IMO, the Pirates and Diamondbacks are pretty similar in talent. But one plays in a very tough division and I got 78.5 and went under (Pirates). The other plays in a decidedly weak division, priced at a lower number, and was a horrible 20-31 in one run games despite finishing over .500. Going over 75.5 with Dbacks.
Goldschmidt at 28 1/2. The over has been getting hit but I'm not sure that's the right move. Like Bomzee said about Machado, St. Louis isn't exactly Chase Field. And while a humidor was installed during last season, the heavy bulk of Goldy's career has been under launching pad conditions. And 9-10 games per season in Coors didn't hurt, either.