ejd_5277 2021 MLB

ejd_5277

EOG Dedicated
#41
Thanks guys.

Friiday April 9, 2021:

All at Circa:

Two-Leg Parlay:

954 LA Dodgers -284 WITH 954 WAS/LAD OVER 8.5 -120 (Ross/Buehler) @ +148

Straight bets:

955 Philadelphia +117 (Wheeler/Morton)
957 Cincinnati (-1.5) +105 (Mahle/Widener)
957 CIN/ARI OVER 9.5 -105 (Mahle/Widener)
959 NYY/TBR UNDER 8.5 -110 (Kluber/Hill)
962 Toronto +105 (Heaney/Zelich)
962 LAA/TOR OVER 10.5 -120 (Heaney/Zelich)
966 Houston (-1.5) +111 (Manaea/McCullers, Jr.)
 
#45
Saturday April 10, 2021:

All at Circa:

4902 NY Mets (-2.5) +130 (Rogers/deGrom)
905 COL/SFG UNDER 8.5 -120 (Gonzalez/Webb)
907 Chicago Cubs (-1.5) +105 (Davies/Keller)
907 Chicago Cubs (-2.5) +165 (Davies/Keller)
909 PHI/ATL OVER 8 -110 (Eflin/Anderson)
911 CIN/ARI OVER 9.5 -115 (Hoffman/Smith)
916 Tampa Bay +124 (German/Archer)
921 LA Angels +108 (Quintana/Matz)
927 BOS/BAL OVER 9.5 -105 (Richards/Zimmermann)
929 SDP/TEX OVER 9 EV (Paddack/Lyles)
 
#47
Sunday April 11, 2021:

951 Chicago Cubs (-1.5) +117 (Williams/Brubaker)
955 Milwaukee +118 (Anderson/Ponce De Leon)
959 WAS/LAD OVER 7.5 EV (Scherzer/Kershaw)
961 Cincinnati (-1.5) +131 (De Leon/Weaver)
961 CIN/ARI OVER 9 -120 (De Leon/Weaver)
965 BOS/BAL OVER 9.5 EV (Pivetta/Lopez)
972 Tampa Bay +132 (Montgomery/Honeywell)
974 Minnesota (-1.5) +102 (Flexen/Shoemaker)
975 KCR/CWS OVER 9 +103 (Minor/Cease)
 
#56
Sunday April 11, 2021:

951 Chicago Cubs (-1.5) +117 (Williams/Brubaker)
955 Milwaukee +118 (Anderson/Ponce De Leon)
959 WAS/LAD OVER 7.5 EV (Scherzer/Kershaw)
961 Cincinnati (-1.5) +131 (De Leon/Weaver)
961 CIN/ARI OVER 9 -120 (De Leon/Weaver)
965 BOS/BAL OVER 9.5 EV (Pivetta/Lopez)
972 Tampa Bay +132 (Montgomery/Honeywell)
974 Minnesota (-1.5) +102 (Flexen/Shoemaker)
975 KCR/CWS OVER 9 +103 (Minor/Cease)
gah...

2-7, -5.02u

YTD:
MLBX 0-4-1, -4u
MLB: 24-36-1, -11.82u
 
#57
Monday April 12, 2021:

All at Circa

906 Atlanta (-1.5) +148 (Alcantara/Ynoa)
908 Milwaukee (-1.5) +157 (Alzolay/Peralta)
909 WAS/STL OVER 8.5 -118 (Fedde/Gant)
911 CIN/SFG UNDER 8.5 -104 (Miley/Sanchez)
911 Cincinnati +102 (Miley/Sanchez)
915 SEA/BAL OVER 8.5 -110 (Sheffield/Kremer)
927 OAK/ARI OVER 9.5 -110 (Bassitt/MadBum)
 

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
#60
Monday April 12, 2021:

All at Circa

906 Atlanta (-1.5) +148 (Alcantara/Ynoa)
908 Milwaukee (-1.5) +157 (Alzolay/Peralta)
909 WAS/STL OVER 8.5 -118 (Fedde/Gant)
911 CIN/SFG UNDER 8.5 -104 (Miley/Sanchez)
911 Cincinnati +102 (Miley/Sanchez)
915 SEA/BAL OVER 8.5 -110 (Sheffield/Kremer)
927 OAK/ARI OVER 9.5 -110 (Bassitt/MadBum)

Solid winning day.

