Where can I find a ComptrBob-like Westgate SuperContest update?

bishqqq

EOG Addicted
#1
The Westgate contest page lacks the data I'm looking for.........thnx for any help.......bish
 
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#2
I think what you're looking for is fantasysupercontest.com ... and we also have SuperContest threads across the street at forums.viewfromvegas.com (including regular visits from ComptrBob).
 
#3
Last week for the SuperContest.

Here are the leaders' picks. The top 2 both have BUF -3.5 so the 3 tied for 3rd are rooting against BUF (although 8 of Top 13 have BUF).

EOG and VFV poster SQUAREPANTS is in a 3 way tie for 11th place, payday with this finish would be around $64K. I have 3 picks (EOG One on One contest) in common with him, rooting for a big day for SP.

Alias Wins Losses Pushes Points Pick 1 Pick 2 Pick 3 Pick 4 Pick 5
@PIGSKIN_JUNKIES 57 23 0 57.0 CLE BUF TEN DEN SEA
RUSH YYZ 2112 56 24 0 56.0 KC GB BUF MIN LAR

TEAM CLEVELAND 1 53 24 3 54.5 WAS GB CIN DEN LAR
AL THE SLY 2 54 25 1 54.5 KC NE CLE TEN LAR
PERSONAL GOURMET 54 25 1 54.5 DAL KC PHI CLE CHI

SLOTHS REVENGE 52 25 3 53.5 KC WAS GB BUF TEN
FINALLY 2019 53 26 1 53.5 CAR JAX ATL BUF DEN
KAPITAL GAINS 51 25 4 53.0 JAX BAL ATL BUF LAC
TEXASTRIO 52 26 2 53.0 PHI BAL BUF MIN SEA
7_OUT 52 26 2 53.0 KC PHI BAL BUF IND

WEURDONTHESTREET 51 26 3 52.5 CAR CLE BUF IND MIN
NITO ICHI 51 26 3 52.5 NO JAX TB TEN LAC
SQUAREPANTS 51 26 3 52.5 CAR HOU ATL IND DEN
 
#7
SQUAREPANTS goes 3-0-0 in the early games. Now he is tied for fourth place, would pay almost $194k.

Leaders going into afternoon games:

Alias Wins Losses Pushes Points Pick 1 Pick 2 Pick 3 Pick 4 Pick 5 W L T
@PIGSKIN_JUNKIES 58 23 0 58.0 CLE TEN DEN SEA 1 0 0
RUSH YYZ 2112 57 25 0 57.0 KC MIN LAR 1 1 0

FINALLY 2019 56 27 1 56.5 DEN 3 1 0

AL THE SLY 2 55 25 1 55.5 KC CLE TEN LAR 1 0 0
PERSONAL GOURMET 55 25 1 55.5 KC PHI CLE CHI 1 0 0
SQUAREPANTS 54 26 3 55.5 IND DEN 3 0 0

KAPITAL GAINS 53 26 4 55.0 BAL LAC 2 1 0

TEAM CLEVELAND 1 53 25 3 54.5 WAS CIN DEN LAR 0 1 0
SLOTHS REVENGE 53 26 3 54.5 KC WAS TEN 1 1 0
WEURDONTHESTREET 53 26 3 54.5 CLE IND MIN 2 0 0
IA FAB FIVE 53 28 3 54.5 SEA 3 1 0

TEXASTRIO 53 26 2 54.0 PHI BAL MIN SEA 1 0 0
7_OUT 53 26 2 54.0 KC PHI BAL IND 1 0 0
811 52 27 4 54.0 KC PHI 2 1 0
THANKYA 32 53 28 2 54.0 PHI SEA 3 0 0
LIGHTNING 1 54 30 0 54.0 SEA 3 1 0

HUMAN WOLVES 52 27 3 53.5 PHI MIN SEA 2 0 0
FUSS BOYS 51 27 5 53.5 KC IND 3 0 0
 
#11
SquarePants lost DEN, game may have cost him $100k or so.

