JIMMY THE GREEK SAYS

jimmythegreek

The opening odds start here
UCF -6 over Louisville (bought half) -120:
Although it wasn't anything to write home about, the Knights 1-0) thrived in their 2022 opener by slaughtering South Carolina St 56-10 at FBC Mortgage Stadium last week. John Rhys Plumber (20/31 308 4 TD) had no issues generating multiple scoring drives while fluidly moving the ball on offense. Plumlee opened the scoring with a 12 yard TD pass to Javon Baker (5-84 1 TD) and later connected with Kenmore Gamble (3-82) 1 TD, Zach Marsh Woman (1-21 1 TD), and Johnny Richardson (2 -19 1 TD) hitting 4vdiffetent receivers for scores. Plumlee also ran for 86 yards on 25 carries (5.7) and a 21 yard rushing score that gave the Knights a 21-0 lead after the first quarter. Isaiah Bower (23-86 3.6 2 TD) rushed for 2 one yard scores, helping a supercharged offense outgain the hapless Bulldogs by a 600-91 overall margin. UCF also notched 29 first downs to just 9 for SCSU. As a freshmen for Oke Miss back in 2019, Plumlee ran for 1,023 yards and 12 TD while throwing for 920 yards, 4 TD and 3 INT before switching to WR the past 2 seasons. Corey Fields (5/15 42 1 TD 1 INT) got off to a rough start never recovering not being able to muster any offense until the Bulldogs finally got on the board with 3:25 remaining in the first half thanks to a 23 yard field goal by Gavin Zimmerman. Meanwhile at the Carrier Dome, Garrett Shrader (18/25 236 2TD) also rushed 21 times for 100 yards (4.8 1 TD scoring from 4 yards out to add insult to injury, as the Syracuse Orangemen crushed the Louisville Cardinals 31-7. Shrader hooked up with Sean Tucker (6-84 1 TD) on a 55 yard TD pass to open the scoring, and later found Oronde Gadsden Ii (3-36 1TD) on an 8 yard TD toss in the second half that put the game well out of reach. Shrader (16-94 5.9 1 TD) mercifully completed the scoring with a 6 yard paydirt scamper as the Cause outgained the Cardinals 449-334 while the defense forced 4 Cardinal turnovets. Tiyon Evans (13-89 6.9 1 TD) was the lone bright spot for Louisville with a 36 yard scoring scamper accounting for virtually everything. Malik Cunningham completed a conservative 16/22 passed for just 152 yards while being intercepted twice.

Plumlee is quite the dual threat who is flanked by Bower, an elite back who with a quick first step can bust it loose protected by a stout offensive line. The latter is going to be a tough test for Louisville's run game defense, which allowed nearly 6 you in the loss to Syracuse. UCF's defense will once again look to focus strong as Walter Yates III who collected 8 tackles as well as 2 sacks and 5 tackles for Justin Hodges. Without a doubt, the Cardinals need to be a lot more sufficient on offense and being able to finish drives refusing to be stopped on ryh down as well as manage the turnover battle. Cunningham had a rough opening campaign and must stone for unforced errors if Louisville plans on righting the ship and getting to a prestigious bowl game cone season's end. Evans will look to duplicate his efforts and success once again battling a hard nised oversized UCF defense. The question is, do the Orangemen have enough weapons to counter a UCF offense that has plenty of options on both the running and passing game, especially against a QB in Plumlee that has the ability to take over a game buly himself if need be?

UCF hadn't lost at home in over a year and a half. It's going to take more than the combination of Monty Montgomery, who despite recording 9 tackles,, and Ashton Gillote who recorded 2 sacks in the loss to the Cause to contain and stay close the high powered offense the Knights possess. I expect UCF to once again have their way during on all cylinders and for head coach Gus Malzahn to show the country that their week 1 cupcake rout was not a fluke nor a look pass.
 

Dell Dude

EOG Master
Nothing personal, Jimmy. But I don't think you qualify for vanity thread privileges. These are reserved for EOG documented winners.

