1*Michael Chandler +117

Picking up a rogue +117 by BetOnline. My confidence keeps growing in Chandler the more I think about it
I got this 3-0 Chook or 2-1 at worst. But I don't know if many agree. On optics alone, Vivi's face is fucksville. Chook looks the same
I have no idea how this fight goes. Matt Schnell is incredibly inconsistent. He can look brilliant fighting very technical and he can also just be a berseker in a phone booth. No idea what guy you'll really get. Obviously he's far more effective when he is technical. Bontorin is a beast and can hit with power but will want to take this to the mat. Schnells bjj is underrated. Lean Bontorin +140 as I see this as closer to a coin flip
very even first. both men hurt each other. Shocked Bontorin hasn't attempted a shot. assuming he is trying to conserve energy after a bad weight cut
2-0 or 1-1 Bontorin. His approach is crazy and striking looks much improved. He has been full rabies grab and slam in every other fight. Tonight no takedowns, and its working
Feel like my Tony ticket is either boom or bust. If Tony comes back to form probably sitting on a -200+ ticket at the price of +140. I couldn't resist the potential upside. But if Tony is truly done he probably gets shutout by Beneil here in the same way Oliveira did it
Tony has now loss 11 straight rounds. Makes you wonder how good Oliveira is now. Not to say Benny isn't good, but Tony looks terrible.
Losing night. Probably overextended myself and paid for it.

[66-68] +23.78
3* [10-7] +11.12


3*Dusko Todorovic -140 L Closing Line: -175
1*Max Holloway -180 W Closing Line: -160
1*Max Holloway -155 W

1*Mike Davis -180 W Closing Line: -165
1*Tom Breese -122 L Closing Line: -155
1*Tyson Nam -130 L Closing Line: -125
1*Michael Chiesa by Submission +250 L Closing Line: +250

3*Makhmud Muradov +103 W Closing Line: -220
2*Amir Albazi +120 W Closing Line: -120
1*Amir Albazi +105 W
2*Julianna Pena +110 W Closing Line: +100
1*Amanda Ribas -253 L Closing Line: -345
0.5*Amanda Ribas by Submission +275 L Closing Line: +165
1*Under 2.5 Michael Chandler/Dan Hooker -110 W Closing Line: -110
1*Under 2.5 McGregor/Poirier -116 W Closing Line: -190
Hit Chandler +350 KO for 0.25* but only posted it in BB thread. Wont count it

3*Diego Ferreira -110 L Closing Line: +100
2*Alexander Volkov -160 W Closing Line: -170
0.5*Alexander Volkov by KO/TKO/DQ +140 W Closing Line: +100
2*Under 1.5 Rds Devonte Smith/Justin Jaynes -155 L Closing Line: -190
1.25*Frankie Edgar +350 L Closing Line: +280
0.25*Frankie Edgar by decision +500 L Closing Line: +400
1*Alexandre Pantoja -125 W Closing Line: -110
1*Danilo Marques +205 W Closing Line: +195
1*Seung Woo Choi +205 W Closing Line: +200

1*Gabe Green +103 W Closing Line: -140
2*Gabe Green -110 W
1*Under 2.5 Rds Gabe Green/Phil Rowe -135 L Closing Line: -140
2*Chris Gutierrez -150 W Closing Line: -135
1*Chris Gutierrez -125 W
1*Maycee Barber +159 L Closing Line: -115
1*Kelvin Gastelum -219 W Closing Line: -200
1*Anthony Hernandez +300 W Closing Line: +370

2/19/21 LFA Bout
1*Nate Davis -145 L Closing Line: -155

1*John Castaneda +120 W Closing Line: -130
1*Julian Erosa +120 W Closing Line: +130
1*Yana Kunitskaya +250 W Closing Line: +235

1*Ciryl Gane -265 W Closing Line: -245
0.5* Ciryl Gane Wins Inside The Distance -105 L Closing Line: -105
1*Nikita Krylov +250 L Closing Line: +250
1*Nikita Krylov +260 L
1*Thiago Moises +165 W Closing Line: +185
1*Maxim Grishin +150 L Closing Line: +140
1*Pedro Munhoz +133 W Closing Line: +110
1*Kevin Croom +162 L Closing Line: +135

