CFL Canadian

D

Don Eagleston

EOG Addicted
Three straight defensive penalties cost me first quarter under. Refs are homers and rules unfathomable. Probably time to move on from this league, but play is exciting tho frustrating.
 
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X-Files said:
CFL week 10 of 21 Pinnacle lines as of around 11 to 11:40 AM PST this Monday morning, August 12:

BC +11.5 -106/-108 @ Winnipeg (Thursday, August 15, 530 PM PST), over 51 -108/-108

Edmonton -10 -106/-108 @ Toronto (Friday, August 16, 430 PM), over 49 -112/-104

Hamilton -4 -108/-106 @ Ottawa (Saturday, August 17, 100 PM), over 52.5 -107/-109

Montreal +7 -110/-104 @ Calgary (Saturday, August 17, 400 PM) over 52 -108/-108

There has since been a big move in the Ticat total down to 49.5.
Click to expand...

That Ticat total had to be one of the easiest unders of the season. I have to wonder what the linesmaker was thinking opening that at 52.5. It got bet down, in increments, to 48 and (according to SBR) closed at 48.5. The score was 4-1 at the half & ended 21-7.
 
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FWIW, whether in following or fading, it's been reported that Fezzik released BC/Ticats under 49.5.

It seems he's 7-1 this year in CFL picks, including a perfect 7-0 on full game wagers.

SBR reports the total opening at 52.5. It moved to 47 before rising up to 48.

These teams played earlier in August in Hamilton & put up 69 points with the home team winning 35-34.
 
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Winnipeg @ Edmonton, Friday, August 23, 6 PM PST

"The six-foot-one, 216-pound Streveler will be making his fifth CFL start. He opened last season behind centre after Nichols suffered a calf injury during training camp and went 1-2, completing 54 of 86 passes for 570 yards in the three games while running for another 183 yards. Over his CFL career, Streveler is 95 of 156 (60.9 per cent) for 1,216 yards with 12 TDs and eight interceptions."

https://www.thestar.com/sports/foot...r-will-try-to-keep-bombers-atop-the-west.html
 
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"Friday, Aug. 23

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (7-2 SU, 6-3 ATS) at Edmonton Eskimos (6-3 SU, 4-5 ATS)
Point-spread: Edmonton -3 ½
Total: 47

Game Overview

The Blue Bombers wrapped up the first half of their regular season schedule with their first cover against the spread in their last four games. The total stayed UNDER 52 ½ points against BC and it has stayed UNDER in three of their last five outings. Matt Nichols went a very efficient 10-for-12 throwing the ball for 179 yards and a score. Andrew Harris rushed for 70 yards to become the all-time CFL leader in yards from scrimmage for a Canadian player.

Edmonton remains just one game off the pace in the West coming into this week’s showdown. It has won three of its last four games straight-up with the total staying UNDER in six of nine games this season. The Eskimos faced Winnipeg on the road in Week 3 and came up short in a 28-21 loss as five-point underdogs. In Friday’s road victory against Toronto, Trevor Harris padded his lead as the CFL’s top passer this year with 420 yards through the air. Greg Ellingson was his top target with 10 receptions for 170 yards.

Betting Trends

-- Edmonton is 9-3 SU in its last 12 home games against Winnipeg, but the Blue Bombers have a 7-3-1 edge ATS in the last 11 meetings overall. The total has stayed UNDER in six of the last seven meetings in Edmonton."
 
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"Saturday, Aug. 24


Ottawa RedBlacks (3-6 SU, 4-5 ATS) at Saskatchewan (5-3 SU, 6-2 ATS)
Point-spread: Saskatchewan -10 ½
Total: 49


Game Overview


Ottawa’s fast 2-0 start has faded fast with just one SU win in its last seven games. The loss to Hamilton was the first time the RedBlacks failed to cover in their last four games. The total has stayed UNDER the closing line in four of their last five contests. With just seven points in Saturday’s loss, they have failed to score more than 16 points in four of their last five games. Dominique Davis only completed 20 of his 40 passing attempts for 238 passing yards.


Coming off last week’s bye, Saskatchewan has won its last four games both SU and ATS. It started the season 0-2 SU including a 44-41 loss to Ottawa in Week 2 closing as a 4 ½-point road underdog. The Roughriders are 3-1 ATS at home this season and 4-1 ATS in five games closing as favorites. Cody Fajardo is fifth in the CFL in total passing yards (1,871). He has completed a solid 74.2 percent of his 198 passing attempts and he has seven touchdown throws against four interceptions.


Betting Trends


-- Ottawa has a SU 4-1 edge in the last five meetings and it is 5-1 ATS in its last six road games against the Roughriders. The total has gone OVER in the last five meetings played in Saskatchewan."
 
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".. Public is heavy on Ottawa. Sharp action has been buying BC and continues to buy BC at +3.5. The OTT/SAS UNDER down to 48.5 has gotten steady sharp buying."

