Predict (if)-(when) we'll see MLB?

jimmythegreek

The opening odds start here
Exactly, every prediction has this pandemic waning greatly by june 1st, with very, very low levels by july 1st. Why wouldn't you play? And i mean with fans.
You don't believe social distancing will still be in effect? Or fans feeling the least bit of complacency?
 

mr merlin

EOG Master
You don't believe social distancing will still be in effect? Or fans feeling the least bit of complacency?
Why would it be? The pandemic will end, BUT the virus will never go away, are you suggesting that people live the rest of their lives in fear. Lots of talk of a vaccine, there's no guarantee of if or when it comes, or how effective it'll be. How effective are flu vaccines? Hundreds of million get it and yet the flu still runs rampant.
 

jimmythegreek

The opening odds start here
Why would it be? The pandemic will end, BUT the virus will never go away, are you suggesting that people live the rest of their lives in fear. Lots of talk of a vaccine, there's no guarantee of if or when it comes, or how effective it'll be. How effective are flu vaccines? Hundreds of million get it and yet the flu still runs rampant.
Not suggesting anything at all, but merely going by essence of caution , as this pandemic is not to be taken for granted. Of course you don't live life in fear but you can't just expect to return to normalcy without taking into consideration variations. Who knows what restrictions could be in place if and when baseball does resume when it comes to fans and destinations.
 

mr merlin

EOG Master
Not suggesting anything at all, but merely going by essence of caution , as this pandemic is not to be taken for granted. Of course you don't live life in fear but you can't just expect to return to normalcy without taking into consideration variations. Who knows what restrictions could be in place if and when baseball does resume when it comes to fans and destinations.
Guess what, the bars, restaurants casino's, etc will reopen, and it wont be 6 months from now, it'll be 6-8-10 weeks from now in many places. Yes, things will return to normal, the stands will be full. Right now the predictions are that this will peak in april - that is very soon, 2-3 months later everything will be different. That's the way pandemics work, they come and they go.
 

jimmythegreek

The opening odds start here
Guess what, the bars, restaurants casino's, etc will reopen, and it wont be 6 months from now, it'll be 6-8-10 weeks from now in many places. Yes, things will return to normal, the stands will be full. Right now the predictions are that this will peak in april - that is very soon, 2-3 months later everything will be different. That's the way pandemics work, they come and they go.
More power to you if you honestly feel that way. I think social distancing will still be practiced and I'll be a monkeys uncle if you believe stadiums, restaurants, casinos, bars, etc will be full, let alone to the extent of sellouts due to complacency. The experts think they have their finger put on the ideal time frame. Additionally, it will be interesting to see several months from now how the world will withstand this pandemic when round 2 returns, maybe not with the same magnitude. Pandemics may come and go, but it will take plenty of time before things return to normal, and just when you think society is, news flash; it's right back to rest it's ugly head in due time after the initial short-lived reprieve.
 

Valuist

EOG Master
Guess what, the bars, restaurants casino's, etc will reopen, and it wont be 6 months from now, it'll be 6-8-10 weeks from now in many places. Yes, things will return to normal, the stands will be full. Right now the predictions are that this will peak in april - that is very soon, 2-3 months later everything will be different. That's the way pandemics work, they come and they go.

How will things return to normal with unemployment at its highest level since the Depression? There's all kinds of problems in the economy; credit, debt and currency bubbles; nothing was truly fixed from 2008. The can just got kicked down the road. We are tripping over it now. The virus was just what popped the balloon.
 

mr merlin

EOG Master
Merlin, it wont happen. All it takes is for somebody to post they got the virus at uncle joes cafe and that cafe is done.
Dont you get it, the virus is here to stay, it'll never go away, we are not doing all these things to get rid of the virus, we're managing the load on health care, once that has passed there is no need for the rest. Sure, people can and should still wash their hands, etc, that's a totally differnt subject.

When the casino's open, people will flood in, I know I will.
 

mr merlin

EOG Master
How will things return to normal with unemployment at its highest level since the Depression? There's all kinds of problems in the economy; bubbles everywhere bursting. The virus was just what popped the balloon.
NO, NO, NO, the virus did not pop the balloon, mass hysteria caused that, conscious choices by people that cant think logically.

