The EOG Octagon (RAILBIRD v John Kelly)

[Dell Dude]

I think it will be 0-5. Have to avoid garbage time in Memphis.

517 chicago under 217 -110 bet dsi
514 Charolette under 230 -110 westgate
520 toronto under 228 -110 westgate
526 memphis under 214 -110 westgate
528 dallas under 219.5 -110 westgate
530 oklahoma city under 226.5 (EDIT) -110 westgate

 

[Dell Dude]

OKC flying over early too. What a bonehead move. Give yourself a chance Saturday west coast baskets.

 

[John Kelly]

Play #27: 749 San Diego State -1 (-110) at Westgate

 

[John Kelly]

Play #28: 670 Air Force -13.5 (-110) at Westgate

 

[John Kelly]

Play #29: 740 Northwestern +6 (-110) at Westgate

 

[Dell Dude]

517 chicago under 217 -110 bet dsi
514 Charolette under 230 -110 westgate
520 toronto under 228 -110 westgate
526 memphis under 214 -110 westgate
528 dallas under 219.5 -110 westgate
530 oklahoma city under 226.5 (EDIT) -110 westgate

 

[Dell Dude]

Nice call on Dallas under, Birdie.

 

[John Kelly]

Outstanding prediction.

 

[railbird]

Sandiego st -1

 

[ComptrBob]

Sandiego st -1

Can't copy JK's Play #27.

 

[John Kelly]

CURRENT RECORDS:

JOHN KELLY 14-12

RAILBIRD 4-14

 

[John Kelly]

Can't copy JK's Play #27.

Glad to see Birdie agrees.

 

[pro analyser]

if kelly goes 2-2 rail can still win by going 12-0

 

[cheapseats]

Can't win them all, nice run!

 

[cheapseats]

Grats to K

 

[railbird]

Play #21: 728 Washington State Pk

 

[railbird]

Play #22: 723 Portland Pilots +11.5

 

[railbird]

Play #23: 711 Duke -4.5

 

[ComptrBob]

With all the Friday games counted, Rail has a 0.07% chance of winning outright and a 0.44% chance of tying and winning the tiebreaker.

The magic number for JK to cinch the contest is 2 1/2 (count of JK wins/ties and Birdie losses/ties). ML is around -19500

 

[John Kelly]

Love Bob's extravagant documentation.

 

[Dell Dude]

Hopefully JK goes she's worthless to give Birdie a chance to make history. Looks like 10-2.

 

[Viejo Dinosaur]

Waiting for the concession speech....I hope Birdie can be gracious in defeat.....

 

[railbird]

540 lakers under 234

 

[railbird]

780 north dakota -4

 

[railbird]

Idaho +15.5

 

[railbird]

Ucsb -4

 

[railbird]

Riverside under 145.5

 

[ComptrBob]

With all the Friday games counted, Rail has a 0.07% chance of winning outright and a 0.44% chance of tying and winning the tiebreaker.

The magic number for JK to cinch the contest is 2 1/2 (count of JK wins/ties and Birdie losses/ties). ML is around -19500

Note that the magic number is only exact for a limited number of pushes because of the winning percentage metric.

For instance, if JK finished with 4 pushes (counts as two magic #'s and now impossible with JK's 3 picks for today), he would be 14-12-4, and Rail ran the table with 12-0 to end 16-14-0, JK would win with the better win% (53.8% vs 53.3%) (W/(W+L)). Also if JK lost all 4 to go 14-16, and Rail went 8-0-4 to go 12-14-4. JK would also win (46.7% vs 46.2%)

 

[railbird]

Congratulations rail bird, i always like to congratulate the guy that beat me, it wasnt jk

 

[ComptrBob]

Once a contestant posts a selection, neither the contestant nor the opponent can submit a play in the same game.

Ucsb -4

Riverside under 145.5

Play #19: 754 ucsb -4 -110 westgate

Play #20: 737 long beach st -2 -110 betdsi

UCSB already submitted. Riverside/LB St total violates one play per same game.

 

[Jammer]

I don’t even think he’s paying attention at this point!

 

[waco]

I just saw this! WTF!! RAIL WOULD HAVE HAD A BETTER CHANCE IF HE WOULD OF USED A DARTBOARD!!

 

[kane]

Congratulations rail bird, i always like to congratulate the guy that beat me, it wasnt jk

So you're congratulating yourself for beating yourself with your own shitty picks, sounds about right

 

[kane]

Waiting for the concession speech....I hope Birdie can be gracious in defeat.....

What would Trump do? You now have your answer

 

[ZzyzxRoad]

What would Trump do? You now have your answer

Yeah

 

[Heisenberg]

UCSB already submitted. Riverside/LB St total violates one play per same game.

It was 5 o'clock somewhere

 

[John Kelly]

I don’t even think he’s paying attention at this point!

The horse racing equivalent of EASED.

Great run from Birdie in November, December and January.

 

[railbird]

UCSB already submitted. Riverside/LB St total violates one play per same game.

Ok no rside total

 

[railbird]

Note that the magic number is only exact for a limited number of pushes because of the winning percentage metric.

For instance, if JK finished with 4 pushes (counts as two magic #'s and now impossible with JK's 3 picks for today), he would be 14-12-4, and Rail ran the table with 12-0 to end 16-14-0, JK would win with the better win% (53.8% vs 53.3%) (W/(W+L)). Also if JK lost all 4 to go 14-16, and Rail went 8-0-4 to go 12-14-4. JK would also win (46.7% vs 46.2%)

I have better chance now with nodak ahead

 

[railbird]

New Mexico State -12.5