Four wins from six selections with one selection rained out.

EJD nailed the Reds-Giants game.
 
#62
Tuesday April 13, 2021:

All at Circa:

Two-Leg Parlays:

959 Washington +105 WITH 959 WAS/STL OVER 7 -115 (Strasburg/Flaherty) @ +283
969 NY Yankees +103 WITH 969 NYY/TOR OVER 9 -120 (Taillon/Ryu) @ +272

953 Philadelphia (Gm1) +133 (Anderson/Walker)
953 PHI/NYM (Gm1) OVER 6.5 -130 (Anderson/Walker)
955 MIA/ATL OVER 7.5 -115 (Lopez/Fried)
958 Milwaukee (-1.5) +157 (Hendricks/Woodruff)
964 COL/LAD UNDER 7.5 -105 (Senzatela/Bauer)
967 SEA/BAL (Gm2) OVER 7 EV (Margevicius/Kremer)
971 Texas +152 (Gibson/Yarbrough)
975 CLE/CWS OVER 6.5 -120 (Bieber/Giolito)
977 DET/HOU UNDER 9 EV (Boyd/Odorizzi)
979 Oakland (-1.5) +147 (Luzardo/Gallen)
979 OAK/ARI OVER 8.5 -110 (Luzardo/Gallen)
984 Baltimore (Gm1) (-1.5) +163 (Means/Sheffield)
 
#64
The streak is over.

The highly-touted White Sox bullpen coughed up another late lead.
Funny on this one, lots of literature on how its crazy to expect bullpens to perform well above average for long. A few unique closers or middle relievers deliver year after year, but most regress good or bad in a big way because its all small sample size. Like two middle relievers for a team can do something like 40 IP and ERA under 2. That makes a pen look pretty solid. But would you assume you knew all you had to know about a pitcher if he pitched well in his first 6-7 starts of the year?

I remember the Abstract used to detail this often, it was crazy the worst bullpen would be league average almost every next season while the best pen would drop to at least below 10th. Only pen that didn't do this was the Yankees cause Rivera was just that good.
 
#66
Adding:

All at Circa

Two-Leg Parlay:

917 LA Angels -124 WITH 917 LAA/KCR OVER 8.5 -120 (Canning/Keller) @ +231

Straight bets:

904 Milwaukee (-1.5) +120 (Arrieta/Burnes)
905 CIN/SFG UNDER 8.5 -105 (Mahle/Cueto)
911 MIA/ATL OVER 8.5 -114 (Neidert/Morton)
913 COL/LAD UNDER 8 -120 (Gray/May)
919 BOS/MIN (Gm1) OVER 5.5 -115 (Eovaldi/Maeda)
919 Boston (Gm1) +110 (Eovaldi/Maeda)
923 TEX/TBR OVER 8 -110 (Arihara/Fleming)
927 Cleveland +105 (Plesac/Rodon)
 

FairWarning

Bells Beer Connoisseur
#67
Funny on this one, lots of literature on how its crazy to expect bullpens to perform well above average for long. A few unique closers or middle relievers deliver year after year, but most regress good or bad in a big way because its all small sample size. Like two middle relievers for a team can do something like 40 IP and ERA under 2. That makes a pen look pretty solid. But would you assume you knew all you had to know about a pitcher if he pitched well in his first 6-7 starts of the year?

I remember the Abstract used to detail this often, it was crazy the worst bullpen would be league average almost every next season while the best pen would drop to at least below 10th. Only pen that didn't do this was the Yankees cause Rivera was just that good.
The Sox BP has been as bad as the Cubs BP has been good.
 
