One day into 2020 and we have the BAD BEAT of the Year

winkyduck

winkyduck

TYVM Morgan William!!!
Lakers favored by 11 over Phoenix

Lakers UP 33 at Half.......74-41

DeAndre Ayton gets a "meaningless" basket with 14.6 left to make the final score: Lakers 117-107. A 10-point win

If you had the Lakers -11......."congrats" - you had the WORST Bad Beat of 2020 and we are only 1 day into the Year

SVP is gonna feature this on Monday
 
GameBred

GameBred

I Trade Therefore I Am
winkyduck said:
Lakers favored by 11 over Phoenix

Lakers UP 33 at Half.......74-41

DeAndre Ayton gets a "meaningless" basket with 14.6 left to make the final score: Lakers 117-107. A 10-point win

If you had the Lakers -11......."congrats" - you had the WORST Bad Beat of 2020 and we are only 1 day into the Year

SVP is gonna feature this on Monday
Click to expand...

I'm upset that LBJ had to step one foot on that court in the 4th. Very upset. I have responded by posting and updating my MVP Ratings.... it's my only outlet.
 
S

SlipperyPete

EOG Dedicated
14.6 is quite a bit of time.

My worse "meaningless bad beat basket" was years ago. I believe it was Latrell Sprewell's first game as a Knick.

Game has already been decided. There were like 3 secs left, yet he races down the length of the floor to chuck up a 3, which affected either the side or the total, dont remember anymore.

Of course he made it, and ruining my bet in the process
It still hurts...
 
P

Paleface

EOG 500 Champion Dec. 2013
With the betting market being pretty much clairvoyant in every sport now, seems like 99.9999% of all games are now decided in the last second, or a random result.
 
C

ComptrBob

EOG Master
Actually, the game crossed the spread at 6:49 of Q4 at 105-95. Became a random result as it got down to a margin of 7 to 10 points several times.
 
John Kelly

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
Bob, what percentage of pointspread decisions in 2019 would you estimate were random results?

And how would you quantify a random result?

Can you call the result of a game "random" on the final score alone or is it necessary to do a deeper dive?
 
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jimmythegreek

jimmythegreek

The opening odds start here
I'm sure we will see much worse along the lines of bad beats this season. We're not even at the halfway point of the NBA and CBB conference games have only commenced a couple of weeks on league-wide average. At least we fulfilled the "you gotta be kidding me" category just one day into the new decade".
 
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TobyTyler

TobyTyler

EOG Dedicated
How is that a bad beat? Guy is supposed to drop kick the ball out of bounds because they have a lead? Part of hoops totals.
 
M

MrTop

EOG Master
winkyduck said:
Lakers favored by 11 over Phoenix

Lakers UP 33 at Half.......74-41

DeAndre Ayton gets a "meaningless" basket with 14.6 left to make the final score: Lakers 117-107. A 10-point win

If you had the Lakers -11......."congrats" - you had the WORST Bad Beat of 2020 and we are only 1 day into the Year

SVP is gonna feature this on Monday
Click to expand...










got out scored in the 4th big time . 28-16

lakers now are 18-16 ATS


2-7 Last 9 ATS
 
C

ComptrBob

EOG Master
John Kelly said:
Bob, what percentage of pointspread decisions in 2019 would you estimate were random results?

And how would you quantify a random result?

Can you call the result of a game "random" on the final score alone or is it necessary to do a deeper dive?
Click to expand...

I would define random result as a decision on a game that is near the point spread, but not a close SU situation. So fouling to extend the game can result in the winner covering a spread of say 3 to 8 points, but that is a somewhat predictable. A deeper dive is probably necessary to understand the end game dynamic.

When I saw the 43-14 roll, I thought of your saying, "Come get me now". :) ... and by God, the Suns did eventually get the money ...
 
kane

kane

EOG master
Yeah it was a bad beat, but that kind of thing happens all the time in the NBA, just the other week the Raptors trailed the Mavs by 30 in the second half and rallied to win the game. By the time this year is over, last night's game won't even make the top 100 bad beats of the year
 
jimmythegreek

jimmythegreek

The opening odds start here
If you want a bad beat, how about trying on the fate of Jason Garrett for size. While his contract expires in roughly a dozen days, and 3 meetings later with Jerry Jones, the longer that these meetings go with no resolution coming out of them, the better the fate looks for Garrett. At the very least he remains with the team in some capacity, or perhaps in fact a retention, much to the chagrin of the fan base.
 
WildBill

WildBill

2
ComptrBob said:
I would define random result as a decision on a game that is near the point spread, but not a close SU situation. So fouling to extend the game can result in the winner covering a spread of say 3 to 8 points, but that is a somewhat predictable. A deeper dive is probably necessary to understand the end game dynamic.

When I saw the 43-14 roll, I thought of your saying, "Come get me now". :) ... and by God, the Suns did eventually get the money ...
Click to expand...

I think in general there are probably 50% of sports that you could call random, one score difference ATS. Bad call by the ref, bad bounce for someone, one mistake by an otherwise good player, etc. That's what makes sports so difficult to beat. I remember reading some magazine when I was young mention this. If a tout says he can go 80% winners but we all know 50% of games are random to a degree, that tout is basically saying he can predict such random events too. I found it very profound, still remember it probably 30 years after I read it.
 
D

dogball

EOG Master
Yes that is a bad beat. Get serious. It’s not outrageous bc as pointed out the margin was 7 -10 much of fourth q. It’s a kick in the balls for sure
 
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