NCAAB: Michigan State at Northwestern (Sunday, December 20)

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
Game takes place this Sunday at Welsh-Ryan Arena in Evanston, Illinois.

Tip time is 7:00 p.m. CT.

Big Ten opener for both teams.

Michigan State enters the game with a perfect 6-0 record.

Northwestern has only one loss on its short four-game card, a disappointing 71-70 setback against Pitt, in which the Panthers scored the final six points of the game.

NU never trailed except for the game's final six seconds.

NU earlier this week blew out a Division II foe (Quincy) to replace their COVID-19 canceled game against SIU-Edwardsville.

Head coach Chris Collins evaluated his squad after the game.

(Paraphrasing here) Collins admitted, "We're deep, we're versatile, we want to play fast, but we are not very physical."

The lack of toughness is not a good sign for Northwestern against a Michigan State program whose calling card under Tom Izzo has always been its physical style.

However, I've noticed this edition of MSU hoops has had a bad habit of falling behind opponents shortly after tipoff.

Six games, six first-half deficits.

The Spartans trailed against Eastern Michigan (19-17), Notre Dame (26-22), Duke (13-3 and 16-9), Detroit (tied at 35 at the half), Western Michigan (20-15) and Oakland (9-6).

Seems like this Michigan State team allows the game to come to them.

In horse racing terms, the Spartans are laterunners.

Meantime, in Northwestern's only game against a legitimate opponent (Pitt), the Wildcats broke from the gate quickly and led 30-16 in the first half before heading to intermission with a 33-22 advantage.

Enough handicapping, two gambling points:

1) If you're going to lay the spot with Michigan State (MSU figures to be about a 4 or 5-point road favorite), think about waiting for a live number five or ten minutes into the game.

And 2) If you're looking to back Northwestern, think about supporting the Wildcats with a first-half bet in lieu of a full-game wager.

Whether it's college football or college basketball, I've always found finesse teams against physical opponents have a much better chance to lead at the halftime break as opposed to the final gun.

I'll wait to see opening numbers this weekend before formulating a definite way to attack the game.
 

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
northwestern is awful


The Wildcats are weak but they're better than last year's team that finished 8-23 overall and 3-17 in Big Ten play.

They go about 10-deep which not only provides Collins some flexibility with his substitutions but also improves the quality of practice time.

Little-known fact: NU lost to Minnesota last March in one of the two games played in the Big Ten tournament, a game that was one of the last sporting events before the pandemic hit.

In that game, NU led at the half 31-29 before collapsing in the second half to lose 74-57.
 

railbird

EOG Master
jay bilas was promoting washington basketball, he couldnt have been more wrong, like always, typial espn hack
 

railbird

EOG Master
mike hopkins played for fraud gary mcknight at mater dei, and then on to be on the bench for 20 yrs with pedofile bernie fine
 

Valuist

EOG Master
Michigan State may be able to defend come March, but they can't right now. Either that or they feel sorry for their smaller in state rivals and let them score.

Oakland just hung a 91 burger on them. That's 0-8 Oakland. Detroit put up 76. And that was with Detroit only shooting 5 of 22 beyond the arc. Eastern Michigan put up 67 despite going only 4 of 21 from beyond the arc.
 

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
Thanks Cow.

I bet NU +3.5 in the first half, a selection entered in EOG's Best Bet thread.

Northwestern plays hard.

Limited but the Wildcats will not lack effort this season.

Chris Collins has more depth at the guard position than ever before.

Collins loved the effort from Buie, Berry, Greer and Gaines, all of whom he mentioned by name in the postgame press conference.

All four guards bring a little something different to the court.

Collins did NOT mention the only other Northwestern guard who played tonight.

That's William & Mary transfer Chase Audige.

The coach was visibly upset at Audige on several occasions by his selfish play and questionable decisions.

I can see trouble brewing there because Collins is a taskmaster with a short fuse and Audige seemingly ignores instruction.

On the other sideline, Tom Izzo was embarrassed by his team's effort tonight.

He was flabbergasted because his players did not show up for this season's Big Ten opener.

Izzo suffered only his fifth loss against Northwestern in 26 seasons at Michigan State.

The Spartans are not as talented as in years past and they miss their Alpha male from last season, Cassius Winston.
 
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