Joe Lunardi

ComptrBob

EOG Master
Re: Joe Lunardi

Yeah, but he did say that this year's top seeds had the weakest metrics he's seen since starting Bracketology. Said last year's top teams were the second best in all his years. His specialty is really only getting the last 4 IN, last 4 OUT in the last projection. His tournament seeding has generally just been so-so.
 

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
Re: Joe Lunardi

There's a chance Joe Lunardi has a mole planted on the NCAA Division I men's basketball Selection Committee.
 

rico1

EOG Master
Re: Joe Lunardi

Tough year for Joey brackets. Lots of real mediocre teams cluttering up the bottom of the at-large bids.
 

Square

EOG Enthusiast
Re: Joe Lunardi

It's a mess at the bottom of the bracket- no Louisville and no SMU means they are scraping to fill the field.
 

ComptrBob

EOG Master
Re: Joe Lunardi

Metrics = KenPom no doubt.

I would guess he mostly uses Sagarin, Kenpom is way off what the committee looks at.

His bracket for today excludes Northern Iowa and still has Wichita State as a 7 seed. He also still has Belmont and not the automatic bid, Austin Peay. It seems the least he could do would be to include the automatic bids and rejigger a bit. He's getting really sloppy, not nearly as predictive as he used to be.
 

ComptrBob

EOG Master
Re: Joe Lunardi

Well, the lazy goofball got so badly flamed on Twitter, he just now updated today's bracket with yesterday's automatic bids. Still has Wichita State as a 7 seed. Jerry Palm has Wichita State as the 3rd team out. Lunardi has Northern Iowa stuck in as a 14 seed.
 

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
Re: Joe Lunardi

I would guess he mostly uses Sagarin, Kenpom is way off what the committee looks at.

His bracket for today excludes Northern Iowa and still has Wichita State as a 7 seed. He also still has Belmont and not the automatic bid, Austin Peay. It seems the least he could do would be to include the automatic bids and rejigger a bit. He's getting really sloppy, not nearly as predictive as he used to be.


Add "rejigger" to my EOG glossary.
 

jimmythegreek

The opening odds start here
The brackets are about as wide open as they've been for several years now. He don't know nor is as accurate with his bubble or seedings more than Clark Kellogg, and even I find him to be clueless and revolting as ever.
 

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
Excellent info, MrTop.

And, if memory serves, UVA opened a 22-point favorite and closed a 20.5-point choice.

Money for the 'dog.

No DeAndre Hunter for the Cavs.
 

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
At the start of the UMBC-UVA game, #16 seeds were 0-135 against #1 seeds since the tournament field expanded to 64 teams in 1985.
 

MrTop

EOG Master
Excellent info, MrTop.

And, if memory serves, UVA opened a 22-point favorite and closed a 20.5-point choice.

Money for the 'dog.

No DeAndre Hunter for the Cavs.



good memory JK. closing numbers are


1 shop offshore had -20 ( intertops )

everyone else had Virginia -20.5 or -21



the highest opening numbers were at -23 for Cris, Coast, wynn & mirage
 

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
I remember Dink's story about the historic upset.

Dink went to a Vegas Golden Knights game at T-Mobile Arena on the first Friday night of the NCAA Tournament in 2018.

He exited the arena and checked his phone for scores of that night's college basketball action.

He saw, "UMBC 74 Virginia 54."

He assumed ESPN's mobile platform had transposed the scores.

After all, it's rare to see a 20-point underdog win by 20 points in college basketball or any sport, for that matter.
 
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ComptrBob

EOG Master
I remember watching the game, UVA absolutely panicked with about 10 minutes left.

Instead of being able to close about a 8 pt margin, they forced pass after pass with mostly turnovers. Every time they scored, they let UMBC come back and get open shots, maintaining their lead. Really ugly, but historic game.
 
Amazing how things change in a year. From that utter embarrassing moment to winning it the next year with a lot of close calls going their way.
 

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
The ACC earned three #1 seeds last season.

This season, they'll likely have no #1 seeds and only three teams with protected status
 
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