Gamble judiciously.
Success in the sports betting arena is contingent on good judgment.
Learning from experience is important, researching relevant information is critical and projecting a team's performance in the context of its best and worst efforts is a must.
In the end, sports handicappers must weigh all variables and circumstances, then ultimately select the correct betting action.
It's all about making successful decisions.
Whether a gambler contemplates for days or places a wager in a split-second, the goal is to feel no regret about the bet.
When I'm at my best, the plays come leaping off the screen and I'm content with the outcome, win or lose.
My highest-yielding investments arrive from wagering decisions which are made quickly.
See the price and act accordingly.
Is the favorite priced too high or too low?
Is the total priced too high or too low?
Be aggressive with your bankroll when riding a winning streak and exercise caution during down times.
Sports betting is a streaky business and here's why: When gamblers are doing the right thing, winning begets winning.
Wagers are placed and winning opinions are confirmed in two or three hours with positive outcomes.
Think of a golfer or bowler or tennis player who gets in a groove with his or her mechanics.
Everything comes naturally, nothing is forced and positive results are achieved.
The confident gambler, armed with a sharp opinion, is able to outperform his fellow gamblers and the house advantage.
Beating fellow gamblers to attractive pointspreads is one of the keys to overcoming the house edge (4.54%) in the world of 11-10.
Alternatively, the struggling handicapper is unsure of his opinions and starts to second-guess every decision, especially the losing ones.
The gambler then fails to show poise, reduced to guessing between Team A or Team B, and displays panic when faced with a shrinking bankroll.
Don't be that guy.
ARMY STRONG: The best bet I made last week took place in the annual Army-Navy game.
Because I was late to the party when sports books opened the total at 44 and quickly adjusted downward to 40, I investigated markets other than the game total.
Missing key numbers of 41, 43 and 44 did not thrill me.
Over the last 12 meetings (now 13 and counting), the Army-Navy game failed to reach the posted total.
I was confident Army's improving defense would stone a Navy offense that struggled most of the season without a quality quarterback.
(Where have you gone, Keenan Reynolds?)
Army's defense was the only squad all season to hold Oklahoma to fewer than 30 points in a 28-21 overtime loss to the Sooners.
I wavered among three wagering options.
Betting Army on the money line (-250 or thereabouts) was the most probable winner, but I was worried by Navy's 14-game winning streak from 2002-2015.
I also considered betting Navy's team total under 16.5 (-110) though I feared a fluke touchdown with such a low number.
In hindsight, I should have let my hands go (a boxing term applicable to the gambling arena) and bet both of the above positions.
Instead, I passed on making a wager before kickoff, largely because of indecisiveness.
However, live wagering is always available on high-profile events and many times, it offers better opportunities for the shrewd observer.
Case in point: Army scored the game's first touchdown on a five-play, 82-yard drive that came less than three minutes into the contest.
The quick touchdown drive confirmed my pregame beliefs on Army's dominance and I wanted desperately to leverage my strong opinions on the game.
The in-game total was suddenly changed from 38.5 to 44.5, a six-point adjustment that looked unjustified for three reasons: 1) The favorite scored, 2) The first points of the game must be scored at some point and 3) The wiseguy money, which depressed the total from 44 to as low as 38 before kickoff, must be respected.
Much to my delight, the game flowed exactly as I thought.
A scoreless second quarter was followed by a third quarter that saw Army kick a field goal on its opening drive of the half, a drive which lasted more than eight minutes and gave the Black Knights a 10-0 lead heading into the final quarter.
Final score: Army 17 Navy 10, a result which did not thrill bookmakers who bounced above and below the key pointspread number of 7 throughout the week.
Arturo O'Connor, a veteran of the sports betting wars, declared the result "horrific" for the house.
O'Connor, whose Eye On Gaming screen name is Viejo Dinosaur, currently works for the respected sports book Grande, headquartered in the Dominican Republic.
On the subject of valued EOG contributors, allow me to give an assist on my successful in-game wager to Las Vegas-based sports bettor Alan Denkenson, who once told me the secret to finding value with in-game wagering.
Dink said, "You must be willing to bet AGAINST what just happened in the game."
MONDAY'S BEST BET....Play 529 Miami Heat +6.5 (-110) over the Los Angeles Lakers.
Spoelstra over Walton.
A quick rematch for the Heat after losing at home to the Lakers, 113-97, on November 18.
Dwyane Wade and Goran Dragic did not play in the 16-point home loss.
LeBron went off for 51 points in his return to American Airlines Arena.
Both teams will be playing short-handed with Miami's Hassan Whiteside and possibly Josh Richardson to miss the game while Brandon Ingram is still nursing a sprained ankle for Los Angeles.
The Lakers ship in from Memphis after a Saturday night game.
The Heat played the Clippers at Staples Center on Saturday night and posted an impressive 23-point win over their listless hosts.
Miami's crafty point guard Goran Dragic (rest) sat out Saturday night's game but he should be available tonight.
Miami is essentially playing a road game with no travel.
