THE 80-0 BASEBALL SYSTEM

Re: THE 80-0 BASEBALL SYSTEM

Stl with a nice comeback from being down 4-0. Fri, Apr 8: Stl W

Chase is 8-0 this year. 32.83u risked to win 8.00u.

All of the out-of-sample data put together: 85-3, net +2.78u. This is the statistically significant result of the system up to the 2016 season.

This chase bet will win most years with an occasional big loss (from -20u to -40u), will probably produce a small profit over the next 5 to 10 years.
 
Re: THE 80-0 BASEBALL SYSTEM

Summary of picks for the 2017 season chase. Using 2016 playoff teams, ignoring the play-in game losers. Using Ned's strategy of betting both sides of Clev/Tex series.

Lines from CRIS. First round bets placed to win $100.

Date Bet-Size ML Result

April 2: 127 ChiC -127 L, 147 SF -147 L
April 3: 96 Clev +104 W, 114 Tex -114 L, 105 Tor -105 L, 164 Bos -164 W, 370 LAD -370 W, 210 Was -210 W
April 4: 142 Tex +151 L, 327 Chic -144 W, 373 SF -151 W
April 5: 359 Tex -101 L, 193 Tor 106 L
April 6: 538 Tor -135 W
April 7: 1087 Tex -152 W

Chase is 8-0 this year. 43.52u risked to win 8.00u. Texas went to the edge, losing 3 games before winning game 4.
 
Re: THE 80-0 BASEBALL SYSTEM

All of the out-of-sample data put together: 93-3, net +10.78u. This is the statistically significant result of the system up to the 2017 season.
 
Re: THE 80-0 BASEBALL SYSTEM

Summary of picks for the 2018 season chase. Using 2017 playoff teams, ignoring the play-in game losers. No requirement this year to bet both sides of any series.

Lines from CRIS. First round bets placed to win 1 unit.

Date Bet-Size ML Result

March 29: 200 ChiC -200 W, 175 Clev -175 L, 300 LAD -300 L, 156 Hou -156 W, 165 Bos -165 L, 162 NYY -162 W, 105 Ari -105 W
March 30: 193 Was -193 W, 382 Bos -144 W, 660 LAD -165 L
March 31: 311 Clev W -113, 2067 LAD -195 W

Chase is 8-0 this year. 48.75u risked to win 8.00u. LA Dodgers went to the 3rd game laying over 20 units to win a net 1u.
 
Summary of picks for the 2019 season chase. Using 2018 playoff teams, ignoring the play-in game losers from last year. No requirement this year to bet both sides of any series.

Lines from CRIS. First round bets placed to win 1 unit.

Date Bet-Size ML Result

March 28: 120 Milw -120 W, 150 LAD -150 W, 57 Atl +175 L, 140 Col -140 W, 124 Hou -124 W, 190 Bos -190 L, 128 Clev -128 L, 340 NYY -340 W
March 29: 421 Bos -145 W
March 30: 125 Atl +126 L, 258 Clev -113 W
March 31: 217 Atl +130 L
April 1: 499 Atl +100 W

Chase is 8-0 this year. 27.67u risked to win 8.00u. Atlanta Braves went to the 4th game laying almost 5 units to win a net 1u.
 
Late update: Summary of picks for the 2020 season chase. Using 2019 playoff teams, ignoring the play-in game losers from 2019. No requirement this year to bet both sides of any series.

The COVID-19 pandemic delayed the season start until July 23, 2020. Lines from CRIS. First round bets placed to win 1 unit.

Date Bet-Size Team ML Result

July 23: 330 LAD -330 W, 65 Was 155 L, 175 NYY -175 W
July 24: 180 StL -180 W, 63 Atl +160 L, -300 Hou -300 W, 113 Minn -113 W, 150 TB -150 L
July 25: 205 Atl -126 W, 82 Was 200 W, 380 TB -152 W

Chase is 8-0 this year. 20.42u risked to win 8.00u. No team had to go to the 3rd game to win a net 1u.

All of the out-of-sample data put together: 117-3, net +26.78u, (372.02u total risked since 2010). This is the statistically significant result of the system up to and including the 2020 season.
 
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Summary of picks for the 2021 season chase. Using the 2020 playoff teams, ignoring the play-in game losers from 2020.

System (modified per creator "Ned") requires that we bet both sides of Game 1 of the Mia/TB and Hou/Oak series.

Lines from CRIS. First round bets placed to win 1 unit.

Date Bet-Size Team ML Result

April 1: 71 Mia +140 L, 210 LAD -210 L, 86 Atl +116 L, 230 SD -230 W, 103 Hou -103 W, 107 Oak -107 L, 150 TB -150 W, 180 NYY -180 W
April 2: 194 Mia -113 L, 760 LAD -245 W, 240 Oak -116 L
April 3: 376 Mia -103 W, 207 Atl -111 L, 389 Oak 115 L
April 4: 444 Atl -113 L, 978 Oak -117 L
April 6: 761 Atl 110 L

Chase is 6-2 this year. Only year so far to lose 2 chases. Total of 54.85u risked to lose -26.12u. Both Oak (-17.14u) and Atl (-14.98u) lost four straight.

All of the out-of-sample data put together: 123-5, net +0.66u (426.87u total risked since 2010), ROI = +0.15%.
This is the statistically significant result of the system up to and including the 2021 season.
 
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