jimmythegreek
The opening odds start here
Want to thank all the co-cappers out there for wishing me well as I conclude my COVID battle. Still not 100% but at least the sore throat is gone and all the congestion and breathing issues I suffered through are back to near normal. Symptoms are never easy when they hit that hard and wouldn't wish my worst enemy to progress through it. Now it's back to business.
(2) Alabama -17 -115 over (20) Arkansas:
So while voters may be a bit bummed who are favoring the undefeated Crimson Tide (4-0 1-0) perhaps felt they got quite the lull in the schedule last week, hit the road again this time with another top 20 conference foe ready to stand in their way. Last week in Tuscaloosa, defending Heisman Trophy winner Bryce Young (25/36 385 4 TD) set the tone early by throwing for all 4 of his TD passes in the first half, as the unbeaten Crimson Tide vaporized Vanderbilt (3-2 0-1) 55-3 at Bryant Denny Stadium. Ja'Corey Brooks (6-117 2 TD) caught 2 of those TD passes of 21 and 34 yards , while Trasheon Holden (3-45 1 TD) and Jahmyr Gibbs (3-43 1 TD) hauled in the finale from 7 yards out as "Bama raced out to a 31-3 halftime lead and never took their foot off the gas pedal offensively. A tale of two halves with the contest well in hand then featured the power running game as Jase McClellan (11-78 7.1) ran it in from 12 yards out in the third quarter. Jamarion Miller (9-63 7.0 2 TD) then capped off the scoring with 4th quarter scoring runs of one and 40 yards to complete the carnage. The Tide recorded 34 first downs to Vandy's 9, and outgained the Commodores 628-129 and held the ball for nearly 33 minutes. AJ Swann (13/26 115) had little success moving Vanderbilt down the field, limited the Commodores to just 14 yards rushing, and a lone 40 yard field goal by Joseph Bulovas midway through the first quarter. Alabama sacked Swann 6 times in all, 3 by Will Anderson Jr. Meanwhile, Devon Achane (19-159 8.4 1 TD) scored on an 8 yard TD run early in the third quarter and Demani Richardson ran back a fumble recovery 82 yards to paydirt as 23rd ranked Texas A&M (3-1 1-0) held off 10th rated Arkansas (3-1 1-1) 23-21 at AT&T Stadium last week. The Aggies overcame a quick 14-0 deficit early as KJ Jefferson (12/19 171 2 TD) threw a pair of first quarter TD passes to Ketron Jackson Jr (1-32 1 TD) and a 56 yard scoring pass to Warren Thompson (2-57 1 TD). Max Johnson (11/21 151 1 TD) found Evan Stewart (3-36 1 TD) on a 10 yard TD pass to get A&M on the board, followed by Jefferson's fumble inside the 20 that was recovered by Richardson 82 yards to paydirt, followed by a missed 2 point conversion that cut A&M's deficit to 1 at halftime. After Achane's game clinching TD run, Randy Bond's 31 yard field goal proved to be the game winner. Jefferson (18-105 5.8 1 TD) made things close late with a 10 yard scoring run that cut Arkansas's deficit to 2 points with 10:00 remaining, but the Razorbacks could not inch any closer nor solidify the lead late. The Aggies were outgained 415-343 and allowed 24 Arkansas first downs, but made the big plays defensively down the stretch in the 4th quarter. Jefferson also added a fumble late in the 4th with the Razorbacks driving that killed any late quarter rallies.
Young (83/121 1029 13 TD 2 INT) other than grinding it out earlier this season in a one point win over Texas, appears on his way to smooth sail another Heisman Trophy win barring injury or disaster. The junior continues to dominate under center as the class of the SEC as Alabama looks to take the national stage hoping to return to the National Championship this season. Young has quite a few weapons in his air arsenal led by Holden (15-214 4 TD,). Gibbs (17-187 3 TD), Brooks (10-179 2 TD) and Jermaine Burton (12-155 2 TD). Alabama's offense ranks 6th in the nation overall, including 48.5 ppg, 513 total yards and 283 passing yards which ranks in the top 30. Their rushing game is 10th overall led by McClellan (29-245 8.4 2 TD) and Gibbs, who is dangerous in the backfield and as one of Young's targets in the air raid (25-172 6.9). Arkansas does defend the run well limiting opponents to 99 rushing yards overall per contest but is near the bottom in the conference and the lower half in the nation allowing 303 passing yards overall. Bumper Pool does lead Arkansas in tackles with 37 while Drew Sanders is second on the team with 31 and leads the Razorbacks with 6 sacks. So the speed off the edges could test Young, however if Bryce does not make many mistakes Arkansas is not only weak in the secondary but have only recorded 2 picks all season.
