Sherwood is 11-12 on the year in CFL & hasn't had a winning CFL season since 2014. FWIW following are his comments on the Calgary @ Winnipeg game:
"Thursday, 8:30 PM EST. When this line originally came out, we urged you to take Calgary +8½ (and B.C. +13½) and while B.C. has now dropped to 10½, Calgary is still very playable at +7½. Frankly, the number itself is way out of whack and probably should be closer to a pick ‘em than to +7½. Every single player and coach in every league is very aware of the point-spread. We mention that because the price here is locker room material for the Stampeders, as they are being hugely disrespected. It has to be motivating and by the way, Calgary is the better team to begin with, even with Bo Levi Mitchell on the sidelines (maybe).
Against the 0-6 Argos last week and with a 20-0 lead, Winnipeg lost outright. Two weeks prior against the same Argos outfit, Winnipeg won 48-21 but that score was extremely misleading with Toronto actually outgaining the Bombers by 25 yards in Winnipeg. Had Toronto not gifted Winnipeg 14 points and then turn it over on the Winnipeg one-yard line, that outcome could’ve been much different. In two games against a team that was winless and that has looked sloppy, unorganized and talentless, Winnipeg was outgained not once but twice by the Boatmen. In another win against Edmonton, Winnipeg was once again extremely lucky in a 28-21 win. They were outgained by 162 yards in that one.
Winnipeg is now 5-2. Its five wins came against Ottawa twice, Edmonton once, B.C. once and Toronto once. The deserving wins were against Ottawa twice. We’ll reiterate that the Bombers résumé consists of outplaying Ottawa twice. Winnipeg could easily be 2-5 and not 5-2. The Bombers lost to Hamilton when Jeremiah Masoli went down early in the first quarter and they also lost to Toronto. They have zero quality wins this season and now they’re a 7½-point choice against this quality outfit that looks better with each passing week?
Winnipeg QB Matt Nichols would be the third string QB if he played for Calgary. He should be the second string QB for Winnipeg. He would also be the second string QB if he played for every other team in the CFL not named Toronto but clueless coach Mike O’Shea will stick with him because O’Shea should be coaching lacrosse or curling.
Calgary is also 5-2 but two of its wins were against Saskatchewan and Edmonton and when the Stamps played Hamilton (with Jermiah Masoli), they lost 30-23 but the game was tied late in the 4th and Calgary outgained the ‘Cats by 140 yards. Furthermore, Calgary’s defense, its weak spot for the first few games, is gaining steam and has looked very good the past couple of weeks. Finally, Bo Levi Mitchell is a distinct possibility this week. Mitchell went through an entire session with the Stampeders on Tuesday for the first time in a long time.
“Arm felt great. Overall felt really good. They’re kind of having to temper me down, make sure I don’t overdue it. I’m ready to let it rip. If I’m in the lineup,” Mitchell said, I expect to be the guy on the field.”
We don’t care if it’s Mitchell or Arbuckle. We care about value and we’ll reiterate that this is one of the worst CFL lines that we have seen in a very long time. Take the points and absolutely put Calgary in some money line parlays (+270) If Bo Levi Mitchell is announced as the starter, this line will drop another 2 to 4 points. Biggest overlay of the year so let’s hope variance doesn’t work against us and we get paid for oddsmakers posting a terrible number."