4 TD). Their leading rusher, Cavin Hill (104-491 4.7) has just one rushing TD all season, while Jahmyl Jeter (69-304 4.4 6 TD) is a viable second option. Anemic as their offense has been scoring just 19 points per game, their nature of their attack is equally in the middle of the pack at about 346 yards per game. The Bobcats are much more methodical in their success on offense and will need to control clock and tempo keeping CC's offense off the field. While Carolina has shown some lapses as of recent when it comes to their defense, they are still well respected and disciplined allowing a shade under 20 points per contest. Silas Kelly leads CC in tackles with 78 and has 7 TFL's. Josiah Stewart has 11 of his team's 27 sacks, which is among the league leaders. Jeffery Gunter is right behind Stewart with 7, but like Texas St, CC is vulnerable especially in man to man coverage, and have not been able to succeed with turnovers in the passing opposition game, with just 3 picks. It is going to be interesting if head coach Jake Spavital will be able to pull some tricks out of his sleeve with double coverages or razzle dazzles on offense to pull off the upset.

With McCall listed as questionable to return, this could be another golden opportunity for Carpenter to take the spotlight. It's going to be tough for a much maligned Bobcat defense to overcome the high powered octane of CC's offense and their weapons around them. Carolina has not looked as sharp since the injury, and are still out of the Sun Belt to look to impact the bowl selection committee. Texas St is going to have to play an almost perfect game when it comes to containing both the rushing and passing game, and will have to minimize mistakes in order to stop CC from taking advantage. This is a lot of points but right now the momentum is siting with the home team who will look to avenge lots of sloppiness and defensive lapses last week.

Best of luck however you play!
YTD 9-13 .409 -5.90
 

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
And the bully got punched in the face.

Two plays, two losers.

Army was a stinker.

An impossible favorite, as it turns out.

Never in the history of sports betting has a 37-point favorite covered the point spread when scoring only 33 points.
 

jimmythegreek

The opening odds start here
You done beating the dead horse yet?

Rare is it does a forum head (tempted to literal the term) repeat the impossible favorite in multiple threads.

After tomorrow JK will reveal his JTG Dunce cap he bought at Walmart for $10.99.
 

lap18

EOG Dedicated
too funny. Kelly doesn't bet favorites and he doesn't tolerate betting in to those crazy numbers
 

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
You done beating the dead horse yet?

Rare is it does a forum head (tempted to literal the term) repeat the impossible favorite in multiple threads.

After tomorrow JK will reveal his JTG Dunce cap he bought at Walmart for $10.99.


I bet dead horses, I don't beat 'em.

Lighten up, JIMMY.

I just love the "impossible favorite" line so much, I had to repeat it.

Okay, no more.
 

jimmythegreek

The opening odds start here
I bet dead horses, I don't beat 'em.

Lighten up, JIMMY.

I just love the "impossible favorite" line so much, I had to repeat it.

Okay, no more.
No worries. All good JK. Just wondering when you were finished proudly rubbing some epsom salt in that wound.

Admit it, you just want me to you touch and surpass the 200 club.
 
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Viejo Dinosaur

EOG Master
You done beating the dead horse yet?

Rare is it does a forum head (tempted to literal the term) repeat the impossible favorite in multiple threads.

After tomorrow JK will reveal his JTG Dunce cap he bought at Walmart for $10.99.

I laughed because we have all been there….more than once
 

jimmythegreek

The opening odds start here
Good one Rockfish. Go to the head of the Scott Van Pelt class. Lol

It's like when they say, Notre Dame hung a 50 burger.
 
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