Fezzik GOY Part II

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pro analyser

EOG Dedicated
As stated spt doesn't open until 8am as of last year on the app. Did the policy change,when does it open? I'll test it to see if Fezz is right, so far he is not.
 
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pro analyser

EOG Dedicated
Heim said:
They graded Fezzik's over on GB a winner. Full game totals are 'no action' if they don't go 55...no?
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Probably an automated system,their rhe usually graded no action,then later changed,probably have to hand grade it,which they will.(yes gb total and game na)
 
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pro analyser

EOG Dedicated
currently 6:40 am,yes latter than 5:55 still can't bet at spt,tried NFL,baseball,preseason,says 000 is what can be bet. I would test Bet Rivers but I live in Nevada.
 
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pro analyser

EOG Dedicated
pro analyser said:
As stated spt doesn't open until 8am as of last year on the app. Did the policy change,when does it open? I'll test it to see if Fezz is right, so far he is not.
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Notice I said the app,does anyone read. How many times before 8 have you drove to south pt to place a bet before the # moves,AFTER your release to subscribers.
 
Heim

Heim

EOG Master
pro analyser said:
We finally agree. So you expect someone to wake up opon your release at 5:30AM,get halfway dressed,drive to south point,go through the casino, and get a # that hasn't moved.
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His releases are for him to get the best number, it's not about clients, thus all the disclaimers on his releases. How many touts have a sliding scale of stars
if the number is this and that? He used to say on Fezzik's Place, real opener is same day early morning after all the hustle and bustle of overnight
wagering is complete. Yet he gives out overnights.

The doughnut and laziness to get down on his number are a deflection. I have no problem with early releases like Lions +3.5 yesterday, it was available for a few days, not
a few hours.
 
Heim

Heim

EOG Master
Geez, if your heavy concentration is small markets, you owe a duty to clients to wait until the vig settles. Shit part of the built in service price is some liquidity.

For example, last season the Alcantara RHE prop was 20 to 30 cents worse/half run worse within the hour.

Or in the alternative don't front run these volatile numbers consequently fucking the clients, if any. 😅
 
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Heim

Heim

EOG Master
Fezzik was killing it. Gaudy records everywhere. You sign up for a season long package all sports. B2B Hilton champ certainly has narrowed in on a side or total for the only NFL game on the board. Phone in hand, waiting to fire. The wait is over:

MLB Home Grand Salami -130 😅
 
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pro analyser

EOG Dedicated
BLAP members are making the effort to bet like a professional – which means more asked from them. As a result, the standard with BLAP is the odds must be available from at least 30% of representative sportsbooks. Guess using, pinn is fair,how many in the US have an account. Would be interested in what you consider a rep sportsbook,knowing in most cases you will have to post up before betting.
 
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texaswizzard

EOG Dedicated
I could be wrong but I'm guessing there have been less than 10 BLAP members in the last 3 years. I haven't seen a BLAP play show up on any message board in probably 5 years. BLAP is like the tout offering of "You get special access to a tout for a whole season of his in game plays and talk to him 24/7 for 100K" No one every really buys that shit.
 
Sportsrmylife

Sportsrmylife

EOG Master
I have to say pro analyzer gives a very strong point about south point sportsbook and having to physically get there at the crack of dawn for that bet

If Steve didn't or isn't able to make that bet it should not be included as part of the 3 books needed.

As a service your first priority is "can my client get this bet"?

Very hard thing to happen but if the answer is no then Steve keeps that bet in his pocket and doesn't release it.

I agree with heim a bit about the juice thing. But this is an easy angle for heim to set up some fezzik bashing since if fezzik will be releasing worse lines (not getting good clv) and heim will jump all over him for it

Basically a win win for heim
Lose lose for fezzik
 
Sportsrmylife

Sportsrmylife

EOG Master
How would heim or pro analyzer advise fezzik to release selections?

And the answer of "don't sell" isn't an option.

