NFL Postseason Probabilities

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
#3
X-Files went 3-for-3 with his predictions on the Bengals, Dolphins and Cardinals NOT making the playoffs.

All three teams are now eliminated from the postseason after Week 13 action in the NFL.
 
#4
X-Files went 3-for-3 with his predictions on the Bengals, Dolphins and Cardinals NOT making the playoffs.

All three teams are now eliminated from the postseason after Week 13 action in the NFL.
Man those were going way out on a limb. What was the no price on the Dolphins, -800?
 
#5
Man those were going way out on a limb. What was the no price on the Dolphins, -800?
Free money is free money. Why refuse it. LOL.

If i recall the line near closing time was higher than -10,000 at Pinnacle.

6537 Miami Dolphins, to make the playoffs? No! -1250, @ Betonline here:

https://www.betonline.ag/sportsbook/futures-and-props/nfl-playoff-specials

This is a great value bet. The line is -2542 at Pinnacle with the yes being +1210 there. Should IMO be more like -5000.

BTW Pinnacle has the Miami season win total at under 4.5 -126. Miami is also the favorite to have the worst NFL record of all teams.
http://forums.eog.com/index.php?threads/eogs-best-bet-thread-for-tuesday-september-3.7463671/


6501 Arizona Cardinals, to make the playoffs? No! -650, @ Betonline

Comment/reason why: Pinnacle has the "no" bet as -927 & "yes" at +636. Arizona's odds to win their division are +2795 & to win the super bowl +13295. The odds put Arizona in contention with Miami to be the team with the worst NFL record this season. Their season win total is listed as over/under 5.
6513 Bengals to make playoffs? No! -650 @ Betonline
Pinnacle has the "yes" @ +838, "no" -1368.

X-Files 0-0 0.00 UNITS (Miami Dolphins -1250, Arizona Cardinals -650 and Cincinnati Bengals -650 to NOT make the NFL postseason)
http://forums.eog.com/index.php?threads/eogs-best-bet-thread-for-monday-september-9.7463738/

X-Files 3-0, +3.00 units, 100% winners ;

Just win, baby!
 
#6
An intriguing long shot is Tenn.
Did you make a bet, Fair?

Titans:

+5000 to win Super Bowl (Betonline)
+300 to win division (Betonline)
+118 to make playoffs, yes, -143, no, (888Sport)

Yet the OP link says only 28% chance to make the postseason, which would imply, if correct, that the -143 above a great bet.

They close the regular season with games vs the Raiders, Saints & Texans (twice).
 

FairWarning

Bells Beer Connoisseur
#7
Did you make a bet, Fair?

Titans:

+5000 to win Super Bowl (Betonline)
+300 to win division (Betonline)
+118 to make playoffs, yes, -143, no, (888Sport)

Yet the OP link says only 28% chance to make the postseason, which would imply, if correct, that the -143 above a great bet.

They close the regular season with games vs the Raiders, Saints & Texans (twice).
50/1 seems a little light, my friend has a 5 dimes account - i'll see what they have. I would think they would be 75/1.
 
#8
  • Risk: 52.75 - Win: 5802.50
  • STRAIGHT BET
    TNT - Odds to Win AFC Conference
    American Football Conference
    [10116] Tennessee Titans +11000
    Game start 12/03/2019 01:08 PM
 

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
#9
Ryan Tannehill now 5-1 as Tennessee's starting quarterback.

Tennessee beat Indy and Jacksonville by a combined 36 points over the past two weeks.
 
Top