2022

Blown saves crushing me lately

MLB
[72-80] -2.95
BS Count [3-5] -3.26

2*Padres -131 W
1*Indians +125
1*Under 6.5 CLE/TOR -105

1*M's -125 L
 
MMA
[167-238] +62.53

5/7/22
5*Carla Esparza +170
1*Carla Esparza +185
1*Carla Esparza ITD +700
0.5*Carla Esparza by Submission +1500
1*Under 4.5Rds Namajunas/Esparza +150
1.5*Justin Gaethje +155
1.5*Justin Gaethje ITD +200
3*Fight Does Not Start Round 4 Oliveira/Gaethje -200
1*Parlay (Sixers 1Q -1 W/FDGTD Oliveira/Gaethje -450) +128
1*Parlay (Mavs 1Q -145 W/FDGTD Oliveira/Gaethje -450) +109
1*Parlay (Lupita Gonzalez -190/FDGTD Oliveira Gaethje -500) -120
3*Khaos Williams -110
2*Matt Schnell +220
2*Kleydson Rodrigues -210
2*Fernie Garcia -160
1*Under 2.5Rds Garcia/Newson +130
1*Blagoy Ivanov -140
0.75*Tony Ferguson +300
0.25*Tony Ferguson Round 3 +2900
 
Been mulling back and forth on this one and the degenerate in me makes a play.

0.5*Melissa Gatto Decision=No Action -125
 
MMA
[167-238] +62.53

5/7/22
5*Carla Esparza +170
1*Carla Esparza +185
1*Carla Esparza ITD +700
0.5*Carla Esparza by Submission +1500
1*Under 4.5Rds Namajunas/Esparza +150
1.5*Justin Gaethje +155
1.5*Justin Gaethje ITD +200
3*Fight Does Not Start Round 4 Oliveira/Gaethje -200
1*Parlay (Sixers 1Q -1 W/FDGTD Oliveira/Gaethje -450) +128
1*Parlay (Mavs 1Q -145 W/FDGTD Oliveira/Gaethje -450) +109
1*Parlay (Lupita Gonzalez -190/FDGTD Oliveira Gaethje -500) -120
3*Khaos Williams -110
2*Matt Schnell +220
2*Kleydson Rodrigues -210
2*Fernie Garcia -160
1*Under 2.5Rds Garcia/Newson +130
1*Blagoy Ivanov -140
0.75*Tony Ferguson +300
0.25*Tony Ferguson Round 3 +2900
0.5*Melissa Gatto Decision=No Action -125
 
Smartz why do you like Esparza tonite?
I think there is a monstrous grappling edge in Carla's favor. Carla is the best wrestler in the division and possibly the best wrestler ever in the division because tatiana Suarez is probably done due to injuries. Rose very capable of being taken down and controlled. Zhang is a capable but far from elite wrestler and got Rose into mount and back control. Takedowns came fairly easily as well. I think Carla will ground her over and over and wear Rose out. I think she gets finished via ground and pound.
 
Really think Vergara is KO or bust here. Vergara extremely hittable and I don't think he will be able to eat alot of Kleydons shots. Based on tape I've watched Kleydson cardio holds up despite throwing hammers from start to finish too. Faded Vergara last time out, was alot closer than I expected but it was more on Osbournes cardio fading and not being able to put Vergara away early.
 
Liked Blagoy all week but was scared off by his age and inactivity. With the price drop I feel it warrants a play. Rogerios most probable win condition is a KO as I dont see grappling as an avenue for him here. But Blagoy doesn't get KO'd. Longer the fight goes the more it favors blagoy. May live bet late round 1
 
Got Schnell next. I just think he's the more polished fighter. Both are high level BJJ players. and Schnell much more technical on the feet. I'm a huge fan of Royvals ability to create chaos and his insane pace. But realistically I line this around -150 Royval
 
Cleaning up a bit. Took an L on early fights. Main difference is bad decision on Kleydson. 6.2u swing

MMA
[170-243] +54.78

GRADED:
2*Matt Schnell +220 L Closing Line: +210
2*Kleydson Rodrigues -210 L Closing Line: -420
2*Fernie Garcia -160 L Closing Line: -125
0.25*Journey Newson "Live" +260 W
1*Under 2.5Rds Garcia/Newson +130 L Closing Line: +130
1*Blagoy Ivanov -140 W Closing Line: -155
1*Blagoy Ivanov "Live" +150 W
0.5*Melissa Gatto Decision=No Action -125 No Action
0.5*Melissa Gatto "Live" +180 L

PENDING:

5/7/22
5*Carla Esparza +170
1*Carla Esparza +185
1*Carla Esparza ITD +700
0.5*Carla Esparza by Submission +1500
1*Under 4.5Rds Namajunas/Esparza +150
1.5*Justin Gaethje +155
1.5*Justin Gaethje ITD +200
3*Fight Does Not Start Round 4 Oliveira/Gaethje -200
1*Parlay (Sixers 1Q -1 W/FDGTD Oliveira/Gaethje -450) +128
1*Parlay (Mavs 1Q -145 W/FDGTD Oliveira/Gaethje -450) +109
1*Parlay (Lupita Gonzalez -190/FDGTD Oliveira Gaethje -500) -120
3*Khaos Williams -110
0.75*Tony Ferguson +300
0.25*Tony Ferguson Round 3 +2900
 
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