Week 2 NFL Picks and Discussion

ZzyzxRoad

ZzyzxRoad

EOG Dedicated
Leans so far:
I feel humbled because I've realized hat over the years, I've transitioned from being a handicapper to someone who just follows steam. Some of the spreads this week seem to be way off.

Arizona +5.5
No idea how the Giants can perform like that and be a heavy road favorite. Arizona was very competitive against a better team and could have easily won.

Panthers +3 (plus)
This is always a difficult road trip for New Orleans. Carolina lost by 14 despite out gaining Atlanta by 60 yards, so it was something of a misleading box score. Teams in Week 2 that are 0-1 playing against 1-0 teams are historically a goof spread bet. The Saints offense wasn't very impressive despite winning. Will definitely bet this if it gets to 3.5

Rams +8.5 (-117)
Rams steamrolled a good team last week on the road and have to think they'll be up for a home game against last year's division winner. How in the world is this more than a touchdown??

Jaguars +3
This should be the biggest home game of the year for Jax, and touts will be selling the playoff revenge angle. KC's offense has a lot of work to do before they're back to last year's level, and it's very hard for me to envision them winning by more than a field goal.
 
Ray Luca

Ray Luca

EOG Master
ZzyzxRoad said:
Leans so far:
I feel humbled because I've realized hat over the years, I've transitioned from being a handicapper to someone who just follows steam. Some of the spreads this week seem to be way off.

Arizona +5.5
No idea how the Giants can perform like that and be a heavy road favorite. Arizona was very competitive against a better team and could have easily won.

Panthers +3 (plus)
This is always a difficult road trip for New Orleans. Carolina lost by 14 despite out gaining Atlanta by 60 yards, so it was something of a misleading box score. Teams in Week 2 that are 0-1 playing against 1-0 teams are historically a goof spread bet. The Saints offense wasn't very impressive despite winning. Will definitely bet this if it gets to 3.5

Rams +8.5 (-117)
Rams steamrolled a good team last week on the road and have to think they'll be up for a home game against last year's division winner. How in the world is this more than a touchdown??

Jaguars +3
This should be the biggest home game of the year for Jax, and touts will be selling the playoff revenge angle. KC's offense has a lot of work to do before they're back to last year's level, and it's very hard for me to envision them winning by more than a field goal.
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The only one I may disagree with is Jags +3. I tend to give hard looks at teams who did not cover week 1 vs teams that did
 
kane

kane

EOG master
Unless someone has some info, it's kinda tough to bet the Chiefs/Jags game without knowing the status of Kelce and Chris Jones
 
kane

kane

EOG master
Posted this in the BB thread, I'm on Seattle, Det coming off the big win in KC, meanwhile the Hawks couldn't have played worse getting beat at home against the Rams, those results have created some nice value, personally I think the line should be 3-3.5, I'll gladly take the 6
 
choslamshe

choslamshe

EOG Dedicated
Will have to put up with Arizona flip-flopping from week to week. Last week they competed and had a chance to win. Would it surprise anyone for them to come out after an inspring performance like they had, to lay an egg like the Giants last week? Giants are still better across the board, and you know going 0-2 isn't good...they'll treat this like a playoff game.
 
jimmythegreek

jimmythegreek

The opening odds start here
With you on Arizona. As if the Giants should even be nearly a TD favorite let alone a favorite all after losing by 6 TD plus last week. Need to look into the rest.
 
V

Valuist

EOG Master
One thing about the Cincy/Cleveland game last week. I've heard several podcasts claim the weather was terrible. I know several people who don't live far from the Browns stadium and it wasn't raining THAT hard.. Mild drizzle. Did the calf bother Burrow? Quite possibly, but don't blame it all on the rain.
 
kane

kane

EOG master
I rarely play a favorite, but I laid 3 with the Bengals, I think it's a good spot to back them coming off that embarrassing effort last week, Joe Burrow played the worst game of his career, I have to think he bounces back with a big effort, anytime these teams meet it's always a big game, but if Cincy loses, not only are they 0-2, but they're 0-2 in the division, I'm expecting them to win the game, so I don't mind laying 3
 
kane

kane

EOG master
MrTop said:
i am on New england. Tua is in a big spot with this division game
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fascinating matchup between a great offensive mind in Mike McDaniel, and great defensive mind in the Hoodie, weather could be an issue, not betting this one, but will be rooting for the Fish
 
V

Valuist

EOG Master
kane said:
I rarely play a favorite, but I laid 3 with the Bengals, I think it's a good spot to back them coming off that embarrassing effort last week, Joe Burrow played the worst game of his career, I have to think he bounces back with a big effort, anytime these teams meet it's always a big game, but if Cincy loses, not only are they 0-2, but they're 0-2 in the division, I'm expecting them to win the game, so I don't mind laying 3
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Sounds like Baltimore very banged up as well.
 
