MLB picks and analysis

Miami and Milwaukee are both in the group of worst teams in MLB, but today they will have their best pitcher aces on mound and it's quite obvious that we will see one hard match with few runs. Marlins go in this game with Ricky Nolasco (3-6, ERA 3,61) who in last 13 games only 3 times went over three allowed runs. In those 13 games when Nolasco played they stayed in under for 8 matches, and won only three and that says it all about run support which is awful when he is playing.
On the other hand Youvani Gallardo (4-6, ERA 5,25) will start for guests. He is not on top level this season but this is a great chance for him to get back in form. In last start he made he was pretty good and usually he plays very good against Miami ? record of 3-0 ERA 1,59 and noting that Miami was back then at least twice stronger than today.
Marlins are a team that usually has 2,92 runs per game (2,91 at home) while Brewers are not so brilliant in guest role with only 3,69 runs (9 wins and 17 losses). I don?t expect many runs here and injury of best Brewers bat Braun is another plus to this bet.
Bet: Number of runs (with extra time)
Tip: Under 7,5
Odds: @ 1.90
Best of luck guys ;)