Jefferson (67/97 941 8 TD 1 INT) is also off to a great start thus far under center. However if you want to compare abilities in the passing game, credit Young with more target options than Jefferson. Matt Landers (15-230) leads the Razorbacks in receiving yards,, however has not yet found the end zone as of yet. Jadon Haselwood (18-214 2 TD) leads a trio of receivers that each have 2 TD receptions. Jefferson is also nimble with his feet (64-274 4.3 4 TD) leading Arkansas in rushing TD, and Raheim Sanders (83-508 6.1 3 TD) leads the team in rushing. However Arkansas hasn't faced a defense like Alabama's all season, who through 4 games has yielded only 29 points, yielding barely 7 points per contest. The Razorbacks are a top 10 rushing team averaging about 244 yards on the ground per contest, and 236 yards in the air, and score about 34 points per game. However they are also allowing 26 points in the process and don't match the depth Alabama ha on either side of the ball much less the same talent. Jalen Moody and Demarco Hellams each lead the team with 25 tackles in a balanced attack while Will Anderson Jr. leads the Tide with 5 sacks. The difference is the depth for Bama and the ability to score in bunches while dominating in first downs and time of possession even though the Crimson Tide don't need much to gain yards in bunches and to score at will making opposing defenses look a lot more vulnerable throughout the contest.
Alabama is allowing less than 2 yards a carry with their rushing defense, and if Jefferson himself can't establish the option calling his own number, it will force the Razorbacks to become one dimensional. With Young's ability to pick and choose his receivers and take matters into his own hands running the ball behind a stout offensive line, they could come at Arkansas defense at will. The series throughout history has ended up lopsided several times in "Bama's favor, and with the pass defense allowing over 300 yards in three of their 4 games thus far, it will only further set the table for Alabama's extensive attack on both sides of the ball to turn this contest into a cakewalk.
I'll have a second play coming up for later tonight.
(2) Alabama -17 -115 over (20) Arkansas:
So while voters may be a bit bummed who are favoring the undefeated Crimson Tide (4-0 1-0) perhaps felt they got quite the lull in the schedule last week, hit the road again this time with another top 20 conference foe ready to stand in their way. Last week in Tuscaloosa, defending Heisman Trophy winner Bryce Young (25/36 385 4 TD) set the tone early by throwing for all 4 of his TD passes in the first half, as the unbeaten Crimson Tide vaporized Vanderbilt (3-2 0-1) 55-3 at Bryant Denny Stadium. Ja'Corey Brooks (6-117 2 TD) caught 2 of those TD passes of 21 and 34 yards , while Trasheon Holden (3-45 1 TD) and Jahmyr Gibbs (3-43 1 TD) hauled in the finale from 7 yards out as "Bama raced out to a 31-3 halftime lead and never took their foot off the gas pedal offensively. A tale of two halves with the contest well in hand then featured the power running game as Jase McClellan (11-78 7.1) ran it in from 12 yards out in the third quarter. Jamarion Miller (9-63 7.0 2 TD) then capped off the scoring with 4th quarter scoring runs of one and 40 yards to complete the carnage. The Tide recorded 34 first downs to Vandy's 9, and outgained the Commodores 628-129 and held the ball for nearly 33 minutes. AJ Swann (13/26 115) had little success moving Vanderbilt down the field, limited the Commodores to just 14 yards rushing, and a lone 40 yard field goal by Joseph Bulovas midway through the first quarter. Alabama sacked Swann 6 times in all, 3 by Will Anderson Jr. Meanwhile, Devon Achane (19-159 8.4 1 TD) scored on an 8 yard TD run early in the third quarter and Demani Richardson ran back a fumble recovery 82 yards to paydirt as 23rd ranked Texas A&M (3-1 1-0) held off 10th rated Arkansas (3-1 1-1) 23-21 at AT&T Stadium last week. The Aggies overcame a quick 14-0 deficit early as KJ Jefferson (12/19 171 2 TD) threw a pair of first quarter TD passes to Ketron Jackson Jr (1-32 1 TD) and a 56 yard scoring pass to Warren Thompson (2-57 1 TD). Max Johnson (11/21 151 1 TD) found Evan Stewart (3-36 1 TD) on a 10 yard TD pass to get A&M on the board, followed by Jefferson's fumble inside the 20 that was recovered by Richardson 82 yards to paydirt, followed by a missed 2 point conversion that cut A&M's deficit to 1 at halftime. After Achane's game clinching TD run, Randy Bond's 31 yard field goal proved to be the game winner. Jefferson (18-105 5.8 1 TD) made things close late with a 10 yard scoring run that cut Arkansas's deficit to 2 points with 10:00 remaining, but the Razorbacks could not inch any closer nor solidify the lead late. The Aggies were outgained 415-343 and allowed 24 Arkansas first downs, but made the big plays defensively down the stretch in the 4th quarter. Jefferson also added a fumble late in the 4th with the Razorbacks driving that killed any late quarter rallies.
