X-Files College Basketball Thread

X-Files

X-Files

2
Feel free to post your comments, picks, critiques, writeups, W-L records with units +/- & to beg for cash herein ;
 
X-Files

X-Files

2
UT Rio Grande Valley @ TEXAS A&M
UT Rio Grande Valley +14½ -105 over TEXAS A&M
Pinnacle +14½ -105 BET365 +14½ -110 SportsInteraction +14½ -110 5DIMES +14½ -110 Bookmaker +14½ -110
Posted at 11:30 AM EST
Streaming: SEC Network
UT Rio Grande Valley +14½ -105 over TEXAS A&M
4:00 PM EST. The Aggies are a SEC team with a 2-0 record playing a WAC team that has zero market presence. If you walked down Las Vegas Boulevard and asked 100,000 people what Rio Grande’s last name was, maybe two people would know. We’ll get back to the Vaqueros in a second.
Texas A&M has nothing but market presence. Wherever Buzz Williams coaches success tends to follow. After leading the Marquette Golden Eagles to five NCAA Tournaments and five top 30 KenPom finishes in six years, Williams set his sights on rebuilding the Virginia Tech program, which he did in admirable fashion. Buzz’s shift to College Station caught many by surprise, as his Hokie squad was set to compete near the top of the ACC once again, and he appeared to have VT stabilized as a yearly Big Dance threat.
Last year’s A&M squad exceeded expectations from a conference win/loss standpoint, finishing 10-8 and T-6th after being picked 12th in the preseason. However, the Aggies finished just 131st in KenPom (second worst among SEC squads), a far cry from their 57th preseason ranking. Williams clearly had the Aggies playing much better basketball in February and March, but early season losses to Fairfield, Harvard, and Temple on neutral floors negatively impacted their overall performance. A&M looks primed to repeat its performance as a middle-tier SEC disruptor, as a lack of PG competence figures to be its Achilles Heel once again. The Aggies turned the ball over at the highest rate in the SEC last season.
The Aggies fared much better in the SEC last season than they should have from an advanced metric or power rating standpoint. Talent-wise, this is a bottom tier SEC team playing a top-tier WAC team.
As a former mentee to Lon Kruger, Lew Hill knows the inner-workings of building and sustaining a successful program. Within the WAC, that gold standard is located one state over in Las Cruces, where Chris Jans continuously restocks the talent supply with fit-for-system players via the transfer portal. Hill is copy-catting this formula to player acquisition and roster construction at UTRGV. Depth and experience, albeit not always Division I experience, underpin each of the last three teams Hill fielded in Edinburg. This mirroring approach has produced steady returns the last two seasons, as the Vaqueros took home the WAC’s bronze medal last year and finished above .500 the year prior.
UT Rio Grande returns 74% of last year’s minutes and infuses four impact transfers (Marek Nelson, Jeff Otchere, Ricky ‘Doc’ Nelson and Malik Lawrence-Anderson) to round out the edges. The strength in numbers lays the foundation for a relentless defensive front. Marek Nelson, a Western Kentucky import, is cut from the same cloth as many other indistinguishable players on this roster (long, versatile, etc.). Lew Hill won’t hesitate to go 10-deep on any given night, throwing waves of bodies to keep the pedal to metal defensively.
The Vaqueros have one credible opponent this season and that came in their season opener against Texas, which they got frog-stomped in 91-55. They won their next three games but the victories occurred against Texas San Antonio (UTSA), Texas A&M-CC and Division II foe, Lady of Lake. In other words, one resounding loss and three garbage wins. That said, A&M has two garbage wins against New Orleans and Tarleton with the latter being by a mere 7 points. We now get twice that with a solid team that is capable of not only competing but perhaps pulling off the upset of the day.
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https://www.sportswagers.ca/ncaab/
 
J

Jammer

EOG Dedicated
Why do you keep posting Sportswagers plays? Don't you think if anyone gave a shit about them, they would just go to their site?
 
X-Files

X-Files

2
Jammer said:
Why do you keep posting Sportswagers plays? Don't you think if anyone gave a shit about them, they would just go to their site?
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Read the OP. The answer is already hinted at or implied there. Besides several other obvious reasons.

Why would you care enough to comment. Got something to lose by this thread's existence? Or just trolling?
 
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J

Jammer

EOG Dedicated
Bigrunner said:
Jammer is a very bias dickhead!
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Look at this- got the Bold type from this Fucktard.

Let me know when you make a sports post BigStiffer. Come on you can do it.

No more political threads in the main forum? JK must have that leash on tight.
 
Bigrunner

Bigrunner

EOG Master
Jammer said:
Look at this- got the Bold type from this Fucktard.

Let me know when you make a sports post BigStiffer. Come on you can do it.

No more political threads in the main forum? JK must have that leash on tight.
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You missed your chance. I posted a pick 6 at Saratoga that paid $40,000. It was a $170 investment and I posted 6 hours prior to 1st leg. I also won the initial EOG FB contest beating out 35 other posters taking home first prize of $3,000. My winning % was around 60%. I decided to stop posting sports picks after many far right wingers started calling me a liar, air bettor, a stiff, etc. Un-American Dumb Alfie is a great example.
 