The VA gov ordered things shut down till mid june - why? Is it because of expert predicitions of a peak(which will come there in late april), hospitals overwhelmed? No it's because he's incapable of logical thought. he just picked a number.
 

Valuist

EOG Master
NO, NO, NO, the virus did not pop the balloon, mass hysteria caused that, conscious choices by people that cant think logically.

The VA gov ordered things shut down till mid june - why? Is it because of expert predicitions of a peak(which will come there in late april), hospitals overwhelmed? No it's because he's incapable of logical thought. he just picked a number.

It's not the point. The entire world has changed in the past 6 weeks. If not one more person got the disease or died, the economy would still be in huge trouble. The virus is just the catalyst. It's just a matter of whether its a recession or depression.
 

mr merlin

EOG Master
It's not the point. The entire world has changed in the past 6 weeks. If not one more person got the disease or died, the economy would still be in huge trouble. The virus is just the catalyst. It's just a matter of whether its a recession or depression.
It's going to be very , very hard for these dumb politicians to ever relax, that's the problem. The pandemic, it's peak, and the end of harsh measures is a math issue, not an emotional one. Assuming things go somewhat as predicted, baseball should start around july 1.
 
It's going to be very , very hard for these dumb politicians to ever relax, that's the problem. The pandemic, it's peak, and the end of harsh measures is a math issue, not an emotional one. Assuming things go somewhat as predicted, baseball should start around july 1.

I hope you’re correct. I’m a baseball junkie and this time of year I’m usually in paradise. I think July is a pie in the sky fantasy at the moment.
 

mr merlin

EOG Master
I hope you’re correct. I’m a baseball junkie and this time of year I’m usually in paradise. I think July is a pie in the sky fantasy at the moment.
I dont see why, look at it this way on peak day maybe april 20th 3000 people might die, may 20th maybe 800, by early june maybe 200 a day, by july 1st maybe 40 or less.

It'll be time to play ball.

 

kane

EOG master
Exactly, every prediction has this pandemic waning greatly by june 1st, with very, very low levels by july 1st. Why wouldn't you play? And i mean with fans.

When would you start the season? Let's say you're right and by the beginning of July the levels are low, does that mean it's okay for 40,000 fans to sit together at a stadium? If levels are low and baseball starts playing, it won't take long before those low levels start to rise, then where are we? IMO, by the time it's completely safe to not social distance, there wouldn't be enough time to play a season, I hope I'm wrong and you're right, but I don't think so
 

mr merlin

EOG Master
When would you start the season? Let's say you're right and by the beginning of July the levels are low, does that mean it's okay for 40,000 fans to sit together at a stadium? If levels are low and baseball starts playing, it won't take long before those low levels start to rise, then where are we? IMO, by the time it's completely safe to not social distance, there wouldn't be enough time to play a season, I hope I'm wrong and you're right, but I don't think so
YES, when the pandemic is over that means you can return to a somewhat normal life. The virus is never going away, ever, no one says it will, you could cancel everything for 10 years and it would still be around.
 

Valuist

EOG Master
At this point, I'm just hoping the NFL can start on time. That is no lock. And have to believe college football even more likely to be delayed.
 

winkyduck

TYVM Morgan William!!!
Which event will happen first?

A regular season MLB game or the Coney Island Hot Dog eating contest?

MLB

Coney is NOT Happening unless they do it in a studio or some place and have the contestants 6 feet apart. No way they hold it July 4 at Coney Island.
 

Valuist

EOG Master
I cannot see large crowds in 2020 for anything.. but how will owners pay their bills?

They can still do it with no crowd. ESPN broadcasts it. Its New York; its July 4. They will do everything possible to have the event a go.

Was actually meant to respond to Winky's post 116.
 
Which event will happen first?

A regular season MLB game or the Coney Island Hot Dog eating contest?

Interesting question-How about they both debut on the same day? If things settle down it would total sense for MLB July 4th opening day to promote their sport by Americans getting back to normal.

Kind of the same marketing strategy Apollo Creed used with his first fight against Balboa for Independence Day
 
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