Jimmythegreek 1,212-1,316-40 -233.38 UNITS
 

jimmythegreek

The opening odds start here
Nothing personal, Jimmy. But I don't think you qualify for vanity thread privileges. These are reserved for EOG documented winners.

Jimmythegreek 1,212-1,316-40 -233.38 UNITS
Everyone's entitled to their own opinion. Individual weekly plays in CFB have up until now spoken for themselves.

Good luck to you this weekend Dell.
 

lap18

EOG Dedicated
Everyone's entitled to their own opinion. Individual weekly plays in CFB have up until now spoken for themselves.

Good luck to you this weekend Dell.
Jimmy, are you saying you kill college football but you have struggled at other sports?
 

jimmythegreek

The opening odds start here
Jimmy, are you saying you kill college football but you have struggled at other sports?
I'm saying that for the last 8-10 years my best bet cfb I's hitting pretty well based on my threads for each weekend. I didn't say anything about killing it. And the record that Dell keeps showing are daily selections since I started here.
 

Dell Dude

EOG Master
We should start a new be best with 0-0 records. Filled with dead posters. In some cases, literally. And someone like Jimmy may be in current plus EV form but looks bad because he has a decade worth of losers. I am the opposite. I can live off my 2 futures cat suckouts forever young. JK doesn't listen to me, though. Will have to be a suggestion from a "good guy" poster. Heim posts it, JK will have a new be best tomorrow.
 

jimmythegreek

The opening odds start here
We should start a new be best with 0-0 records. Filled with dead posters. In some cases, literally. And someone like Jimmy may be in current plus EV form but looks bad because he has a decade worth of losers. I am the opposite. I can live off my 2 futures cat suckouts forever young. JK doesn't listen to me, though. Will have to be a suggestion from a "good guy" poster. Heim posts it, JK will have a new be best tomorrow.
I do this every year Dell. I'm 2-0 thus far this season. I understand what you are saying though. This is just something I do week by week during the cfb season. Yes my ytd career record is subpar and I am negative in units. Not necessarily are all these picks reflectant of best bet Saturdays or Thursdays in my overall record, but I get where you're going with this. I know you and other cappers have questioned the accuracy of the best bet thread, but I just do this based upon overall w l record and + - unit count. There are so many posters that maybe have a handful of plays but haven't taken part in months or years. I'm not sure JK has totally retired them. I just hope I'm not misleading anyone as these are current picks throughout the year dedicated annually to one sport.
 

ComptrBob

EOG Master
I was a bit surprised to find picks posted on EOG all the way back to 2010. These records were primarily taken from Jimmy's grading which I believe is very accurate. Generally, I had to grade the last posted play(s) of the year. For ROI purposes I estimated Jimmy bought the hook, at -120, about a third of all plays.

The first five years were all profitable, pretty negative since 2015.

Jimmy the Greek Football Threads

Year W L T Units ROI
2010 4 1 0 2.9 51.19%
2011 11 5 0 5.5 30.34%
2012 10 6 1 3.4 17.65%
2013 15 4 1 10.6 46.78%
2014 10 8 1 1.2 5.57%
2015 12 13 0 -2.3 -8.12%
2016 10 16 0 -7.6 -25.80%
2017 18 10 0 7.0 22.07%
2018 14 11 2 1.9 6.21%
2019 14 13 2 -0.8 -2.43%
2020 13 17 0 -8.5 -25.01%
2021 10 16 0 -8.2 -27.84%
2022 2 0 0 2.0 88.26%

