Vegas.....here I come!

Just left Sporty after dining at The Stratosphere, a hotel-casino rebranding to "The Strat" this summer.

Sporty is a good guy and a smart guy.

Bill O'Brien, Ron Boyles and David Dineen also dined with us.

For those who have yet to meet Sporty, he's level-headed and forward-thinking.

Every word from his mouth is measured.

If he gambles like he talks, he has a chance to survive in Las Vegas without a 9-to-5 job.

I think he can win money with his skills and opinions.
Would have enjoyed being at that table.....
 
Tues March 26
Uwgb over 86 1h. Lands 86. Wynn had 85.5 for a bit this afternoon

Wichita st under 64.5 1h. Lands 65. Cgt had 65.

Magic heat under 205. Magic miss 2 fts with 5 sec left. Then final 3 goes in after the buzzer.

Finding the best number is more important than being on the correct side. The same way of calling raises with pocket pairs looking to set mine with the expected return of at least 10x what the raise is. Calling a 3bet of 40 when the raiser only has 300 behind is a losing play. Calling that 40 when 500 is behind...better situation.

Sports betting note. The pelicans without holiday are 1-7 ats going into tonight. The hawks are a team with an awful record who give a shyt and are playing hard.

Portland loss of their big man is going to have a huge effect based on plus minus numbers. The back ups are very poor.

Plus minus numbers in the NBA is where you can find gold. Bench guys getting extra time on the court is something to track for hidden gems.

Mlb starts soon. I'm be tracking runs in 1st inning and first 5 wins losses and totals based on starters and umpires. Hope to find situations. There are plenty of slow starters in the mlb to get some early wins off of.
 
Wed March 27

Yesterday concluded my fifth week in Vegas. I got my dick kicked in on the poker tables and did well sports betting.

Overall +736.40
Since the move +4,227.60

I had a very good day betting yesterday even with the near misses I posted earlier which is my fault for lazy betting and not hunting for those half point numbers. I went to the rhumbar at the mirage which is an outdoor bar with nice couches and TVs. I watched the Lakers wizards second half while enjoying a cigar and beers. Very much enjoyed this experience. Relaxing. I'll do this again soon.

Something I find interesting is I never see any famous touts around town. Never seen anyone yet. I figured I would have ran into at least one.

At the Wynn a poker player is a dealer there. A big time former player who had plenty of ESPN time back in the day. I believe he ran into some money and drug issues from what I recall from his story. He would be the exact profile of a poker player based on railbird's description of what scum is. He was a good dealer. Quick and kept the game moving.

At will hill for bets over 500 you need to use a card. Not going to climb into that blackhole. Those numbers are too good at times. I actually dont use a card anywhere anymore. Ghost betting is better betting.

Michael buble is in town Saturday. He might be my first show as I enjoy that style of music. I'll consider it a treat as long as things go well the next few days. I could drop 150-200 for him.

Question for horse bettors. If they put in the work toward sports as they do toward horses how successful would they be? These guys are grinders.

I'm targeting the prime rib, crab legs, and shrimp buffet at treasure island for Saturday. I'll get my fill of $35 worth of prime rib and shrimp. Might not make it back to the table and just jam shrimp right at the window. Love shrimp like Vegas Dave loves a big moneyline favorite.
 
At the Wynn a poker player is a dealer there. A big time former player who had plenty of ESPN time back in the day. I believe he ran into some money and drug issues from what I recall from his story. He would be the exact profile of a poker player based on railbird's description of what scum is. He was a good dealer. Quick and kept the game moving.
Layne Flack?
 
April 10 wed update.

You zig....Vegas Zags back twice as hard. Ugh for the last 10 days. Bad capping along with betting a bit bigger than I should be in the final four have hurt.

Under 119.5 for the first 5 minutes of the national championship game looked like the nuts. Then both teams turned into the golden st warriors and started knocking down jumpers with a hand in the face deep into the shot clock. 62.5 possessions yet Virginia finishes with an off rating of 118 vs the Texas tech defense.

Baseball is also in that range of dead bets.

My betting cocaine is will a run be scored in the first inning. Love these bets. 10 minute bets. Never out of it or feel great til the last pitch. What a ride.

I wrote before about how the Wynn has the rolls Royce of wait staff.....westgate is the beat up 1978 Ford pick up with the different colored box. Jesus.. these ladies started serving drinks during the 1919 Sox betting scandal.

The philly cheese stake and fries at the westgate food court is very solid. Angus burger is a close second.

Saw the wagertalk crew at the westgate for the championship game. Kelly, is a tiny girl. 5'2" tops. Marco, VR, Ralph from cal sports, teddy no covers, Johnny Detroit were the ones I recognized. They had 2 nice booths toward the back of the sportsbook.

