DrunkenGoon
EOG Dedicated
This is my warmup run before turning tout...
Gonna post all plays in this tread, only promise I make is that my money will be behind every pick listed at the price posted.
I try to get down early on game day or at opener and the market tends to move, please don't complain if the line posted is no longer available. I am always looking for market overreactions, last minute lineup changes, so there will be some plays right at puck drop as well. If I have time, I will post details with the plays, most times I won't.
You want to discuss hockey, I am here, you want to debate, debate the plays, not my views on politics, beer taste or where I live.
You will notice that I play a lot of chalk. While a lot of people consider that square-ish, I won't apologize for it, if you don't like it feel free to fade me and we'll compare notes at the end of the season. As long as the info/data is good, I will max bet on opening faceoffs, if that makes me a degen, please join the club. I also bet quite a few team totals and 1P totals. This year I plan on expanding into player stats props.
Hopefully I can keep this thread going all season, if I stop posting it won't be for any other reason than life being too busy. I have two kids involved in multiple activities, as many as 10 combined per week so life will get in the way at times.
Rooting interests: I'm a Leaf fan living in Ottawa, personally hate the Sens but can't be too obvious about it as my son's a fan, I am letting him make his own mistakes.
Most seasons I grab some early futures, right now the only bet I have is Sharks to win the west at 10-1. We'll keep that out of the score keeping as the number is off and running.
If anyone brings up the Forsberg for Erat deal, I would like to remind them that Washington did win the Stanley Cup last season while Nashville are still looking for their first, maybe it was addition by subtraction after all
For those that don't know, this is my 25th season betting the NHL, the 9th straight that I do it in the most professional way I know how, there's only been one losing season in that stretch with a couple of ho-hum ones as well. Best one in the book was the year the Kings won the cup as an 8th seed in the west. I track every bet I make and I always tent to take market best prices.
If you're slow catching up on sarcasm, please try to read what I posted twice before coming in with a holier than thou approach.
Let's drop the damn puck already!
#1. Toronto Maple Leafs -210 over Montreal 1 unit
Guess what, Webber was named Habs captain today... Wow, that's really gonna help their defense with some leadership, except he's on the shelf for a few months. The Leafs juggernaut offense will be going at Reilly, Petry, Mete, Juulsen, Alzner, Ouelette Tuesday night. The Leafs shipped Carrick for a late round pick to Dallas today, he would probably crack the Habs top 4 Dmen at this point. This is a significant mismatch and while I never put much weight on preseason action, the speed and size of the Leafs really caused Montreal trouble in the last meeting in Montreal. Big edge in special teams for Leafs, also in the circle with Domi shifting into C from the wing (while missing most of the preseason suspended). Habs are going into a lot of games hoping Price can steal it, I have a hard time seeing that happen in Toronto on opening night.
Good up to -250
Predicted score: 5-1 Leafs
#2. Calgary Flames -120 over Vancouver 1 unit
Good up to -140
Predicted score: 4-2 Flames
#3. San Jose -160 over Anaheim 1 unit
We all know about the sharks off season, EK9EK65, massive signing and trade. That defense is just mind boggling good with two shutdown guys and a pair of 30' a night Norris type guys. There is no reason for sharks PP not to push 30-35% efficiency, that is 1+ goals a night. Ducks had serious injury problems last season leading the league in man games lost to injuries, but it could be even uglier to start this year without Kessler and Perry on top of Eaves, Ritchie and Kolzer. These pacific division matches tent to go the home field advantage's way and I expect no different here. The Ducks were crap out of the gate last season and should have the same type of problems this year. Their significant saving grace is goaltending, I have Gibson top 6 in the league, a lot of his work goes unnoticed, especially to east coast scribes. The Ducks are ok top 4 defensively and will compete but when their 3rd pairing goes out, they are severely outmatched. Unless the sharks self destroy, this should be relatively comfortable.