If heim or pro analyzer were consultants how would they advise Steve to release games
 
P

pro analyser

EOG Dedicated
Nothing wrong selling plays or playing small markets,the goal is to win money and provide income, which is hard as a pro gambler. Get as many outs as possible,but remember,you got to post up to fund,very few agents with trusting credit exist today. If you live in Vegas,use Vegas books that take a bet on the app, and several offshore books that you can trust with reduced juice. To keep your books from reducing your limits,don't chase steam(fezz plays or ras act as steam upon release)only play at books who don't care and won't reduce limits.(circa,bookmaker,BOL,maybe Ceasars,Fezz should have a list that hasn't limited him. A pro works long hours,but releasing plays at 5 or 6 am is unreleastic for even me, and shouldn't count,unless you keep two records,one for the pro #s and one for customers. While fezz says the release # counts,realistically can ALL customers get the release #. Some will, some won't,that shouldn't happen. My line would be based on what my customers can realistically get,finding out by posts in a dedicated private thread for customers Like 6-5 blackjack,many customers don't care about the #'s,only action,allowing fezz and others to increase their record by using #s he and a select few can only get.
 
Sportsrmylife

Sportsrmylife

EOG Master
Steve's nflx goy cashes

8/21/23 Monday (8/18/23 7:29am) Wash +2 [29-28] NFLX 3 W 3

YTD +22.65u

Units piling up slowing

Big uptick in the last few weeks
 
F

Fezziksports

EOG Enthusiast

ANALYSIS​

Note Draft Kings 2.5
Rivers 2.5
Many books at +2 (Mgm,Will Hill, Spoint)


NOTE: Still a very strong 3* Play on Washington. You can get +2 at Circa and William Hill as I type this, OR aok to use the spread buy on 411/Cris and actually buy this up to +2.5

We typically NEVER buy points, but the point buy ON 411 only is very cheap on/off the 2. We would NEVER do this during regular season, but preseason 1 and 2 are key numbers.
 
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pro analyser

EOG Dedicated
Pick Creation time Friday 7:29/ Circa 1' Spt 2 until 7:33AM:45(changed 4 min later remember app opens at 8:00Am any make it to spt in 4min)Stations 1' Mirage 2 7:33:52 1' got close to 5 min on this one. William Hill had 2 for two days after release and never changed (Many say William Hill on donbest no longer accurate,I called donbest to ask why,they have no answer, since their the only book that didn't change their line for two days odds are that line was inaccurate since the combining of ceasars and whill lines) Still interested in what Vegas books which you won't be limited by playing steam except for Circa and Ceasars.
 
P

pro analyser

EOG Dedicated
Also out of curiousity on rsw what do you think a half a game is worth in the nfl and college. I would say 55cents in the nfl 75cents in college.
 
Heim

Heim

EOG Master
Sportsrmylife said:
Steve's nflx goy cashes

8/21/23 Monday (8/18/23 7:29am) Wash +2 [29-28] NFLX 3 W 3

YTD +22.65u

Units piling up slowing

Big uptick in the last few weeks
Click to expand...


This was really his preseason GOY? Fading a team that has won 24 NFLX in a row!?

I don't care if the QB rotation favored WASH, Balt wants to win these games, fade someone who doesn't give a shit like the Rams.

Nonetheless, a winner, and without hype like other touts. 😅😂
 
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Fezziksports

EOG Enthusiast
For a 8.5 win NFL team, on average, a 1/2 win is worth 43 cents.

For a 6 win CFB team, on average, a 1/2 win is worth about 57 cents.

The 1/2 are worth more for totals that are very low or high in both cases.
 
Sportsrmylife

Sportsrmylife

EOG Master
Heim said:
This was really his preseason GOY? Fading a team that has won 24 NFLX in a row!?

I don't care if the QB rotation favored WASH, Balt wants to win these games, fade someone who doesn't give a shit like the Rams.

Nonetheless, a winner, and without hype like other touts. 😅😂
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That's what makes this goy so special
Market agreed
Line moved in fezz favor

Sharp info to fight a 24 gm win streak and to be right

Props when props are deserved
 
Heim

Heim

EOG Master
It really sucks when you go tout. You release not to lose. You can't bring yourself to lay -4.5 with a Sky team at home, you make clients lay -175.
 
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texaswizzard

EOG Dedicated
Selling picks at Pregame is the equivalent of dining at Jack In The Box! I wouldn't be proud of selling picks at a site where the owner is a full fledged egotistical scumbag!
 
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texaswizzard

EOG Dedicated
Only losers lay ML -300 or more on a preseason NFL game. Yep you do ONLY sell your picks at pregame and you're a clown capper. The only selection worse than that was your 30-1 or 40-1 ML or larger play in the March Madness that eat shit.
 
Heim

Heim

EOG Master
I would have loved to be a fly on the wall in Fezzik's man cave when Purdy and Darnold were done and 49er 3rd stringer
Allen was left to mop up down 8.
 
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