EOG's Best Bet thread for Tuesday, October 31

winkyduck

TYVM Morgan William!!!
Pinny

Kings/Leaves Ov7 +126


Winkyduck 1278-1814-101 +19.01 UNITS - (Sunday Nov 5: 452 KC Chefs -2.5 -120; Shohei Ohtani next team (If not Angels): Mariners +350; NFL: Ron Rivera to be 1st NFL Coach Fired +700, Packers win NFCN +500, RSW Plays - ALL Under: Arizona 4.5 +100, Da Bears 7.5 +110, Rams 6.5 +100, Raiders 6.5 +110, Exact finishing order of AFC West: Chefs/San Diego/Broncos/Raiders +450, Chefs/Broncos/San Diego/Raiders +650, Rams to finish 3rd in NFCW +120, Exact NFC South finishing order: Saints, Falcons, Bucs, Panthers +450; Next PL manager to leave: Paul Heckingbottom/Sheffield United +120; Victor W to NOT win RoY +130 & NOT to be eligible for Postseason awards: Victor W +225; OKC Thunder to WIN their group +410 & Win the Cup 24-1, Nuggets RSW Un51.5 +130, Memphis to MISS the Playoffs +145 & RSW Under 44.5 -115; First non-extradition country Trump enters: Russia +200; Who is the Mar a Lago Mole (Source Revealed by 12/31/23 - No Action if not): Jared Kushner +400; LA Kings to MISS the Playoffs +250; DK: Alexandar Georgiev to win Vezina 16-1; Crawley Town to be Relegated (League 2) +250: PL Plays: City/Liverpool finish 1/2 (In this order) +450, Bournemouth to be Relegated +275, Brighton Under 56.5 points -106 & Un58.5 -115, Bournemouth Un38.5 -110, Luton Town Ov29.5 +106, West Ham Un46.5 points-120, Sheffield United to finish DFL +250; Beto O'Rourke to be Dem 2024 POTUS Nominee 66-1, Ron DeathSantis to be 2024 GOP POTUS nominee +350 and 2024 POTUS +550, Kari Lake to be 2024 GOP VP Nominee: 40-1, 2024 Missouri Senate Race: Republican MoV UNDER 11.5% -120, TN Senate Race: Republican MoV UNDER 19.5% -120; Lauren Boebert to be re-elected in 2024: NO -225)
 

winkyduck

TYVM Morgan William!!!
MLB

Arizona to win world series
+900
FD

Personally - I think they are DONE!

But, to know if this is a good bet we take the ML of G5 and probable ML of G6 & G7. I see Zona -116 for G5. Zona was about +140 for G1 and G2 so figure them around that same ballpark if G6 and G7 get played. That comes out to about +975 so not thaaaaaaaaaat far off.
 

blueline

EOG Master
Personally - I think they are DONE!

But, to know if this is a good bet we take the ML of G5 and probable ML of G6 & G7. I see Zona -116 for G5. Zona was about +140 for G1 and G2 so figure them around that same ballpark if G6 and G7 get played. That comes out to about +975 so not thaaaaaaaaaat far off.

I have Texas at 18/1...im not a person who hedges but with Garcia out and 2 best AZ pitchers up next I wouldn't be shocked if AZ won the next 2...at the price worth a small hedge to me
 

winkyduck

TYVM Morgan William!!!
I have Texas at 18/1...im not a person who hedges but with Garcia out and 2 best AZ pitchers up next I wouldn't be shocked if AZ won the next 2...at the price worth a small hedge to me

Did not know this. That does change things. I might just play AZ in G5 knowing you can cash that and then still cash your big TX ticket.
 

