Week 3 NFL, post your picks, leans, ideas

ZzyzxRoad

ZzyzxRoad

EOG Dedicated
Early stuff that looks off: Carolina laying three on the road against an Arizona team that has looked better than expected twice in a row.
Dallas -21. I'm not eager to bet Miami again, but the nature of the NFL betting market says this has to be too many points.
Same reasoning with the Patriots at -17.5
Houston might be a live dog.
Will wait and see.
 
V

Valuist

EOG Master
Apparently the Saints are flying to Seattle tonight (minus Brees who will see a specialist in LA) instead of returning to NO. The strategy worked well for the Niners this past week.
 
FairWarning

FairWarning

Bells Beer Connoisseur
If the Bears are going to coddle Trubisky, probably want to grab any available points with Washington next Monday.
 
S

SlipperyPete

EOG Dedicated
Cincy +6 or so (I am down if I can get a 7 )

They are not that bad. Should have beaten Seattle. (Dont what happened yesterday yet)

Overreaction imo. Now the Bills will start to get believe their own hype. Plus the recent matchups with Cincy went towards the Bengals

24-21 winner TBD
 
S

SlipperyPete

EOG Dedicated
Valuist said:
Apparently the Saints are flying to Seattle tonight (minus Brees who will see a specialist in LA) instead of returning to NO. The strategy worked well for the Niners this past week.
Click to expand...


If its Teddy Bridge, give me Seattle any number

(as long as its -3 or less) Sea will win for sure, but with their style its usually close versus everyone

Teddy is not an NFL Qb, I dont understand why NFL Gms dont see it

I believe the Dolphins actually promised Teddy their starting qb job.
HAHAHAHA:ROFLMAO::ROFLMAO::ROFLMAO:

And he turned them down.....

BWAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA......:LOL::ROFLMAO::LOL::ROFLMAO::LOL:

Next starting gig offer will come from the CFL
 
Sportsrmylife

Sportsrmylife

EOG Master
ZzyzxRoad said:
Early stuff that looks off: Carolina laying three on the road against an Arizona team that has looked better than expected twice in a row.
Dallas -21. I'm not eager to bet Miami again, but the nature of the NFL betting market says this has to be too many points.
Same reasoning with the Patriots at -17.5
Houston might be a live dog.
Will wait and see.
Click to expand...
Cam newtons shoulder isnt right. Early in the game on the 44 yard completion to samuels he badly under threw him with a clean pocket to step up and throw it out there. That was a play that cam throws it out there and samuels who is a 4.3 guy runs underneath for a td. It was so badly underthrown it almost hit the defender in the shoulder pad when he was in oh shit catch up mode.

Some good fade away material here.
 
blueline

blueline

EOG Master
Chris Andrews on the Bengals/Buffalo game " Im going to open it at 5.5 and I think we're going to take money on the favorite but thats ok"
 
FairWarning

FairWarning

Bells Beer Connoisseur
SlipperyPete said:
If its Teddy Bridge, give me Seattle any number

(as long as its -3 or less) Sea will win for sure, but with their style its usually close versus everyone

Teddy is not an NFL Qb, I dont understand why NFL Gms dont see it

I believe the Dolphins actually promised Teddy their starting qb job.
HAHAHAHA:ROFLMAO::ROFLMAO::ROFLMAO:

And he turned them down.....

BWAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA......:LOL::ROFLMAO::LOL::ROFLMAO::LOL:

Next starting gig offer will come from the CFL
Click to expand...
Brees our 6 weeks.
 
V

Valuist

EOG Master
SlipperyPete said:
Cincy +6 or so (I am down if I can get a 7 )

They are not that bad. Should have beaten Seattle. (Dont what happened yesterday yet)

Overreaction imo. Now the Bills will start to get believe their own hype. Plus the recent matchups with Cincy went towards the Bengals

24-21 winner TBD
Click to expand...

Agree completely that Cincy outplayed Seattle in week 1 and its an overreaction. Buffalo is the type of team you want as a dog, not a favorite.
 
kane

kane

EOG master
SlipperyPete said:
Cincy +6 or so (I am down if I can get a 7 )

They are not that bad. Should have beaten Seattle. (Dont what happened yesterday yet)

Overreaction imo. Now the Bills will start to get believe their own hype. Plus the recent matchups with Cincy went towards the Bengals

24-21 winner TBD
Click to expand...

