NFL: Kansas City Chiefs @ New England Patriots


EOG Senior Member
NFL: Kansas City Chiefs @ New England Patriots

Most of us know about the dangers of playing in Foxborough in January and of ever underestimating Tom Brady , Bill Belichick and the New England Patriots , but right now the Pats look as vulnerable as at any time this season and getting the Chiefs, who are looking for a 12th straight win, with more than a field goal start, seems too good to let pass.

The Patriots have more than a third of their roster listed on the injury report and whilst we have spoken about that in terms of mis-information already this season, several key players are genuinely carrying knocks, including their two main receivers and missing practice, when timing is so important for these guys is very far from ideal. New England have not won in a month and since Week 10, they have beaten the Giants by 1 (game they should have lost), Buffalo by 7, lost to Denver and at home to the Eagles (who missed out on the post season), they did then beat the Texans ( whom Kansas thrashed 30-0 last week) and the 3-13 Titans (who did not want to win !) and then lost to the Jets and Dolphins. It doesn't read that well ! They have a make- do offensive line, which might not be fair to "make-do" and the Chiefs seem sure to get to Brady and whist he rarely throws interceptions, he can certainly be harried, my thinking is that is that if this exact situation featured anyone other than Brady, Chiefs would be favourites .

KC have won their last 11 games, including on the road to Denver and to the Texans last week and comparable form, favours the visitors.

Kansas City +4 points 2.03 Pinnacle/Vegas /Sportmarket Pro and I have also played the straight ML win on Kansas @ 3.0 + Betfair/Sportmarket Pro