winkyduck

TYVM Morgan William!!!
Winkyduck 1278-1814-101 +19.01 UNITS - (Sunday Nov 5: 452 KC Chefs -2.5 -120; Shohei Ohtani next team (If not Angels): Mariners +350; NFL: Ron Rivera to be 1st NFL Coach Fired +700, Packers win NFCN +500, RSW Plays - ALL Under: Arizona 4.5 +100, Da Bears 7.5 +110, Rams 6.5 +100, Raiders 6.5 +110, Exact finishing order of AFC West: Chefs/San Diego/Broncos/Raiders +450, Chefs/Broncos/San Diego/Raiders +650, Rams to finish 3rd in NFCW +120, Exact NFC South finishing order: Saints, Falcons, Bucs, Panthers +450; Next PL manager to leave: Paul Heckingbottom/Sheffield United +120; Victor W to NOT win RoY +130 & NOT to be eligible for Postseason awards: Victor W +225; OKC Thunder to WIN their group +410 & Win the Cup 24-1, Nuggets RSW Un51.5 +130, Memphis to MISS the Playoffs +145 & RSW Under 44.5 -115; First non-extradition country Trump enters: Russia +200; Who is the Mar a Lago Mole (Source Revealed by 12/31/23 - No Action if not): Jared Kushner +400; LA Kings to MISS the Playoffs +250; DK: Alexandar Georgiev to win Vezina 16-1; Crawley Town to be Relegated (League 2) +250: PL Plays: City/Liverpool finish 1/2 (In this order) +450, Bournemouth to be Relegated +275, Brighton Under 56.5 points -106 & Un58.5 -115, Bournemouth Un38.5 -110, Luton Town Ov29.5 +106, West Ham Un46.5 points-120, Sheffield United to finish DFL +250; Beto O'Rourke to be Dem 2024 POTUS Nominee 66-1, Ron DeathSantis to be 2024 GOP POTUS nominee +350 and 2024 POTUS +550, Kari Lake to be 2024 GOP VP Nominee: 40-1, 2024 Missouri Senate Race: Republican MoV UNDER 11.5% -120, TN Senate Race: Republican MoV UNDER 19.5% -120; Lauren Boebert to be re-elected in 2024: NO -225)

Josh McD 1st NFL HC fired so Ron Rivers ticket - NOPE!

Winkyduck 1278-1815-101 +18.01 UNITS - (Sunday Nov 5: 452 KC Chefs -2.5 -120; Shohei Ohtani next team (If not Angels): Mariners +350; NFL: RSW Plays - ALL Under: Arizona 4.5 +100, Da Bears 7.5 +110, Rams 6.5 +100, Raiders 6.5 +110, Exact finishing order of AFC West: Chefs/San Diego/Broncos/Raiders +450, Chefs/Broncos/San Diego/Raiders +650, Rams to finish 3rd in NFCW +120, Exact NFC South finishing order: Saints, Falcons, Bucs, Panthers +450; Next PL manager to leave: Paul Heckingbottom/Sheffield United +120; Victor W to NOT win RoY +130 & NOT to be eligible for Postseason awards: Victor W +225; OKC Thunder to WIN their group +410 & Win the Cup 24-1, Nuggets RSW Un51.5 +130, Memphis to MISS the Playoffs +145 & RSW Under 44.5 -115; First non-extradition country Trump enters: Russia +200; Who is the Mar a Lago Mole (Source Revealed by 12/31/23 - No Action if not): Jared Kushner +400; LA Kings to MISS the Playoffs +250; DK: Alexandar Georgiev to win Vezina 16-1; Crawley Town to be Relegated (League 2) +250: PL Plays: City/Liverpool finish 1/2 (In this order) +450, Bournemouth to be Relegated +275, Brighton Under 56.5 points -106 & Un58.5 -115, Bournemouth Un38.5 -110, Luton Town Ov29.5 +106, West Ham Un46.5 points-120, Sheffield United to finish DFL +250; Beto O'Rourke to be Dem 2024 POTUS Nominee 66-1, Ron DeathSantis to be 2024 GOP POTUS nominee +350 and 2024 POTUS +550, Kari Lake to be 2024 GOP VP Nominee: 40-1, 2024 Missouri Senate Race: Republican MoV UNDER 11.5% -120, TN Senate Race: Republican MoV UNDER 19.5% -120; Lauren Boebert to be re-elected in 2024: NO -225)
 
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