TheSharpPlays on Twitter
 
choslamshe

choslamshe

EOG Master
Under 49 the play in Ott/Sask. Ottawa wont do shit until they figure out the QB situation and at Sask is not where that happens. Will see a steady rush attack from both teams and Ottawa doesn't blitz with their bend not break D...see a boring, quick game tonight
 
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CFL week 12 of 21 will have only 3 games, so 3 teams will get the week off. These 3 games won't be played till Sunday & Monday, September 1 & 2. Here are my early ATS game lines, as posted on another forum:

Winnipeg +3 at Saskatchewan (Sunday, Sept.1, 12 noon PST)

Toronto +9 at Hamilton (Monday, Sept.2, 10 AM PST)

Edmonton +3 at Calgary (Monday, Sept. 2, 1:30 PM PST)
 
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CFL lines are up. SBR has the openers listed as:

Sask -7 +105 vs Wpg +7 -125

Ticats -13.5 +105 vs Tor +13 -125

Calg -2.5 -110 vs Edm +2.5 -110

Pinnacle's lines are:

Sask -6 -110 vs Wpg +6 -104

Ticats -12 -107 vs Tor +12 -107

Other SBR listed books generally have Sask at -6.5 & Hamilton at -12.5.

The Ticat number is surprisingly high & the Sask # even more so. I don't know what the lines-maker was thinking with those 2 & would be surprised if those don't come down more than they have already, perhaps even multiple points.
 
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That's a lucky break for the Rough Riders since they get Winnipeg again without Harris the following game. It seems CFL Grey Cup futures odds have been affected:


Winnipeg Blue Bombers 5/2
Saskatchewan Roughriders 13/4
Hamilton Tiger-Cats 7/2
Edmonton Eskimos 4/1
Calgary Stampeders 7/1
Montreal Alouettes 10/1
Ottawa RedBlacks 40/1
Toronto Argonauts 500/1
British Columbia Lions 500/1

http://www.vegasinsider.com/cfl/odds/futures/
 
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Reportedly Fezzik has a play for this week, putting his 8-1 record & perfect 8-0 full game CFL record on the line with:

"Fezzik | CFL Total - Monday, Sep 2 2019 4:30PM
693 EDM / 694 CAL UNDER 49.5 William Hilltriple-dime bet"

Line has already dropped to 48. It will probably go lower still.

These teams played earlier this season, in week 8, also in Calgary, with the final score being 24-18 in a Stampeders victory.
 
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"Winnipeg @ SASKATCHEWAN
SASKATCHEWAN -5 -109 over Winnipeg

...

Posted at 11:15 AM EST

3:00 PM EST. You can always count on three things, death, taxes and Labour Day Sunday in Regina. Often, you can throw out the records when the Roughriders and Blue Bombers play on the first Sunday of September, but this year Mosiac Stadium should be rocking, as these prairie neighbors sit first and second in the West Division. The Riders are a surprising 8-3 and have ripped off five wins in a row after a slow start to the season. A big 40-18 win over Ottawa certainly made a statement, as did their 24-19 win over East-leading Hamilton in Week 8. The emergence of quarterback Cody Fajardo has been vital after he was forced into action when Zach Collaros took a dirty hit in Week 1 versus the Tiger-Cats. Saskatchewan just isn't winning, its winning big and covering games too. In any other year, the spotlight would be on these Roughriders, but this team has quietly gone about its business, while Winnipeg has received most of the accolades this season.

Luck may finally be running out on the Blue Bombers, as they'll play this Labour Day Classic without both their quarterback Matt Nichols, who is out with an injury and the newly suspended star runner Andrew Harris. More often than not, we do believe in the "next man up" philosophy, but with Winnipeg, it's hard to make that case. Last week the Bombers were five-point pooches in Edmonton with young Chris Streveler at the helm and although they won outright 34-29, it was a hideous display. Streveler had just 89 passing yards to Trevor Harris's 430. Streveler's longest completion was for only 17 yards and he spent most of the night running. Harris, for his part, added 89 yards and a major, but that reliable production from the league's leading rusher is gone. This annual trip to Regina has been mostly hellish for the Bombers at the best of times, as they've only managed to win once on Labour Day weekend since 2005. Winnipeg might lead the West at 8-2, but trust us when we tell you it's all smoke and mirrors, which is something we have documented all season long. Winnipeg constantly gets outplayed badly and then come out smelling like roses somehow. This is not an 8-2 team, it’s more like a 2-8 team but its great record provides us with this amazing opportunity to spot far less points than we should be. Massive underlay and we’re all over it. "

https://www.sportswagers.ca/cfl/picks.php?pid=23212
 
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"The Alouettes are looking to snap a lengthy stretch of futility against the Lions. BC has won each of the last seven meetings between the clubs, and Montreal has led by more than a single point just once during those seven contests."

"...Friday is going to be Kelly Bates’ first game as the Lions’ offensive line coach. The O-line is facing some scrutiny, as Mike Reilly has been sacked a league-high 43 times, resulting in the dismissal of former coach Bryan Chiu."

"...The Lions are still mathematically able to make the playoffs, although it is a long shot. Every game can now be labelled a “must win,” and the Leos are confident they can take on all comers."

"...Both teams had a bye last week, but neither has won a game this season when coming off a week’s rest."