Other than that the days are always the same. Get up, cap, go to the 5 star sportsbook corner for numbers. hope to turn a black day. Rinse and repeat.

Masters bet. Took matsuyama at 30/1.
Patrick Reed to miss the cut. +250
Matsuyama finish top 10 yes +175

Just looking for a couple black days to know what that feels like again. Lol.

Vegas is a ruthless bitch.
 
Keep the faith, sports. It’s a marathon. How’s poker? Have you played any plo at the aria yet?
The poker has been small wins. Have even stayed off the tables after a few sports disasters.

I'll get on the poker tables more as we get closer to wsop events. Might sit 10-14 hours at the cash games during that time.
 
MLB observation

Are f5 totals on the national league games miss priced?

If the starting pitchers are pitching well both will make 2 plate appearances. That's 4 outs. So a 30 out bet is actually a 26 out bet.

I see that as a huge edge. Playing the under given a good pitching matchup looks like a very good bet.

I'm going to dig into the early season and see how this has developed.

Info will be posted soon.
 
Not much there. I only looked at f5 totals of 4.5 or better with 2 national league teams.

17 overs. 20 unders. Milwaukee and Colorado home games account for 8 of those unders.

Taking out milw and Colorado home games the record goes to 9 overs. 17 unders. Unders hitting at 65.38%.

Something to track going forward.
 
Good luck, Sports.

Gaming can be small margins. Even if u identify an edge, said edge can be fleeting.

Would be interested in talking more about your take on the poker scene. Some rooms have to be better. I know some players stay on the move + move between various rooms.
 
Better over the last 5 days. Had to cut my play amounts in half due to a bad run along with some bad bad capping.

I have played poker in a week. Using the time to get some good sleep at night and focusing 100% on sports.

I've bet hockey for the first time in my life.

Twitter has this Mr poison who is the greatest fade I've ever seen. Fading him puts you near 80% win rate with many plays being plus money. Search "thesharpplays" on Twitter. He posts mr poison's action usually a few minutes for games go off.

Things are very good. Very happy with my move even with the downswing of the roll over the last two weeks. Just have to stay in action and take small wins daily.

Baseball at 10am is one of the greatest things around. Action all day. Amen.
 
Nice update sports, keep the marathon going.

Mr Poison not sustainable you obv know that. The greatest lifetime message board fades are betthemdogs, okie and jets over at bt. Their opinions are consistently so poor and square it’s basically a monthly annuity.
 
Better over the last 5 days. Had to cut my play amounts in half due to a bad run along with some bad bad capping.
to me this is key...dont kid yourself about it being bad luck etc....the handicapping was bad and admit it....I have a long resume of sports bets like that....in racing people convince themselves they lost because of a bad ride or fixed races etc when it was simply poor handicapping
 
to me this is key...dont kid yourself about it being bad luck etc....the handicapping was bad and admit it....I have a long resume of sports bets like that....in racing people convince themselves they lost because of a bad ride or fixed races etc when it was simply poor handicapping
I reevaluate my wins too. I win a lucky bet and sat "dont fkn do that again" . Also with losses. Afterward I ask why did I make that bet and would I again. If I like the play I move on quietly.
 
Nice update sports, keep the marathon going.

Mr Poison not sustainable you obv know that. The greatest lifetime message board fades are betthemdogs, okie and jets over at bt. Their opinions are consistently so poor and square it’s basically a monthly annuity.
I've learned to not bet against a streak. Yes it shouldn't continue based on law of averages.

10 reds on roulette....could go to 20.

Here are Mr poison's numbers.

Yesterday Mr. P was 1-4 & -$237K.
Updated records...

Current Streak: 0-1 (Fade = 100%)

Current Run: 5-26 (Fade = 84%)
Last 10 Tickets: 1-9 (Fade = 90%)
Last 50 Tickets: 10-40 (Fade = 80%)
All of 2019: 27% (Fade = 73%)

I'll ride the train.
 
Fml story.

Thurs. I place a 3 tm f5 moneyline parlay with kc +170 balt +200 reds +147

Win all 3. Cash out +950

Go bet Friday morning. No issues.

Go bet Friday afternoon. My account is locked. My parlay was reduced to a 2 team parlay since the pitcher they listed for tb was chirinos instead of wood. I have no idea when chirinos was listed as I had wood from the overnight listing.

Had to pay back $667 as that +200 dog boosted the price quite well.

A slight kick in the ball sack.

Watch your listed pitchers in case the sportsbook fuk up.

Lesson learned.
 