Young (83/121 1029 13 TD 2 INT) other than grinding it out earlier this season in a one point win over Texas, appears on his way to smooth sail another Heisman Trophy win barring injury or disaster. The junior continues to dominate under center as the class of the SEC as Alabama looks to take the national stage hoping to return to the National Championship this season. Young has quite a few weapons in his air arsenal led by Holden (15-214 4 TD,). Gibbs (17-187 3 TD), Brooks (10-179 2 TD) and Jermaine Burton (12-155 2 TD). Alabama's offense ranks 6th in the nation overall, including 48.5 ppg, 513 total yards and 283 passing yards which ranks in the top 30. Their rushing game is 10th overall led by McClellan (29-245 8.4 2 TD) and Gibbs, who is dangerous in the backfield and as one of Young's targets in the air raid (25-172 6.9). Arkansas does defend the run well limiting opponents to 99 rushing yards overall per contest but is near the bottom in the conference and the lower half in the nation allowing 303 passing yards overall. Bumper Pool does lead Arkansas in tackles with 37 while Drew Sanders is second on the team with 31 and leads the Razorbacks with 6 sacks. So the speed off the edges could test Young, however if Bryce does not make many mistakes Arkansas is not only weak in the secondary but have only recorded 2 picks all season.
Jefferson (67/97 941 8 TD 1 INT) is also off to a great start thus far under center. However if you want to compare abilities in the passing game, credit Young with more target options than Jefferson. Matt Landers (15-230) leads the Razorbacks in receiving yards,, however has not yet found the end zone as of yet. Jadon Haselwood (18-214 2 TD) leads a trio of receivers that each have 2 TD receptions. Jefferson is also nimble with his feet (64-274 4.3 4 TD) leading Arkansas in rushing TD, and Raheim Sanders (83-508 6.1 3 TD) leads the team in rushing. However Arkansas hasn't faced a defense like Alabama's all season, who through 4 games has yielded only 29 points, yielding barely 7 points per contest. The Razorbacks are a top 10 rushing team averaging about 244 yards on the ground per contest, and 236 yards in the air, and score about 34 points per game. However they are also allowing 26 points in the process and don't match the depth Alabama ha on either side of the ball much less the same talent. Jalen Moody and Demarco Hellams each lead the team with 25 tackles in a balanced attack while Will Anderson Jr. leads the Tide with 5 sacks. The difference is the depth for Bama and the ability to score in bunches while dominating in first downs and time of possession even though the Crimson Tide don't need much to gain yards in bunches and to score at will making opposing defenses look a lot more vulnerable throughout the contest.
Alabama is allowing less than 2 yards a carry with their rushing defense, and if Jefferson himself can't establish the option calling his own number, it will force the Razorbacks to become one dimensional. With Young's ability to pick and choose his receivers and take matters into his own hands running the ball behind a stout offensive line, they could come at Arkansas defense at will. The series throughout history has ended up lopsided several times in "Bama's favor, and with the pass defense allowing over 300 yards in three of their 4 games thus far, it will only further set the table for Alabama's extensive attack on both sides of the ball to turn this contest into a cakewalk.
I'll have a second play coming up for later tonight.
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