"0 – Career appearances for Vernon Adams against the BC Lions."

"...Kickoff is at 7:30 p.m. ET and can be seen on TSN, RDS and ESPN+, and followed live via CFL.ca Game Tracker."

https://www.cfl.ca/games/2607/bc-lions-vs-montreal-alouettes/#/preview
 
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X-Files said:
Reportedly Fezzik has a play for this week, putting his 8-1 record & perfect 8-0 full game CFL record on the line with:

"Fezzik | CFL Total - Monday, Sep 2 2019 4:30PM
693 EDM / 694 CAL UNDER 49.5 William Hilltriple-dime bet"

Line has already dropped to 48. It will probably go lower still.

These teams played earlier this season, in week 8, also in Calgary, with the final score being 24-18 in a Stampeders victory.
Click to expand...


Fezzik went to 9-0 on full game CFL bets, 9-1 overall, with another winner there.

He's looking to improve that to a perfect 10-0 with the same two teams under 48 this Saturday, September 7.
 
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X-Files said:
Fezzik went to 9-0 on full game CFL bets, 9-1 overall, with another winner there.

He's looking to improve that to a perfect 10-0 with the same two teams under 48 this Saturday, September 7.
Click to expand...

Fezzik falls to 9-1 on full game picks in CFL this season with the game total going over 48 by 2 points. Tough loss.
 
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Except for an amazing Alouettes comeback to defeat the Blue Bombers, the line movers would have gone 4-0 on the weekend.

Another incredible comeback, this one by the Eskimos, who tied the game in the last minute, fell just short.

Not surprisingly the Lions blew away the RedBlacks. But both teams & Toronto are unlikely to catch Edmonton for the final playoff spot.

"You know what they say: “The most dangerous lead in all of sports is the 24 point lead.”

"Montreal’s incredible come from behind win over Winnipeg came after they’d trailed, 34-10, as the first half sands were all but drained. Edmonton’s comeback against Hamilton came after they’d trailed 24-nothing, also late in the second quarter."

"If Lirim Hajrullahu’s winning field goal attempt had drifted an inch or two more to the left, it would have been a dead ball and then who knows? We were perhaps THAT close to two teams grabbing wins after trailing by 24, in less than 24 hours.

"The B.C. Lions showed how you need to do it, I suppose. When you have that 24 point lead, make sure it’s in the fourth quarter.

"Oh, and then add to it."

https://www.cfl.ca/2019/09/23/landrys-5-takeaways-week-15-2/
 
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3 of the 4 CFL games for week 16 have lines up now. My initial reaction is a lean to:

Winnipeg -4 over Hamilton

Saskatchewan -5 @ Toronto

Montreal +3 -115 @ BC
 
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"Fezzik | CFL Side - Saturday, Sep 28 2019 10:00PM
696 BC -3.5(-110) Pinnacle vs 695 MON triple-dime bet

Analysis: CFL 3 star GAME OF THE MONTH! Note, the oddsmakers did not adjust this line nearly enough for a great situation for BC, AND Mon's big dropoff at QB.


Aok to play this -5.5 for 3 stars.


**This pick is on Canadian Football**

Fezzik | CFL Total - Saturday, Sep 28 2019 7:00PM
693 SAS / 694 TOR UNDER 50.5 Pinnacledouble-dime bet

Analysis: My CFL totals guy LOVES this CFL under this week..... "

http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1144368
 
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X-Files said:
3 of the 4 CFL games for week 16 have lines up now. My initial reaction is a lean to:

Winnipeg -4 over Hamilton

Saskatchewan -5 @ Toronto

Montreal +3 -115 @ BC
Click to expand...

Fezzik goes 0-2 to drop to 9-4 YTD in CFL, while my early leans went 2-1 including the BC game where Fez & I were on opposite sides.
 
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Sherwood's pick for this week:

Toronto +9 over B.C. LIONS

"10:00 PM EST. This line is completely out of whack because the Lions have reeled off three wins in a row and employ the CFL’s most well-known QB while the Argos just got destroyed by Saskatchewan.

B.C.’s three-game winning streak has occurred against Ottawa twice and Montreal once. Montreal’s starting QB, Vernon Adams was suspended for that game and the Lions needed a late TD to overcome a late deficit. B.C. has zero notable wins this year but plenty of blowout losses. This line suggests that they have turned a corner but that’s complete hogwash, as they are as bad right now as they were when they were losing games by four TD’s most of the year.

We know the Argos are garbage too but they are no worse than the Lions. When B.C. played in Toronto early in the year, the Argos lost by a single point but Toronto has improved since then, while the Lions have not. We write a lot about "bad favorites" since it's such an important concept but this one is way over the top and is absolutely a bad line posted by oddsmakers that don’t understand or have a grip on the CFL. We must try and take advantage.

We expect this line to drop to -7 or less by game time and we would still recommend the Argos. For now, grab the 8½-points put em in your pocket and don’t stop to talk to anyone on the way out. The price here is a steal."

https://www.sportswagers.ca/cfl/picks.php?pid=23338
 
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