Modified: Jul. 13, 2006
FFL: One-man mock draft
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By
Scott Engel
ESPN Fantasy Games
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Here is my revised and updated 2006 version of the one-man mock draft, based on standard ESPN scoring and roster guidelines. Keep in mind that this is not how players are ranked, but one man's view of how the first six rounds of a draft should proceed this season.
Round 1
1.
Larry Johnson, RB, Chiefs: Now that he has a chance to be the No. 1 guy over a full season, he should be as statistically productive as
Priest Holmes used to be, and likely more durable.
2.
Shaun Alexander, RB, Seahawks: Reliability and outstanding production are his signatures, and he still has
Walter Jones leading the way for him on the left side of the line. The totals might drop, but not greatly.
3.
LaDainian Tomlinson, RB, Chargers: Playing with an inexperienced QB could mean more defensive attention up front, but also a healthy amount of receiving chances. He'll still end up with fine numbers.
4.
Tiki Barber, RB, Giants: Don't be worried about his age yet. He has at least one or two more terrific seasons left in him.
5.
Clinton Portis, RB, Redskins: He's now very comfortable in Washington after an initial adjustment period, and an improved receiving corps can only help open up lanes and should provide consistent scoring chances.
6.
Edgerrin James, RB, Cardinals: A drop in production should be expected, of course, but he should still produce well enough to merit a middle first-round pick.
7.
LaMont Jordan, RB, Raiders: Versatility makes him very valuable. He proved he was a tough runner and a dependable receiver last season in his first opportunity to play regularly last year.
8.
Rudi Johnson, RB, Bengals: Not the most glamorous pick, but you can't argue with the consistently excellent production. Don't let him slip by.
9.
Steven Jackson, RB, Rams: The "chic" pick of 2006. There's no apparent reason not to believe he won't have a breakthrough year, but I personally prefer a more proven guy if I'm picking in the top eight.
10.
Peyton Manning, QB, Colts: In leagues that award six points for a TD, I'd consider him a spot or two earlier. He's simply the only guy who guarantees you above-average production at his position every year.
11.
Domanick Davis, RB, Texans: With a more balanced attack in Houston, he likely won't be overworked like he was in the past and he should be less susceptible to injuries.
12.
Ronnie Brown, RB, Dolphins: He must prove he can carry the load over a full season, so don't take him too early. He should have a very good year, but don't take him when there are more experienced high-level RBs on the board earlier in the first round.
Round 2
13.
Carnell Williams, RB, Buccaneers: All he has to do is stay healthy. No one will chuckle if you take him a few spots earlier.
14.
Brian Westbrook, RB, Eagles: He's expected to carry the ball more and can score any time, from anywhere on the field. Let's just hope he doesn't get overworked and can stay healthy.
15.
Reggie Bush, RB, Saints: With RBs flying off the board, you must take him because of the obvious great potential and amazing receiving talents that make him a threat to score often.
16.
Willis McGahee, RB, Bills: Buffalo should employ two-tight end sets to help out their offensive line, but McGahee will still be statistically inconsistent. But he's not a bad pick at all as a second RB.
17.
Steve Smith, WR, Panthers: Maybe you think he should have been picked earlier, but you'll have no choice other than to take at least one RB with your first two picks when you see them disappear quickly.
18.
Terrell Owens, WR, Cowboys: We all know he's poised for a big year. With more questionable talents now available at RB, it's hard to pass on him at this point.
19.
Julius Jones, RB, Cowboys: With an improved passing game opening up the offense more, he could finally have his breakthrough year if he can avoid injuries.
20.
Chad Johnson, WR, Bengals: I've said it before. We still may have yet to see his best season, and that's scary for Cincinnati's opponents when you consider his accomplishments to date.
21.
Kevin Jones, RB, Lions: Mike Martz might try to execute a passing offense, but that could mean more scoring chances and less defensive focus on the running game. Jones might stay healthy and could produce numbers good enough to make him a strong second RB.
22.
Torry Holt, WR, Rams: No one else can match him for annually excellent production. He has continued to shine while the Rams empire has crumbled around him.
23.
Larry Fitzgerald, WR, Cardinals: He will continue to draw comparisons to Cris Carter. Don't worry about highly reduced production, because an improved Arizona running game can only mean he'll get open more often on play-action passes and in the red zone.
24.
Randy Moss, WR, Raiders: You can pinpoint a top WR late in the second round, because you can be confident that you'll still be able to nab a decent RB early in the third round.
Round 3
25.
Reuben Droughns, RB, Browns:</B> Cleveland has improved its offensive line, and Droughns could see a decent bump in his TD totals. He should at least be an adequate No. 2 fantasy RB.
26.