#69
Thursday April 15, 2021:

All at Circa:

953 MIA/ATL OVER 8 -110 (Rogers/Anderson)
955 San Diego (-1.5) +111 (Paddack/Keller)
955 SDP?PIT OVER 7.5 -115 (Paddack/Keller)
957 ARI/WAS OVER 8 EV (Kelly/Corbin)
963 Boston +132 (Richards/Pineda)
965 CLE/CWS UNDER 7.5 -120 (Civale/Lynn)
967 TEX/TBR OVER 8 -110 (Lyles/Hill)
973 Seattle (Gm1) -106 (Gonzalez/Harvey)
973 SEA/BAL (Gm1) OVER 7 -115 (Gonzalez/Harvey)
975 SEA/BAL (Gm2) OVER 7 -120 (Dunn/Zimmermann)
 
#71
Friday April 16, 2021:

All at Circa

901 Atlanta -105 (Wright/Davies)
904 Washington (-1.5) +105 (Widener/Scherzer)
907 SFG/MIA UNDER 8.5 (DeSclafani/Castano)
910 Milwaukee (-1.5) +143 (Brubaker/Houser)
910 Milwaukee (-2.5) +225 (Brubaker/Houser)
910 PIT/MIL OVER 8 -115 (Brubaker/Houser)
911 NYM/COL UNDER 9.5 -115 (deGrom/Gonzalez)
914 San Diego +132 (Buehler/Weathers)
917 CWS/BOS OVER 9 -105 (Cease/Pivetta)
920 Texas (-1.5) +157 (Lopez/Foltynewicz)
920 BAL/TEX OVER 8.5 -115 (Lopez/Foltyniewicz)
927 HOU/SEA OVER 8-105 (Urquidy/Kikuchi)
929 CLE/CIN OVER 9 -123 (Allen/Hoffman)
 
#75
Adding:

953 Atlanta -110 (Ynoa/Williams)
953 ATL/CHC UNDER 7.5 -110 (Ynoa/Williams)
955 STL/PHI OVER 8.5 EV (Kim/Moore)
957 SFG/MIA UNDER 7.5 -115 (Sanchez/Alcantara)
960 Milwaukee (-1.5) +149 (Cahill/Anderson)
960 Milwaukee (-2.5) +225 (Cahill/Anderson)
961 NYM/COL (Gm2) OVER 8 EV (Lucchesi/Marquez)
963 LAD/SDP OVER 7 -120 (Kershaw/Darvish)

All at Circa
 
#76
Adding:

972 Oakland (-1.5) +154 (Mize/Irvin)
975 MIN/LAA OVER 9 -105 (Shoemaker/Quintana)
979 CLE/CIN OVER 8 -110 (McKenzie/Gray)
985 NYM/COL (Gm1) OVER 7 +118 (deGrom/Gonzalez)
 
#78
Sunday April 18, 2021:

All at Circa

902 Philadelphia (-1.5) +106 (Gant/Nola)
908 Milwaukee (-1.5) +114 (Kuhl/Peralta)
908 Milwaukee (-2.5) +180 (Kuhl/Peralta)
909 NYM/COL OVER 10.5 -115 (Stroman/Senzatela)
911 LAD/SDP UNDER 7.5 -110 (Bauer/Snell)
913 Atlanta +124 (Wilson/Hendricks)
913 ATL/CHC OVER 9 EV (Wilson/Hendricks)
915 Tampa Bay +208 (Kittredge/Cole)
917 CWS/BOS (Gm1) OVER 7 -115 (Keuchel/Houck)
919 Toronto +113 (Ray/Singer)
928 Seattle +110 (Odorizzi/Margevicius)
 
#79
6-5, +2.18u

YTD:
MLBX 0-4-1, -4u
MLB: 65-69-2, +0.75u

I will combine these and state only the overall record going forward, so it's:

65-73-3, -3.25u
 
#80
Monday April 19, 2021:

All at Circa

Props:

Grand Salami:

992 Home Team Runs +105
993 Total Runs OVER 58 -110

Straight Bets:

952 Washington -102 (Flaherty/Ross)
954 Philadelphia EV (Gausman/Anderson)
954 SFG/PHI OVER 8.5 EV (Gausman/Anderson)
955 MIL/SDP OVER 6.5 -120 (Woodruff/Musgrove)
958 Boston +102 (Giolito/Eovaldi)
961 TEX/LAA UNDER 8 EV (Arihara/Bundy)
966 Seattle (+1.5) +110 (May/Sheffield)
 
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