Total 139 119 7 4.2 1.40%
 

jimmythegreek

The opening odds start here
Toledo -28 over Massachusetts -115 (bought half):
Head coach Jason Candle might not have been totally impressed with his squad in their opening day tussle with the lesser known LIU Sharks out of the Northeastern Conference, however it was Toledo (1-0) who more than proved they were plenty ready to get the job done. Dequan Finn (21/28 216 2 TD 1 INT) threw TD passes of 20 and 40 yards and even added a 7 yard scoring run as the Rockets silenced the Sharks 37-0 at Ross Ade Stadium last Saturday. Thomas Cluckey added 2 successful field goals of 27 and 30 yards, and Jordan Lowe's only carry completed the scoring with a 29 yard run. Finn also rushed for 64 yards on 12 carries (5.3) and the Rockets outgained the Sharks 442-113 while producing 21 first downs to LIU's 7. Luca Stanzini (7/10 36) was mostly successful on short drops. LIU's offense was virtually stymied all game managing just 45 rushing yards. Andre Fuller sacked Stanzani twice and Toledo forced 2 turnovers. Meanwhile, Michael Pratt (12/20 164 2 TD) also ran for a 20 yard score (7-55 7.9 1 TD) and Tyler Spears (12-57 4.8 3 TD) rushed on the ground for scores of 6, 1, and 4 yards all in the first half as Tulane mauled U Mass (0-1) 42-10 at Yulman Stadium. The Green Wave outgained the Minutemen 369-217 and forced 4 UMass turnovers including 2 picks each from Gino Canpiotti (2/6 12) and Brady Olson (2/5 5). Tulane limited Massachusetts to just 17 passing yards in all. Canpiotti (17-58 3.4 1 TD) scored the only Minutemen TD with a 4 yard scoring run in the first half that briefly tied the game at 7. The only other bright spot was Tim Baldwin Jr rushing for 65 yards on 23 carries (5.0). Trailing 21-10 at half, Tulane stiffened up defensively shutting out UMass 21-0 after halftime.

For the Tickets, look for the momentum to continue as they face a Minutemen squad that has won just 3 games since 2014, a winning percentage of just 22% including the cancellation of the 2020 pandemic. You can blame a lack of recruiting, a shortage of raw talent, as well as subpar coaching. Walt Bell had a misery 3 season stretch between 2019-21. Candle hopes to vastly improve on last season's 7-6 campaign that ended with a loss to MTSU 31-24 last season in the Bahamas Bowl. There is newfound optimism and hope revolving around Finn, a sophomore who threw for 2,067 yards, 18 TD with only 2 picks last season. Given the addition of his ability to call his own number with a solid 6'3" frame, there is plenty of promise for the Tickets to do much of their damage on the ground given their depth led by Spears, especially in shirt and formidable down and distance situations. Also 4 OL starters return, and junior Devon Maddox is also back as he caught 41 passes for 567 yards and 4 TD. On defense, having DE Desjuan Johnson will also prove advantageous given his 70 tackled along with 5 sacks, second each on Toledo last season. Jamaal Hines and Dyontae Johnson should also make huge impacts come MAC play as their 88 tackles each, with 10 sacks for Hines and 9 TFL for Johnson leading the way in 2021.

With Canpiotti not getting off to a good start, plus the lack of defensive presence will play right into the hands of Toledo. UM allowed a nice chunk of yardage against Tulane. The rushing defense surrendered nearly 6 yards per carry. Itgervtgan Jalen Mackie who registered 10 tackles, there is a severe lack of depth up front for Massachusetts. These 2cteans net last season with Tolsfo coming out victorious in dominating fashion 45-7, and ultimately I would expect more of the same. These days it doesn't seem to matter who is on the other side of the ledger when Mass is playing. Candle and company are out to make a statement this season, and while we find ourselves in the non conference early, expect Toledo to be hitting on all cylinders when it comes to battling conference first for the MAC title this season.
 