Success in the sports betting arena is contingent on good judgment.
Learning from experience is important, researching relevant information is critical and projecting a team's performance in the context of its best and worst efforts is a must.
In the end, sports handicappers must weigh all variables and circumstances, then ultimately select the correct betting action.
It's all about making successful decisions.
Whether a gambler contemplates for days or places a wager in a split-second, the goal is to feel no regret about the bet.
When I'm at my best, the plays come leaping off the screen and I'm content with the outcome, win or lose.
My highest-yielding investments arrive from wagering decisions which are made quickly.
See the price and act accordingly.
Is the favorite priced too high or too low?
Is the total priced too high or too low?
Be aggressive with your bankroll when riding a winning streak and exercise caution during down times.
Sports betting is a streaky business and here's why: When gamblers are doing the right thing, winning begets winning.
Wagers are placed and winning opinions are confirmed in two or three hours with positive outcomes.
Think of a golfer or bowler or tennis player who gets in a groove with his or her mechanics.
Everything comes naturally, nothing is forced and positive results are achieved.
The confident gambler, armed with a sharp opinion, is able to outperform his fellow gamblers and the house advantage.
Beating fellow gamblers to attractive pointspreads is one of the keys to overcoming the house edge (4.54%) in the world of 11-10.
Alternatively, the struggling handicapper is unsure of his opinions and starts to second-guess every decision, especially the losing ones.
The gambler then fails to show poise, reduced to guessing between Team A or Team B, and displays panic when faced with a shrinking bankroll.
Don't be that guy.
ARMY STRONG: The best bet I made last week took place in the annual Army-Navy game.
Because I was late to the party when sports books opened the total at 44 and quickly adjusted downward to 40, I investigated markets other than the game total.
Missing key numbers of 41, 43 and 44 did not thrill me.
Over the last 12 meetings (now 13 and counting), the Army-Navy game failed to reach the posted total.
I was confident Army's improving defense would stone a Navy offense that struggled most of the season without a quality quarterback.
(Where have you gone, Keenan Reynolds?)
Army's defense was the only squad all season to hold Oklahoma to fewer than 30 points in a 28-21 overtime loss to the Sooners.
I wavered among three wagering options.
Betting Army on the money line (-250 or thereabouts) was the most probable winner, but I was worried by Navy's 14-game winning streak from 2002-2015.
I also considered betting Navy's team total under 16.5 (-110) though I feared a fluke touchdown with such a low number.
In hindsight, I should have let my hands go (a boxing term applicable to the gambling arena) and bet both of the above positions.
Instead, I passed on making a wager before kickoff, largely because of indecisiveness.
However, live wagering is always available on high-profile events and many times, it offers better opportunities for the shrewd observer.
Case in point: Army scored the game's first touchdown on a five-play, 82-yard drive that came less than three minutes into the contest.
The quick touchdown drive confirmed my pregame beliefs on Army's dominance and I wanted desperately to leverage my strong opinions on the game.
The in-game total was suddenly changed from 38.5 to 44.5, a six-point adjustment that looked unjustified for three reasons: 1) The favorite scored, 2) The first points of the game must be scored at some point and 3) The wiseguy money, which depressed the total from 44 to as low as 38 before kickoff, must be respected.
Much to my delight, the game flowed exactly as I thought.
A scoreless second quarter was followed by a third quarter that saw Army kick a field goal on its opening drive of the half, a drive which lasted more than eight minutes and gave the Black Knights a 10-0 lead heading into the final quarter.
Final score: Army 17 Navy 10, a result which did not thrill bookmakers who bounced above and below the key pointspread number of 7 throughout the week.
Arturo O'Connor, a veteran of the sports betting wars, declared the result "horrific" for the house.
O'Connor, whose Eye On Gaming screen name is Viejo Dinosaur, currently works for the respected sports book Grande, headquartered in the Dominican Republic.
On the subject of valued EOG contributors, allow me to give an assist on my successful in-game wager to Las Vegas-based sports bettor Alan Denkenson, who once told me the secret to finding value with in-game wagering.
Dink said, "You must be willing to bet AGAINST what just happened in the game."
MONDAY'S BEST BET....Play 529 Miami Heat +6.5 (-110) over the Los Angeles Lakers.
Spoelstra over Walton.
A quick rematch for the Heat after losing at home to the Lakers, 113-97, on November 18.
Dwyane Wade and Goran Dragic did not play in the 16-point home loss.
LeBron went off for 51 points in his return to American Airlines Arena.
Both teams will be playing short-handed with Miami's Hassan Whiteside and possibly Josh Richardson to miss the game while Brandon Ingram is still nursing a sprained ankle for Los Angeles.
The Lakers ship in from Memphis after a Saturday night game.
The Heat played the Clippers at Staples Center on Saturday night and posted an impressive 23-point win over their listless hosts.
Miami's crafty point guard Goran Dragic (rest) sat out Saturday night's game but he should be available tonight.
Miami is essentially playing a road game with no travel.
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