JIMMY THE GREEK SAYS

jimmythegreek

The opening odds start here
(9) Notre Dame -34 -120 over Central Michigan:
The Fighting Irish (3-0) look to continue their perfect season and look to keep their National Championship hopes alive when they host the Chippewas (1-1) at South Bend. Last week, at a monsoon covered Carter Finley Stadium, Sam Hartman (15/24 286 4 TD) had about his best game as a starter since transferring from Wake Forest as the fighting Irish wrecked the NC State Wolfpack 45-24. The former Demon Deacon, despite being sacked 5 times, connected with Holden Staes (4-115 2 TD) twice in passing TD's of 40 and 35 yards, both in the second half. Hartman also hooked up with Jaden Greathouse (3-15 1 TD) and Davis Sherwood (1-10 1 TD) on scoring passes of 13 and 10 yards. Audric Estime (14-134 9.6 2 TD) scampered 80 yards to paydirt in the first half, and added a 7 yard TD run in the second half as the Irish never trailed. Brennan Armstrong (22/47 260 2 TD 3 INT) was mediocre at best accounting for all 3 Wolfpack turnovers. NC State played from behind all contest long and was Notre Dame's 29th consecutive ACC defeat. ND outgained NC State 456-344 and held the Wolfpack to just 84 yards rushing.. Meanwhile, a 47 yard field goal by Tristan Mattson helped break a 42 all tie and helped CMU edge New Hampshire 45-42 last week at Kelly Shore Stadium. The Wildcats never trailed but stayed close throughout and tied the game at 42 with 3:55 remaining thanks to a 71 yard TD pass by Max Brosner (32/50 493 4 TD 1 INT) who set personal records of passing yards and TD passes in a game. CMU was held to just 45 yards rushing despite scoring runs by Laube (7-30 4.3 1 TD) Myles Thomason (8-12 1.5 1 TD), both from a yard out. Bert Emanuel Jr (7/19 193 2 TD 2 INT) had trouble all day with his accuracy and his team's inability to hold onto the ball. However, he ran for 101 yards on 21 carries (4.8) and 2 TD's which included a 66 yard scamper to paydirt to open the game and for 5 yards out in the second half. Myles Bailey (21-108 5.1 1 TD) added a one yard run in the early part of the 3rd quarter that gave the Chippewas their biggest lead at 35-21.

Hartman (48/64 731 10 TD) has looked every bit of his explosiveness, just in blue and gold this time around heading to a stronger independent from a conference his Irish has dominated over the last 5+ seasons. Estime (43-345 8.0 4 TD) has been a one man wrecking machine in the running game behind Hartman. Plus there's so much balance and domination in the receiving core noting a 4 target spread led by Chris Tyree (6-128 1 TD), Jayden Thomas (8-125 1 TD), plus Staes (5-119 3 TD) and Greathouse (8-113 4 TD) who have already scored 3 times this season. Second year head coach Marcus Freeman would not have this powerhouse of an offense churn any other way averaging 48 ppg as well as 445 net yards per contest thus far. This does not bode well for a Chippewas squad that just got by allowing 42 points to an FCS team in New Hampshire. The defense is allowing 37 points per contest, and started out their campaign losing 31-7 to Michigan State.Other than Donte Kent who is quick as a cat with 21 tackles thus far and right behind him is Kyle Moretti with 15, the team has just 3 sacks and one INT with no clear cut pass rush to intimidate opposing QB's. The Irish do operate methodically but like to pursue their will early to slow teams down and milk the game away with their durability and clock management. Hartman has been accurate in better than 75% of his pass plays in getting Estime involved with gaining yards in bunches off successful drives.

50/50 is not going to get it done early and going forward, especially when you play in a conference like the MAC. Emmanuel Jr (18/36 280 3 TD 3 INT) is at least not afraid to take chances, but his game management skills and accuracy as been equally painful to watch. He and Bailey have been the mainstay of what is otherwise a weak running game. and other than Chris Parker (5-142 1 TD) don't have much depth in the receiving core as well. Without much depth in either sector, it may take a strategy to try and contain this powerhouse they are up to, because let's face it, going toe to toe with the Irish the Chips are simply not built to approach nor defend. Notre Dame ranks 10th nationally with 123.3 passing yards allowed a game. Central Michigan ranks 122nd nationally with 150.0 passing yards a game. Eight different defensive backs have tackles already in double digits, led by Jack Kiser (16),and Howard Cross and Marist Liufau each with 15. Despite only 5 sacks, 6 different secondaries and safeties already have recorded 6 picks. Unless Jim Mcelwain has some gadget plays and intangibles, it's going to be a long day on both sides of the ball for Central Michigan.


Most will bicker and beckon that the Irish are laying nearly 5 TD here, but Bert Emmanel Jr is only asking for more when it comes to sinking himself. When teams that have to play against Notre Dame from behind, the Irish will not hesitate to impose their will behind Hartman and Estime. I think this is a case of two teams trending in opposite directions. Notre Dame has been on a roll, and when looking at the underlying metrics, the Irish have been even better than the scoreboard has shown. If I do have a second play, don't worry. There will be plenty of time for me to analyze the percentages and metrics here, as the Irish should put this game away by halftime. But first, we need to get ourselves on the board after dropping the first 3 for almost 3.5 units, which is uncharacteristic and unacceptable of me.
 