I haven't started capping any games yet, but at first blush the Bengals look like a solid play, the Bills are coming off two nice wins against the other NY teams and play the Patriots next week, looks like a flat spot for them against a Bengals team that just got blown out at home
 
kane

kane

EOG master
It just came across the screen Big Ben is out for the season, I guess I can mark my Steelers to win the division, Steelers to win the SB, and Ben to win the MVP all as losers. I made futures on three teams to win the SB; Indy, Pitt, and Philly, and I've got one QB still healthy, fml
 
S

SlipperyPete

EOG Dedicated
Yep you mushed them.

I mushed the Colts and possibly Saints

Also the Chargers havent completely been mushed, but trending that way.
(Okung, Gordon, both safeties, Hunter)
 
B

bmiller

EOG Addicted
SlipperyPete said:
If its Teddy Bridge, give me Seattle any number

(as long as its -3 or less) Sea will win for sure, but with their style its usually close versus everyone

Teddy is not an NFL Qb, I dont understand why NFL Gms dont see it

I believe the Dolphins actually promised Teddy their starting qb job.
HAHAHAHA:ROFLMAO::ROFLMAO::ROFLMAO:

And he turned them down.....

BWAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA......:LOL::ROFLMAO::LOL::ROFLMAO::LOL:

Next starting gig offer will come from the CFL
Click to expand...
I think it could be Teddy B stinks it up for the first half and then its Taysom Hill to the rescue for 2nd half
 
kane

kane

EOG master
In addition to the Bengals I'll also be on Denver, their offense is shit, but they still have a solid defense, and GB is coming off two big divisional wins with a game against the Eagles next, flat spot for the pack here
 
WildBill

WildBill

2
Green Bay -7.5/8 is silly, should be 4-6. Broncos are talking about this as a must win, they will be prepared. Their D could be much better if they get two injured guys back. Their offense needs a shuffling of the OL, may not happen yet. Looks like a bad spot on the schedule for the Pack too.

Giants defense is in shambles, I'm backing their opponents until they shake things up. A total lack of playmakers and horrible scheme, it looks like they are playing prevent defense all game. If Tampa lights them up its going to be a rough locker room for awhile.

Bengals are tempting but they might just be on the verge of breaking down. Didn't like the coaching or the response from the players when things started getting away. Yeah they played Seattle well but that's not going to help them win future games.
 
FairWarning

FairWarning

Bells Beer Connoisseur
11% of 0-2 teams in the last 10 years made the playoffs. Outside of Miami, I would expect max effort this week. These should be good teaser possibilities if they are dogs now.
 
ZzyzxRoad

ZzyzxRoad

EOG Dedicated
Under 44 in the Jets-Patriots is an official play. Jets did absolutely nothing on offense Monday night, and now they get a short week with travel. Their defense actually wasn't that bad against Cleveland, considering they were done no favors.
The Patriots looked content to have nothing but extremely conservative play calling once they got the lead against Miami, and have to think they'll do the same here in the first game of a division rivalry. 34-7 sounds about right.
 
kane

kane

EOG master
I'm taking the Steelers, Rudolph will have the whole week to prepare, and he actually played pretty well when pressed into duty last week, the Steelers season is basically on the line as they can't afford an 0-3 start, so I expect a max effort from them, I think they'll rally around Rudolph and be competitive
 
KevinStott11

KevinStott11

EOG Veteran
Thinking a 2-team 7-point Teaser taking the Steelers up (after a 7-point spread rise) to +14 and the Buccaneers down to PK or +½. Giants seem awful.

I bet the Patriots today for small amount to beat any 2 to 3 point trickle up.

The early money on the TNF JAX-TENN game seems like smart money (41 down to 39).May bet that one Under 39.

The Rams laying 2½-3 vs the Browns seems decent on SNF, but must investigate it today. May back the Rams.

$100 is a lot to some people and why worry about other's bet amounts? At least they reveal them? You can get 5 or more Pizzas for $100.

Agree, the Packers line looks high at 8. Denver will try try try to slow the game down.

Bucs and 49ers look like the most improved team outside of New England. Eagles look shaky. Bears may be starting to have questions about Trubisky's decision--making process. D will have to shine to stay in most games, Chicago Unders may be worth watching.

Does the whole 2019 NFL season all come down to a stupid Chiefs-Patriots game?
 
FairWarning

FairWarning

Bells Beer Connoisseur
Kevin - referring to the Denver line. Watching the first two GB games, they are happy to play slow also. Forget everything you knew about Rodgers, they want to play ball control and defense. To be honest, they don’t have the weapons to throw the ball all over the field. I’ll be on the under.
 
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