jimmythegreek

The opening odds start here
Maryland -27 over Charlotte:
The Terrapins (1-0) may have not been at their best last week but really didn't need to be against an overmatched Buffalo Bulls squad feeling the growing pains from last season's downward spiral. Roman Hembry (7-114 16.3 2 TD) scored on 2 first half long runs of 33 and 70 yards in the first half as Maryland ran past Buffalo 31-10 at Capital One Field. Taulis Tagovsilia (24/34 290 1 INT) may have not have found the end zone but made virtually his only mistake all game throwing a pick as the Terps we're driving downfield. Anteain Littleton II (6-34 5.7 2 TD) also ran for 2 scores from a yard out each as ND outgained BU 446-268 overall despite committing 2 turnovers and losing the Top battle in minutes 33-27. Cole Snyder (18/35 160) was average at best mainly successful on short quick outs. AlJay Henderson (4-27 6.8 1 TD) didn't get the Bills on the board until right before halftime on a 29 yard TD run cutting Maryland's lead to 17-7. In fact, Alex McNulty provided the only other scoring for Buffalo with a late 31 tard field goal. Synder was sacked 5 times by the Terps defense, which also recorded 8 TFL's in all. Meanwhile Charlotte (0-2) was embarrassed by William & Mary 41-24 at Jerry Richardson Stadium. Darius Wilson (12/18 237 2 TD) also added 9 carries for 68 yards (7 6) and Bronson Yader ran for 120 yards thanks to a one yard run midway through the 4tj, followed by another Wilson FD to Lachan Pitts on the endsuing possession. The Tribe also gained 298 riding yards in just 47 attempts (6.3) as Malachi and Donovan Lester each found the end zone. Xavier Williams three for 292 yards and rushed for 48 along with 2 scores, while Elijah Spencer caught 5 for 108 yards.

In just 2 games, the 49rtd have seen both of their QBs go down with injuries. James Foster (7/18 68 1 INT) has had to take over for Williams (12/23 201) and Chris Reynolds 14/19 196 2 TD). The transition has not been easy so Charlotte is going to have to be more productive from their riding attack led by Shadrick Byrd (27-87 3.6) as Williams has scored 2 of their 3 rushing TD. Grant Dubose 8-156 2 TD) has at least been a formidable beneficiary despite the consecutive losses, and Victor Tucker 9-133) along with Spencer (7-125) complete this three headed monster at receiver. However it's no easy task as Maryland surrendered just 208 yards in the win over Buffalo. Charlotte's defense has not been anywhere near competitive and that's going to play a huge role in their suspect secondary where Tagovsilia is going to look for a bit of redemption after last week doing everything except not connecting for a TD pass. The younger brother if Fua had his chance last week but a pass completely sailed over Corey Dyches late in the first half. Rakin Jarrett caught 6 passed for 110 yards in their win last week, and have 2 key players making their return from injuries last week in Dontay Demus and Jeshsun Jones. The glaring joke in the defense for Charlotte was allowing 560 yards to an FCS team. Granted there's not much of a home field advantage at Jerry Richardson Stadium holding just a shade u der 16,000 dabs. Given the fact that Hembry is off to a fast start, another breakdown on the tiers defensive side could be the one two punch facing down Charlotte's barrell with 3 losses to open the season.

Charlotte is going to need Foster to give this team a shit in the arm. As much as one doesn't care to admit it, that could mean sliding down the pace against the Terrapins, who look to thrive out of the gate despite making the trip south. Another fly in the ointment if the Charlotte defense is the fact they committed 10 penalties for 92 yards last week putting them at a disadvantage in field position. The Terps could hold the key to uts defense despite losing San Okuayinou to graduation last season. However, make no mistake they are still athletic up front and in the backfield with Greg China Rose, Mosiah Kite and Ami Finay, all seniors, making their return. As pitiful as Charlotte looked against FAU and W &M, a lack of depth along with an inexperienced QB could yet spell soon for the 49ers again. Mike Locksley just signed a 5cyear contract that he hopes to pay dividends representing one of the first in the ACC which should not be taken likely. On the flip side of the coin, Will Health"s time at Charlotte may be numbered, unless the university can make some strides in the present and future recruiting class on both sides of the ball.


Best of luck to all in week 2!

YTD 2-0 1.000 +2.00
 

Patkeats

EOG Enthusiast
Jimmy, do you write these write ups or is it copy and paste? Just curious if you really write a dissertation to explain why you are taking a -28 and -27 favorite.
 

jimmythegreek

The opening odds start here
Well I'm still bummed about UCF last night but credit to the Louisville defense. However we easily covered both our blowout plays, so that brings our overall record to 4-1 at 80%. Thanks and congrats to all that followed!
 

svbettor

EOG Veteran
Well I'm still bummed about UCF last night but credit to the Louisville defense. However we easily covered both our blowout plays, so that brings our overall record to 4-1 at 80%. Thanks and congrats to all that followed!

That was a square play I called it Jimmy
 
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