Jammer

EOG Dedicated
Do they pull Hartman when they are blowing them out, or leave him in to fluff his heisman numbers?
 

jimmythegreek

The opening odds start here
Good point Jammer. I just think the Irish at home will score at will so much against a porous defense, that they just take the motivation out of a CMU team. The backups get the job done in the late second half by preservation. Chippewas feeling pretty down after nearly losing to a FCS school.
 

jimmythegreek

The opening odds start here
Kansas -27 -130 over Nevada:
I am going to hear the groans during the wee hours of the NFL morning buying down pretty steep on this tilt as the Jayhawks give a lot of points to Nevada (0-2). However, Kansas (2-0) looks to be picking up this season where they left off last, looking like confident world beaters. These Jayhawks are coming off a pretty impressive win after taking out Illinois 34-23 last week at David Booth Stadium. The Jayhawks never trailed, led by as many as 27 points at one juncture, although the way the game ended left a lot to be desired to close out leaving Lance Leipold not happy. The Jayhawks somehow held on despite being held scoreless the final 26:00 of the game, however the performance was enough to earn a second win. Jalon Daniels (21/29 277 2 TD 1 INT) had his way in the first half against a less than expected Illinois defense. The Jayhawks were leading Illinois 28-7 at halftime thanks to both of his TD passes, one to Tony Locklin and one to Jared Casey, both from 5 yards out and their only catches. Devin Neal (10-120 12.0 1 TD) had a 5 yard scoring run and Daniel Hishaw (12-98 9.2 1 TD) also found paydirt from a yard out. Kansas outgained Illinois 539-341 despite only managing 2 second half field goals. The Fighting Illini committed 3 turnovers, 2 by Luke Altymer (18/29 202 1 TDS 2 INT) who despite leading a comeback in the second half, fell little too late. Altmyer (13-70 (5.4 2 TD) also let his fancy footwork lead the charge with 2 late scampers from 72 and 6 yards respectively. Despite both teams committing 3 turnovers, Kanss dominated the time of possession 37-23 minutes.

Daniels stepped up in his debut as did Bean in the opener, and thanks to Neal and Bishaw, have won their first 2 games by sizeable margins thus far. Lawrence Arnold (9-166) and Luke Grimm (7-102 1 TD) give the Jayhawks passing game the ability to make big plays against the defense. Leipold can choose to have a dual QB threat or has the luxury later on in the season to go to a lone starter given the early performance of both. However, the ground game has made a statement early in the season given they rush on average for 254 yards a game, 5th in the nation. The 530 yards average offense along with 41 points per contest gives Kansas the edge as one of the more balanced offenses in the Big 12. Nevada is second to last against the pass allowing an average of 382 yards overall. They;ve also allowed nearly 100 total points their first 2 games and are in the bottom third against the run giving up 184 yards on average. Thwe Wolfpack do have 5 sacks by 5 different players and have forced 2 turnovers, but seem to be victimized by a lack of personnel being on the same page during the game. Richard Toney Jr leads the team with 12 tackles, but he is the only one in double digits in that category. They are very light at safety and defensive back since Don Washington has allowed 12 receivers to catch passes while only having one assist and one tackle himself. More fuel to add for this offense that can mix up their specialties not allowing much time attacking early and often in the virtual no huddle.

For the winless Wolfpack, the 2 QB combination of Brendon Lewis (30/53 286 1 INT) and AJ Blanco (12/19 176 1 TD 1 INT) has shown anything but continuity. Without depth in the backfield and arm strength nor efficiency under center, Nevada has not shown any promise thus far bringing up the rear before even entering MVC play, Sean Dollars (18-81 4.5 1 TD) has recorded the only rushing TD thus far, and Jamaal Lewis (16-188 1 TD) is the only bright spot in the receiving core. Nevada averages just 322 yards per game and their defense allows 566, very near the bottom of FBS. Meanwhile, Kansas, despite not yet representing Big 12 play, has shown a good start out of the gate on defense, with 3 double digit tackers, each with 10, in Hayden Hatcher, Kenny Logan Jr, and JB Brown. Also, Jereme Robinson has 4 of their team's 8 sacks, CB Kwinton Lassiotler has 3 picks in the first 2 games. It's going to take a gargantuan effort from Ken Wilson and his crew on both sides of the ball to even have a fighting chance against one of the nation's most improved programs from last season. Granted one of the Wolfpack's losses was at the hands of $5 USC 66-14, but that doesn't count for any mercy points here as they return home.

The Wolf Pack will have to improve on both sides of the ball if they want to avoid a disastrous season. Facing adversity along with not much of a support program is one of Nevada's achilles' heels. he Jayhawks look like a well-balanced team with plenty of dangerous weapons on the offensive side of the ball, and the Wolf Pack will struggle to compete against them. Best of luck however you play!
 

ComptrBob

EOG Master
Kansas -27 -130 over Nevada:


For the winless Wolfpack, the 2 QB combination of Brendon Lewis (30/53 286 1 INT) and AJ Blanco (12/19 176 1 TD 1 INT) has shown anything but continuity. Without depth in the backfield and arm strength nor efficiency under center, Nevada has not shown any promise thus far bringing up the rear before even entering MVC play,

Nevada doesn't play anyone in the MVC this year. However, they may bring up the rear in the Mountain West.
 

jimmythegreek

The opening odds start here
Wow this has been one horrific start. I hope I can go early turn it around as it is only week 3. About to be zero for five. But all of us go through these ruts and hope we can have another positive day in the NFL.
 
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