Good up to -175
Predicted score: 3-1 Sharks
May all your bets be winners
Gonna post all plays in this tread, only promise I make is that my money will be behind every pick listed at the price posted.
I try to get down early on game day or at opener and the market tends to move, please don't complain if the line posted is no longer available. I am always looking for market overreactions, last minute lineup changes, so there will be some plays right at puck drop as well. If I have time, I will post details with the plays, most times I won't.
You want to discuss hockey, I am here, you want to debate, debate the plays, not my views on politics, beer taste or where I live.
You will notice that I play a lot of chalk. While a lot of people consider that square-ish, I won't apologize for it, if you don't like it feel free to fade me and we'll compare notes at the end of the season. As long as the info/data is good, I will max bet on opening faceoffs, if that makes me a degen, please join the club. I also bet quite a few team totals and 1P totals. This year I plan on expanding into player stats props.
Hopefully I can keep this thread going all season, if I stop posting it won't be for any other reason than life being too busy. I have two kids involved in multiple activities, as many as 10 combined per week so life will get in the way at times.
Rooting interests: I'm a Leaf fan living in Ottawa, personally hate the Sens but can't be too obvious about it as my son's a fan, I am letting him make his own mistakes.
Most seasons I grab some early futures, right now the only bet I have is Sharks to win the west at 10-1. We'll keep that out of the score keeping as the number is off and running.
If anyone brings up the Forsberg for Erat deal, I would like to remind them that Washington did win the Stanley Cup last season while Nashville are still looking for their first, maybe it was addition by subtraction after all
For those that don't know, this is my 25th season betting the NHL, the 9th straight that I do it in the most professional way I know how, there's only been one losing season in that stretch with a couple of ho-hum ones as well. Best one in the book was the year the Kings won the cup as an 8th seed in the west. I track every bet I make and I always tent to take market best prices.
If you're slow catching up on sarcasm, please try to read what I posted twice before coming in with a holier than thou approach.
Let's drop the damn puck already!
#1. Toronto Maple Leafs -210 over Montreal 1 unit
Guess what, Webber was named Habs captain today... Wow, that's really gonna help their defense with some leadership, except he's on the shelf for a few months. The Leafs juggernaut offense will be going at Reilly, Petry, Mete, Juulsen, Alzner, Ouelette Tuesday night. The Leafs shipped Carrick for a late round pick to Dallas today, he would probably crack the Habs top 4 Dmen at this point. This is a significant mismatch and while I never put much weight on preseason action, the speed and size of the Leafs really caused Montreal trouble in the last meeting in Montreal. Big edge in special teams for Leafs, also in the circle with Domi shifting into C from the wing (while missing most of the preseason suspended). Habs are going into a lot of games hoping Price can steal it, I have a hard time seeing that happen in Toronto on opening night.
Good up to -250
Predicted score: 5-1 Leafs
#2. Calgary Flames -120 over Vancouver 1 unit
Good up to -140
Predicted score: 4-2 Flames
#3. San Jose -160 over Anaheim 1 unit
We all know about the sharks off season, EK9EK65, massive signing and trade. That defense is just mind boggling good with two shutdown guys and a pair of 30' a night Norris type guys. There is no reason for sharks PP not to push 30-35% efficiency, that is 1+ goals a night. Ducks had serious injury problems last season leading the league in man games lost to injuries, but it could be even uglier to start this year without Kessler and Perry on top of Eaves, Ritchie and Kolzer. These pacific division matches tent to go the home field advantage's way and I expect no different here. The Ducks were crap out of the gate last season and should have the same type of problems this year. Their significant saving grace is goaltending, I have Gibson top 6 in the league, a lot of his work goes unnoticed, especially to east coast scribes. The Ducks are ok top 4 defensively and will compete but when their 3rd pairing goes out, they are severely outmatched. Unless the sharks self destroy, this should be relatively comfortable.
Good up to -175
Predicted score: 3-1 Sharks
May all your bets be winners