Here is the real breakdown. Out of the 16 lined games,
Home faves were 7-4
Home dogs were 3-2
Faves were 9-7.
Of the 7 dogs, 6 won outright.
The spread counted in one game, the Bears covering against the Gaming Tribes.
So taking a dog, hoping for a cover instead of a win worked 1 out of 16 times.
I think you will normally see more covers and less upsets, but in week one, no surprise there were surprises. There were no double digit spreads, and the highest 7 1/2, was covered.
Surprising also was the size of the dogs winning. 49ers, Saints, Miami and Bucs were all 5 to 6 1/2 point dogs winning outright. The baby faves just crushed opponents except for scoring challenged Gaming Tribes and false fave on MNF Philly. Again, it is just one week. Week two has a double digit spread, and one at 9. Much truer numbers will naturally surface over the next 3 weeks. But for now, hoping for that backdoor cover taking the dog is close to futile. Pick the team that wins the game.
Best Wishes...OF:+waving-5