3*Amanda Lemos -104 W Closing Line: -225
2*Thiago Santos +232 L Closing Line: +160
2*Kyler Phillips +169 W Closing Line: +160
2*Over 3.5 Rds Petr Yan/Aljamain Sterling -105 W Closing Line: -140
2*Over 1.5 Rds Amanda Nunes/Megan Anderson -115 L Closing Line: -160
2*Fight does not go the distance Dober/Makhachev -105 W Closing Line: -105
1*Parlay (Jan Blachowicz +225 & Islam Makhachev -310) +330 W
1*Casey Kenney -108 L Closing Line: -130
1*Mario Bautista -205 L Closing Line: -240
1*Carlos Ulberg -172 L Closing Line: -240
1*Aljamain Sterling by Decision +350 L Closing Line: +350

1*Parlay (Islam Makhachev -400 (WIN) /Leon Edwards -255/Jonathan Martinez -300) +132 L

3*Misha Cirkunov -125 L Closing Line: -140
1*Leon Edwards -260 No Action
1*Gavin Tucker +110 L Closing Line: +165
1*Gavin Tucker +162 L Closing Line: +165
1*Over 2.5 Rds Manel Kape/Matheus Nicolau -125 W Closing Line: -150
1*Matheus Nicolau +110 W Closing Line: +110

3*Derek Brunson +145 W Closing Line: +170
3*Trevin Giles +135 W Closing Line: -115
0.5*Trevin Giles Wins Inside the Distance +325 L Closing Line: +300
0.5*Trevin Giles Wins Inside the Distance Goes Distance = No Action +185 No Action
2*Gustavo Lopez +185 L Closing Line: +185

2*Stipe Miocic +140 L Closing Line: +110
1*Gillian Robertson +150 L Closing Line: +130
1*Tyron Woodley +221 L Closing Line: +160

4/2/21 Bellator
2*Patricio Freire -244 W Closing Line: -250
1*Jason Jackson +138 W Closing Line: +105

4/7/21 ONE
2*Eddie Alvarez -115 No Action Closing Line: -145

4/9/21 Bellator
1*Dan Moret +425 W Closing Line: +375
1*Adam Borics -102 W Closing Line: -110

3*Nina Ansaroff -110 L Closing Line: -130
2*Joe Solecki -190 W Closing Line: -240
2*Mateusz Gamrot -175 W Closing Line: -240
1*Sodiq Yusuff -145 L Closing Line: -150
1*Hunter Azure +125 L Closing Line: +160
1*Over 2.5 Rounds Marvin Vettori/Kevin Holland -135 W Closing Line: -135
1*Under 2.5 Rounds Mike Perry/Daniel Rodriguez +117 L Closing Line: +115

2*Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov -120 L Closing Line: +170
1*Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov +110 L
0.5*Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov +150 L
1*Phil Davis +149 L Closing Line: +150
0.5*Phil Davis +165 L
0.5*Phil Davis +170 L
0.5*Phil Davis by Decision +300 L Closing Line: +275
1*Desiree Yanez -110 L Closing Line: -120

2*Alexander Romanov +105 W Closing Line: -145
2*Austin Hubbard "Live Bet" -139 W
1*Kelvin Gastelum +220 L Closing Line: +215
1*Gerald Meerschaert +130 W Closing Line: +105
0.5*Luis Pena "Live Bet" -117 W
0.5*Al Hassan "Live Bet" +125 L

4/23/21 PFL
2*Sheymon Moraes +195 L Closing Line: +130
1*Marcin Held +350 W Closing Line: +325

3*Rose Namajunas +170 W Closing Line: +175
2*Brendan Allen -145 W Closing Line: -155
0.5*Brendan Allen Inside the Distance +125 W Closing Line: +130
1*Jimmy Crute -181 L Closing Line: -250
1*Kamaru Usman/Jorge Masvidal "Does Not Go The Distance" +155 W Closing Line: +110
1*Kevin Natividad +145 L Closing Line: +180
1*Chris Weidman/Uriah Hall "Does Not Go The Distance" -120 W Closing Line: -125
1*Under 2.5rds Connelly/Sabatini +170 L Closing Line: +165
1*Under 2.5rds Oliveira/Brown +125 W Closing Line: +110

