Wanti
- Thread starter Hitman26
- Start date
NE +3.5 -226
Den +3.5 -223
Phi +3.5 -212
AZ +10.5 -255
Jax -14.5 +320 (borderline)
Sea -14.5 +270 (no way) same base numbers as Jax and 50 cents cheaper.
Pitt -14.5 +233
Phi -7.5 +248(that game works both ways) definate shade to Dallas in that match up
Don't like how everything is shaded to the 3.5 that is for sure. Doesn't open up a lot of possibilities. They basically look like what I saw last time. Some with some SLIGHT value, but most with little or none.
A lot beter in games with 5 or less point faves. This week too many high faves to work with from what I see.
If they let you have the dog -3 and not 3,5 would offer some more options, but snce they are al on the 3.5 (whch is smart) it forses you to make amove, but the value isn't there.
AZ is a good example. They are +3.5/4 (-107) @ Det. If you take them ML you can get +175, but if you take them -3.5 you are only getting +273. So basically you get a dollar more, but they pretty much have to win by a TD. But that isn't an option, since the high side offers +10.5 -255. THAT does hold some value. Basically getting a full TD for 250. And that buy up covers some pretty decent numbers (6,7,10)
Like I said in that thread, they are not offering enough variety to open themselves up to omuch to get hurt. Plus they have a low limit on them. Not sure what it is, but probably 2K max. So even if you were looking to take alead or buy back somewhere it isn't really worth it.
The ones I listed are strictly from a probability and pay off stand point, not from an opinion based one. But when they are severely limitting what you can do it is hard to figure out what is what. All you can do is compare what they show and hope they are "right". Which I don't thinkthey are.I think they are under valuing some of the teams and overvaluing others. So their numbers are somewhat biased and opinionated...but what else is new.
Den +3.5 -223
Phi +3.5 -212
AZ +10.5 -255
Jax -14.5 +320 (borderline)
Sea -14.5 +270 (no way) same base numbers as Jax and 50 cents cheaper.
Pitt -14.5 +233
Phi -7.5 +248(that game works both ways) definate shade to Dallas in that match up
Don't like how everything is shaded to the 3.5 that is for sure. Doesn't open up a lot of possibilities. They basically look like what I saw last time. Some with some SLIGHT value, but most with little or none.
A lot beter in games with 5 or less point faves. This week too many high faves to work with from what I see.
If they let you have the dog -3 and not 3,5 would offer some more options, but snce they are al on the 3.5 (whch is smart) it forses you to make amove, but the value isn't there.
AZ is a good example. They are +3.5/4 (-107) @ Det. If you take them ML you can get +175, but if you take them -3.5 you are only getting +273. So basically you get a dollar more, but they pretty much have to win by a TD. But that isn't an option, since the high side offers +10.5 -255. THAT does hold some value. Basically getting a full TD for 250. And that buy up covers some pretty decent numbers (6,7,10)
Like I said in that thread, they are not offering enough variety to open themselves up to omuch to get hurt. Plus they have a low limit on them. Not sure what it is, but probably 2K max. So even if you were looking to take alead or buy back somewhere it isn't really worth it.
The ones I listed are strictly from a probability and pay off stand point, not from an opinion based one. But when they are severely limitting what you can do it is hard to figure out what is what. All you can do is compare what they show and hope they are "right". Which I don't thinkthey are.I think they are under valuing some of the teams and overvaluing others. So their numbers are somewhat biased and opinionated...but what else is new.
I will take a screenie and follow to see how the action goes for a couple weeks, to see if any patterns come around. Too late to do anything with it this year probably. But maybe next.
And the limits are actually 3000...just checked, 2k on totals
And the limits are actually 3000...just checked, 2k on totals
BEANTOWNJIM
Banned
YEH WANT IS GREAT AT WRITE UPS BUT ASK HIM FOR A WINNER AND THE KID WILL GO IN THE TANK.F-CK THE WRITE UPS ALL I KEEP DOING IS WINNING.ATLANTA GOES OVER 189 1/2 CHALK UP ANOTHER WINNER FOR THE GOOD GUY (I GRIN WHEN I WIN 
) BOYS I DONT HAVE TO COME INTO THE EOG TO SHOW YOU GUYS HOW SMART I AM JUST ASK DAVE FROM CASCADE SPORTSBOOK HOW I AM DOING.:+money-8+
) BOYS I DONT HAVE TO COME INTO THE EOG TO SHOW YOU GUYS HOW SMART I AM JUST ASK DAVE FROM CASCADE SPORTSBOOK HOW I AM DOING.:+money-8+
Hitman26
EOG Veteran
Goodjob Jimmy. Looks like I'm gonna be in Boston next July. I would love to meet you up there and have you show me the best gaybars, and Jewish Delis. I would be lost up there Jimmy and I would need your guidence. Maybe you could take me to your tavern and introduce me to all of your friends. You can tell them I'm your Uncle Lenny from Costa Rica.
Let me know Jimmy
Let me know Jimmy
Almost forgot this thread...
NE +3.5 -226 ...didn't need to buy, (waste of money)
Den +3.5-223 didn't need to buy (waste of money)
Phi +3.5 -212 we all know what heppned there (good buy)
AZ +10.5 -255 they covered that number (good buy)
Jax -14.5 +320 Easy cover although pay off was borderline(very good buy)
Pitt -14.5 +233 didn't cover the spread TD score with 20 secs left(good buy but backdoored big time)
Phi -7.5 +248 can't have it both ways(good buy that cashed the other way)
Sea -14.5 +270 I wouldn't have bought, but it did cover, (bad buy but a winner)
So would have been mixed results, I didn't bet any of them myself, but as it is they offered just enough value (due to results) to be profitable. Since the two 3 point faves won easy (NE and Den) the "value" of getting them +3.5 was greatly diminished. They still would have cashed, but you paid more than double waht you needed to.
NE +3.5 -226 ...didn't need to buy, (waste of money)
Den +3.5-223 didn't need to buy (waste of money)
Phi +3.5 -212 we all know what heppned there (good buy)
AZ +10.5 -255 they covered that number (good buy)
Jax -14.5 +320 Easy cover although pay off was borderline(very good buy)
Pitt -14.5 +233 didn't cover the spread TD score with 20 secs left(good buy but backdoored big time)
Phi -7.5 +248 can't have it both ways(good buy that cashed the other way)
Sea -14.5 +270 I wouldn't have bought, but it did cover, (bad buy but a winner)
So would have been mixed results, I didn't bet any of them myself, but as it is they offered just enough value (due to results) to be profitable. Since the two 3 point faves won easy (NE and Den) the "value" of getting them +3.5 was greatly diminished. They still would have cashed, but you paid more than double waht you needed to.