ZzyzxRoad

ZzyzxRoad

EOG Dedicated
Official play from me on Vikings+7 @ ISi.
They moved the line back to the 7 this morning inexplicably and I couldn't pass it up.

Also, the spray must not be working because the Jackets are still very much alive.
 
Heim

Heim

EOG Master
I'm looking at this list of prospective candidates for the Jets as QB, and I have to think Wilson is better than all of them, even
Brissett is a toss-up
 
railbird

railbird

EOG Master
Valuist said:
One thing about the Cincy/Cleveland game last week. I've heard several podcasts claim the weather was terrible. I know several people who don't live far from the Browns stadium and it wasn't raining THAT hard.. Mild drizzle. Did the calf bother Burrow? Quite possibly, but don't blame it all on the rain.
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Better team win, which is browns. Burrow overrated
 
railbird

railbird

EOG Master
Heim said:
I'm looking at this list of prospective candidates for the Jets as QB, and I have to think Wilson is better than all of them, even
Brissett is a toss-up
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Could be one of my pickleball opponents here in Newport beach, a guy by the name of nick foles
 
railbird

railbird

EOG Master
Other pickle ball opponents gsrret boles tackle for Denver, and current starting tackle for pats,bog black kid from rice
 
kane

kane

EOG master
Some nice teaser options, earlier in the week when GB was a small favorite the Falcons were a good leg, now that they're a small fave, GB looks good, Colts, Bears, Bills, Niners, and Steelers also look good
 
kane

kane

EOG master
So I have the GB/Atl FH Under 19.5, the Falcons have the ball at the 3 yard line with about 15 seconds left in the half, they trail 10-3, mentally I'm prepared for a TD and a 10-10 score at the half, they score to make it 10-9, and then their kicker misses the extra point. I deal with so many bad beats, but rarely get this type of luck
 
ZzyzxRoad

ZzyzxRoad

EOG Dedicated
kane said:
So I have the GB/Atl FH Under 19.5, the Falcons have the ball at the 3 yard line with about 15 seconds left in the half, they trail 10-3, mentally I'm prepared for a TD and a 10-10 score at the half, they score to make it 10-9, and then their kicker misses the extra point. I deal with so many bad beats, but rarely get this type of luck
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RAS, huh?
The multiverse still owes you a few.
I had an off day, nothing looked off at any of the books I frequent.
 
kane

kane

EOG master
ZzyzxRoad said:
RAS, huh?
The multiverse still owes you a few.
I had an off day, nothing looked off at any of the books I frequent.
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Yeah, RAS gave it out, of course I also had Ga Tech last night, yet another horrific beat, I'm on both dogs tomorrow night
 
choslamshe

choslamshe

EOG Dedicated
Trevor Lawrence looks pretty brutal today and average to start this early year. Expected him to take a big step forward as a top 5 qb...not even close so far.
 
Heim

Heim

EOG Master
What bugs me more about the Ram insignificant (result) fg is McVay never called plays into the end zone, even trying for a flag down 10. Short passes setting up a fg...for what?

Every coach knows the spread. It looked like sour grapes to fuck 9er backers.
 
railbird

railbird

EOG Master
Heim said:
What bugs me more about the Ram insignificant (result) fg is McVay never called plays into the end zone, even trying for a flag down 10. Short passes setting up a fg...for what?

Every coach knows the spread. It looked like sour grapes to fuck 9er backers.
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wanted to stick it to the 60,000 49er fans at sofi
 
choslamshe

choslamshe

EOG Dedicated
This Steelers/Browns game has the intensity you would expect. Was happy to pounce on the live game UNDER after that first play pick-6. Doubt the game sees 2 offensive TDs the rest of the way.
 
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