You had to pay it back? WTF?

They fucked up and paid it out. That's on them. Ive never heard of such a thing.

I would have said fuck you. You have no obligation to pay that back.
 
Fml story.

Thurs. I place a 3 tm f5 moneyline parlay with kc +170 balt +200 reds +147

Win all 3. Cash out +950

Go bet Friday morning. No issues.

Go bet Friday afternoon. My account is locked. My parlay was reduced to a 2 team parlay since the pitcher they listed for tb was chirinos instead of wood. I have no idea when chirinos was listed as I had wood from the overnight listing.

Had to pay back $667 as that +200 dog boosted the price quite well.

A slight kick in the ball sack.

Watch your listed pitchers in case the sportsbook fuk up.

Lesson learned.

FFS don’t use your players card when betting at the window
 
Fml story.

Thurs. I place a 3 tm f5 moneyline parlay with kc +170 balt +200 reds +147

Win all 3. Cash out +950

Go bet Friday morning. No issues.

Go bet Friday afternoon. My account is locked. My parlay was reduced to a 2 team parlay since the pitcher they listed for tb was chirinos instead of wood. I have no idea when chirinos was listed as I had wood from the overnight listing.

Had to pay back $667 as that +200 dog boosted the price quite well.

A slight kick in the ball sack.

Watch your listed pitchers in case the sportsbook fuk up.

Lesson learned.
You're right. Listing pitchers is another hurdle for MLB. I had many Dog winners in MLB...only to check later + see that my pitcher had been scratched for No Action.

Salud if u can hit those Moneyline Dog parlays w/ any regularity. The payout price multiplies thru so quickly.
 

jimmythegreek

The opening odds start here
You're right. Listing pitchers is another hurdle for MLB. I had many Dog winners in MLB...only to check later + see that my pitcher had been scratched for No Action.

Salud if u can hit those Moneyline Dog parlays w/ any regularity. The payout price multiplies thru so quickly.
I have to say more times than not the scratches do not work in my favor. Most of the time books don't give much time for an adjusted line as most of these take place within an hours' window of first pitch.
 
Hey Sports two things.
1. Congrats on the move and it seems you are happy! Huge kudos.
2. I am sorry I never checked this thread out before tonight. You can use my number same as always during football season.

Here is my advice as a poker player who plays too much and also backs even more he shouldn't. If you are playing small NO limit games (I believe you are from the amounts listed I could easily be wrong) target games and rooms not listed on bravo.
MGM, palm's, Caesars and even stratosphere all have 1-2 games also red rock and south point have terrible regulars.
If you are playing limit mix or hold em stay away from Orleans and go to aria for the mix and Venetian LHE 4/8 or 6/12 when it runs and if you are a local find a way to Bellagio (don't pay for parking it'll kill your hourly) during the late nights or early mornings and find the tourists playing the 10/20 or 20/40 you'll usually be the only player sober or that cares at those times.

Wsop I can give specific advice once you tell me cash games, times etc you plan on playing. Feel free to dm on Twitter walls_edward if you have any questions that you think I can help with.
Goodluck, Eddie
 
1994- 5 cent baseball at barbary coast, I was only ticket scalper in town, 300 was a terrible night. rooms were 9 dollars at the continental hotel with water bed. could get a full court basketball 3 am at sporting house with art shlicter, danny tark, and sometimes Tyson.
 
Hey Sports two things.
1. Congrats on the move and it seems you are happy! Huge kudos.
2. I am sorry I never checked this thread out before tonight. You can use my number same as always during football season.

Here is my advice as a poker player who plays too much and also backs even more he shouldn't. If you are playing small NO limit games (I believe you are from the amounts listed I could easily be wrong) target games and rooms not listed on bravo.
MGM, palm's, Caesars and even stratosphere all have 1-2 games also red rock and south point have terrible regulars.
If you are playing limit mix or hold em stay away from Orleans and go to aria for the mix and Venetian LHE 4/8 or 6/12 when it runs and if you are a local find a way to Bellagio (don't pay for parking it'll kill your hourly) during the late nights or early mornings and find the tourists playing the 10/20 or 20/40 you'll usually be the only player sober or that cares at those times.

Wsop I can give specific advice once you tell me cash games, times etc you plan on playing. Feel free to dm on Twitter walls_edward if you have any questions that you think I can help with.
Goodluck, Eddie
Yes 1/2 and 1/3 nl is my game. My normal rooms are Caesars and Wynn. I normally buy in for 200 with another 100 behind depending how the table is playing. I've noticed the nicer the room the bigger the fish. Have only played aria once and belligio twice.

Just a nl guy.
 
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