Jamal Lewis, RB, Ravens: Hopefully, signing a three-year deal will renew the confidence that he seemed to lose last year when he thought the Ravens were done with him.
27.
Corey Dillon, RB, Patriots: He might be highly motivated to prove he isn't done. He still has the vision and strength to post decent yardage numbers and he remains a viable scoring threat.
28.
Marvin Harrison, WR, Colts: He is still a major TD threat, especially since the Colts might throw more often without Edgerrin James.
29.
Joseph Addai, RB, Colts: It's only a matter of time before he becomes comfortable as Indianapolis' No. 1 RB. He could become a very good fantasy starter, very quickly, even if he's no James.
30.
Anquan Boldin, WR, Cardinals: Here's proof you can still get a very good WR in the third round if you follow the rush on RBs in the first round-and-a-half.
31,
Chester Taylor, RB, Vikings: He might lose some goal-line carries to
Ciatrick Fason, but expect him to seize the starting opportunity and post good overall numbers.
32.
Ahman Green, RB, Packers: He's a very risky pick, so make sure you get insurance for him quickly in case his best days are indeed in the past.
33.
Hines Ward, WR, Steelers: He might command more defensive attention, but he's ultra-tough and will still fight for the ball and win, very often.
34.
Willie Parker, RB, Steelers: You can't expect consistency, because he'll still likely share carries with another RB. But he'll certainly have some big outings in terms of yardage.
35.
Santana Moss, WR, Redskins: Improved complements at WR will ensure that he has another very good season.
36.
Reggie Wayne, WR, Colts: His TD totals were disappointing last year, but you can expect his scoring numbers to rise again in 2006 as the Colts air it out more often.
Round 4
37.
Antonio Gates, TE, Chargers: His numbers should drop slightly playing with
Philip Rivers, but he'll still be the very best pick at a weak position.
38.
Chris Chambers, WR, Dolphins: If
Daunte Culpepper stays healthy, he should finally produce fine numbers on a consistent basis.
39.
Joey Galloway, WR, Buccaneers: In the later stages of his career, Galloway has become a more complete receiver, and he still has a deep gear to make some big plays.
40.
Roy Williams, WR, Lions: If he can steer clear of injuries, Williams apparently has all the skills of a top-notch fantasy receiver.
41.
Tatum Bell, RB, Broncos: The Denver brain trust still might not let him carry regularly, but he'll continue to deliver some big games.
42.
Tom Brady, QB, Patriots: Outside of Manning, he's the best bet to produce very good, steady fantasy numbers at QB, and at least be very dependable.
43.
Carson Palmer, QB, Bengals: All reports about his recovery have been positive, and it appears he is on his way to maintaining his place among fantasy football's best QBs.
44.
Tony Gonzalez, TE, Chiefs: He could be asked to stay in and block less this year, which means his numbers could easily rise again. Expect better TD production.
45.
T.J. Houshmandzadeh, WR, Bengals: He is emerging as an outstanding No. 2 target in the potent Cincinnati passing game. When secondaries focus on Chad Johnson, Houshmandzadeh will be open often to make important catches.
46.
Javon Walker, WR, Broncos: He should have a big comeback year and will finally fill the void at Denver's No. 2 WR spot.
47.
Plaxico Burress, WR, Giants: As
Eli Manning continues to improve, Burress will often shine as his favorite target. The numbers will be there, even if questions persist about his personality.
48.
Matt Hasselbeck, QB, Seahawks: He'll always be steady, and sometimes outstanding. He's a safe pick who will occasionally deliver impressive numbers.
Round 5
49.
Andre Johnson, WR, Texans
50.
DeShaun Foster, RB, Panthers
51.
Warrick Dunn, RB, Falcons
52.
Cedric Benson, RB, Bears
53.
Darrell Jackson, WR, Seahawks
54.
Donald Driver, WR, Packers
55.
Jeremy Shockey, TE, Giants
56.
Joe Horn, WR, Saints
57.
Donovan McNabb, QB, Eagles
58.
Rod Smith, WR, Broncos
59.
Marc Bulger, QB, Rams
60.
Lee Evans, WR, Bills
Round Six 61.
Chris Brown, RB, Titans
62.
Fred Taylor, RB, Jaguars
63.
Curtis Martin, RB, Jets
64.
Todd Heap, TE, Ravens
65. Daunte Culpepper, QB, Dolphins
66.
Derrick Mason, WR, Ravens
67.
Thomas Jones, RB, Bears
68.
Drew Bledsoe, QB, Cowboys
69.
Deuce McAllister, RB, Saints
70. Eli Manning, QB, Giants
71.
DeAngelo Williams, RB, Panthers
72.
LenDale White, RB, Panthers
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