X-Files

X-Files

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Florida Atlantic @ NORTH FLORIDA
NORTH FLORIDA +7 -106 over Florida Atlantic

Pinnacle +7 -106 BET365 +7 -110 SportsInteraction +7 -110 5DIMES +7 -110 Bookmaker +7 -110

Posted at 2:50 PM EST.

NORTH FLORIDA +7 over Florida Atlantic

7:00 PM EST. While FAU is not some standout mid-major team, they’re still somewhat recognizable because of its football program, which puts them on the map. The Owls also reside in the C-USA conference, which, like the program, is recognizable. By contrast, North Florida is not recognizable and neither is the Atlantic Sun, the conference in which the Ospreys reside in. While we have no idea what is going to occur in this game, we have a very good idea that we’re getting tremendous value on the underdog for several reasons, starting with a lack of team and conference familiarity within the market.

The next thing worth noting is that Florida Atlantic is 2-2 but the unrecognizable Ospreys are 0-5. Take a 0-5 team from the ASun conference and put them up against a recognizable program and we promise you that the points are inflated.

When we look at the tale of the tape, we see an Owls’ squad that has played South Alabama and Jacksonville State after playing two Division II programs, Mobile and Florida Nationals. The Owls two victories came against the two Division II schools. Coach Dusty May has made FAU far better than it has any right to be over the past two seasons. In 2018-19, the Owls returned just 15.3% of their minutes from the year prior and were ranked 301st in the preseason, per KenPom. May took that group of newbies and led his Owls to a 162nd KenPom finish and a CIT berth. Last season wasn’t anything to write home about, but May still had FAU competing in the middle of a tough C-USA. The past two seasons have been FAU’s best in C-USA, and May’s two-straight overall winning seasons are the first at the program since 2011. The past two years of success has FAU trending up, however, considerable production walks out the door from 2019-20 and if it were just about anyone else besides May coaching this team, they would be a bottom tier Division I program.

Three of North Florida’s five losses were to N.C. State, Miami and Florida State. All five games were away from home too. Before Liberty and Lipscomb invaded the ASUN’s upper echelon, the Ospreys soared above the pack. Three lackluster seasons in a row from 2017-2019 slowly nudged UNF to the back burner, but the Ospreys relished as a pseudo ‘underdog’ last season, overshadowed by the Liberty and Lipscomb buzz. Losing the quartet of J.T. Escobar, Ivan Gandia-Rosa, Garrett Sams and Wajid Aminu clip precious feathers off the Ospreys’ wings. Down four key starters from last year’s regular season co-champion, North Florida will have to scrape and claw to stay among the ASUN’s elite. Fortunately, the 3-point shot can be the great equalizer to any talent drain. Matthew Driscoll’s philosophy is pretty simple: 3s are worth more than 2s. In essence, the Driscoll says, “We’ll let you have the latter, but we’re going to win the battle of bonus land.” If you can stroke it from distance, chances are Driscoll will find a place for you.

North Florida sees an opportunity to get off the mattress here. FAU cannot and should not be favored in this range over this competitive squad. The Owls are projected to finish in 13th place out of the 14 C-USA teams with Rice being the only team projected to finish lower. We’re calling the upset here so throw UNF in a money line parlay or two but if you’re playing games straight up, the points here are inflated and worth grabbing.
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TobyTyler

TobyTyler

EOG Dedicated
X-Files said:
I was not available at the time & was prioritizing health issues with visits to a medical clinic & various hospital rooms.

May not have posted them anyway.
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If you die nobody here cares

Fyi I am 47-3 so far. Picks posted at another site also.
 
X-Files

X-Files

2
TobyTyler said:
If you die nobody here cares
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LOL.

Who said anything about dying?

Who's going to die from an issue requiring muscle relaxant pills.

I just needed some T3's for the pain. And had to get Xrays, etc.


TobyTyler said:
Fyi I am 47-3 so far. Picks posted at another site also.
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Sure, Pinocchio.

All -10,000 favs, lol.

TobyTyler said:
If you die nobody here cares
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Uh huh...

Stodog77;13346718 said:
Thanks for all you do X-Files!
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Willief;13348102 said:
Great job in here X Files.

HAHA I love this, seriously, that's awesome.

"Fade or follow or stick your thumb up your ass. Up to you."
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max05;13345192 said:
thanks for sharing
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indiana;13345209 said:
X/Files......appreciate the info buddy.........BOL today........indy
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indiana;13310300 said:
X/Files........"S"......well done YTD.........continued success buddy.........indy
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tlee4lizard;13303262 said:
Like to thank you for your posts. Rode both winners last night. Probably follow your late games except Penn.st. think I like Ohio St.
But once again thanks for the thread much appreciated for your time.
Best wishes
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Ben Campbell;13311426 said:
Another W, wanted to stop by and say thanks for posting these plays X.
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lakrfan2000;13301315 said:
Thanks for posting X Files, that was an easy winner!
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lakrfan2000;13302495 said:
"S" goes 2-0 and so does my bankroll! Thanks brutha!
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Iknowsportz;13285852 said:
Why do people care so much? Gl X
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damkay66;13286100 said:
Thanks for the post
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jc hooker;13279344 said:
Thx Ex..... Keep up the good work
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bradyisgod;13279558 said:
BOL buddy! Hope you kill it.
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Recon792;13262988 said:
Keep em coming
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sdf;13246757 said:
thanks
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phantom888;13272509 said:
Thanks fellas!
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