4/30/21 LFA
1*Cheyden Leialoha -135 W Closing Line: -165

2*Cody Stamann +220 L Closing Line: +235
2*Under 2.5rds Kai Kamaka/TJ Brown +170 L Closing Line: +150
1*Sean Strickland -220 W Closing Line: -245
1*Dominick Reyes +105 L Closing Line: -120
1*Randa Markos +143 L Closing Line: +135
1*Dustin Jacoby +123 Draw Closing Line: +105

5/7/21 Bellator
3*Sergio Pettis +160 W Closing Line: +175
1*Michael Page -200 W Closing Line: -360
1*Raufeon Stots -225 W Closing Line: -225

3*Carlston Harris +120 W Closing Line: -210
3*Ludovit Klein -150 L Closing Line: -250
2*Diego Ferreira +160 L Closing Line: +120
1*Neil Magny +195 W Closing Line: +145
1*Kyle Daukaus -145 L Closing Line: -150
1*Michelle Waterson +185 L Closing Line: +190
1*Does Not Go the Distance Cerrone/Morono +115 W Closing Line: +115
1*Under 4.5rds Waterson/Rodriguez +140 L Closing Line: +130

3*Mike Grundy -115 L Closing Line: -120
2.5*Andrea Lee +110 W Closing Line: +100
2*Katlyn Chookagian -135 W Closing Line: -125
1*Edson Barboza +120 W Closing Line: +130
1*Edson Barboza/Shane Burgos Does Not Go the Distance +125 W Closing Line: +100
1*Michael Chandler +125 L Closing Line: +115
1*Michael Chandler +117 L Closing Line: +115
1*Michael Chandler Wins Inside the Distance +200 L Closing Line: +150
1*Under 2.5rds Michael Chandler/Charles Oliveira -140 W Closing Line: -175
0.5*Michael Chandler by Submission +1000 L Closing Line: +1200
1*Fight Does Not Go the Distance Kevin Aguilar/Tucker Lutz +155 L Closing Line: +135
1*Kevin Aguilar +105 L Closing Line: +120
1*Jacare Souza -115 L Closing Line: -135
1*Tony Ferguson +140 L Closing Line: +130
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Oliveira/Chandler notes
Charles has never gone 5 in his career where Chandler has done it a gang of times already.
Chandler's wrestling pedigree is going to decide where the fight goes. He dictates if he wants to stand or if he wants to take it to the mat.
My guess would be Chandler will keep the fight standing to eliminate Charlie Olives bjj but Chandler is a savage on the ground too.
Chandler has never been submitted in his career
I think whoever has top position has a good chance of putting the smush on the other and holding control for a long time.
I expect Chandler will be much stronger and faster but Chandler does slow considerably as the fight goes on.
Both fighters have been finished multiple times in their career.
Oliveiras high Muay Thai guard protects the dome and he is generally not afraid of being take down. But it is going to leave openings for Chandlers hard straights, hooks, and body kicks to the liver. Once he forces the hands to drop the head becomes available.
For whatever reason the scenario I keep seeing in my head is Oliveira getting forced to the fence, getting rocked by a body, shot curling over, giving his back and submitted by rear naked or shooting a desperation shot right into a guillotine by Chandler.
Oliveira has quit in fights many times before
Chandler within the distance

Cant believe how close that was. Man if he was able to pull guard I bet it was done


NHL Expert
Tough night Smartz. I was riding with you on quite a few of those losses. It's still enjoyable following your thoughts and comments in this thread. Let's get um next week!
[66-68] +23.78
3* [10-7] +11.12

3*David Dvorak -150
2*David Dvorak -142
3*Edmen Shahbazyan +175
1*Parlay (Damir Ismagulov -650/Josh Culibao -250) -160

2*Tanner Boser -180
1*Santiago Ponzinibbio +120

3*Drew Dober -110
2*Matt Frevola -200
1*Demian Maia +225
1*Fares Ziam -110
1*Hakeem Dawodu +250

2*Chan Sung Jung -125

1*Alexander Volkov +115

3*Conor McGregor -125
1*Conor McGregor -105

2*Paulo Costa +132

Future Event
3*Colby Covington +250 vs Usman