Leaders going into SNF:

Alias Wins Losses Pushes Points Pick W L T
PERSONAL GOURMET 59 25 1 59.5 5 0 0
@PIGSKIN_JUNKIES 59 25 0 59.0 TEN 2 2 0
RUSH YYZ 2112 59 26 0 59.0 3 2 0

AL THE SLY 2 58 25 1 58.5 TEN 4 0 0

TEAM CLEVELAND 1 55 27 3 56.5 2 3 0
FINALLY 2019 56 28 1 56.5 3 2 0
7_OUT 55 27 2 56.0 IND 3 1 0
811 54 27 4 56.0 4 1 0
KAPITAL GAINS 54 27 4 56.0 3 2 0

SLOTHS REVENGE 54 27 3 55.5 TEN 2 2 0
SQUAREPANTS 54 27 3 55.5 IND 3 1 0
WEURDONTHESTREET 54 27 3 55.5 IND 3 1 0
DA BRONX BOMBER 55 29 1 55.5 5 0 0

4 PROMATHLETICS.COM 54 28 2 55.0 TEN 3 1 0
HOGS N DOGS 54 29 2 55.0 4 1 0
PETYR BAELISH 54 29 2 55.0 4 1 0
TEXASTRIO 54 29 2 55.0 2 3 0
THANKYA 32 54 29 2 55.0 4 1 0
 
#12
Ten entrants tied for the mini-contest prize , 3 week record of 14-1-0:

DA BRONX BOMBER
DON PERFECTO
FLEET STREET LLC
GAMBLEBF
INSERTCLEVERNAMEHERE
JAMESJOHN
PROFESSOR PHILLY
TD TONY
TINO 77
ZAV
 
#13
Unofficial final standings and payouts:

Alias Wins Losses Pushes Points W L T Prize Money
PERSONAL GOURMET 59 25 1 59.5 5 0 0 $1,422,214.20

@PIGSKIN_JUNKIES 59 26 0 59.0 2 3 0 $409,425.30
RUSH YYZ 2112 59 26 0 59.0 3 2 0 $409,425.30

AL THE SLY 2 58 26 1 58.5 4 1 0 $215,487.00

7_OUT 56 27 2 57.0 4 1 0 $193,938.30

SQUAREPANTS 55 27 3 56.5 4 1 0 $147,608.60
TEAM CLEVELAND 1 55 27 3 56.5 2 3 0 $147,608.60
WEURDONTHESTREET 55 27 3 56.5 4 1 0 $147,608.60
FINALLY 2019 56 28 1 56.5 3 2 0 $147,608.60

811 54 27 4 56.0 4 1 0 $75,420.45
KAPITAL GAINS 54 27 4 56.0 3 2 0 $75,420.45

FUSS BOYS 53 27 5 55.5 5 0 0 $53,871.75
DURBIFY 54 28 3 55.5 5 0 0 $53,871.75
SLOTHS REVENGE 54 28 3 55.5 2 3 0 $53,871.75
DA BRONX BOMBER 55 29 1 55.5 5 0 0 $53,871.75

4 PROMATHLETICS.COM 54 29 2 55.0 3 2 0 $28,875.26
ABC808 54 29 2 55.0 5 0 0 $28,875.26
EUGENE 54 29 2 55.0 3 2 0 $28,875.26
HOGS N DOGS 54 29 2 55.0 4 1 0 $28,875.26
HULK SMASH 54 29 2 55.0 5 0 0 $28,875.26
PETYR BAELISH 54 29 2 55.0 4 1 0 $28,875.26
PINKY&THEBRAIN88 54 29 2 55.0 4 1 0 $28,875.26
TD TONY 54 29 2 55.0 5 0 0 $28,875.26
TEXASTRIO 54 29 2 55.0 2 3 0 $28,875.26
THANKYA 32 54 29 2 55.0 4 1 0 $28,875.26

FLIPACOIN 52 28 5 54.5 4 1 0 $14,844.66
IT'SSAULGOODMAN 52 28 5 54.5 4 1 0 $14,844.66
C SQUARED 53 29 3 54.5 3 2 0 $14,844.66
HANDICAPPER911.COM 53 29 3 54.5 3 2 0 $14,844.66
HUMAN WOLVES 53 29 3 54.5 3 2 0 $14,844.66
IA FAB FIVE 53 29 3 54.5 3 2 0 $14,844.66
5NICEPIX 54 30 1 54.5 3 2 0 $14,844.66
DANNY POLO 54 30 1 54.5 3 2 0 $14,844.66
UR WHO UR 54 30 1 54.5 5 0 0 $14,844.66

JOSHALLENEXPERIENCE 52 29 4 54.0 4 1 0 $6,875.06
SAUL GOODMAN 52 29 4 54.0 4 1 0 $6,875.06
THE STABLE 52 29 4 54.0 4 1 0 $6,875.06
#BEALE FTW 53 30 2 54.0 2 3 0 $6,875.06
4 GUYS N A ANTEATER 53 30 2 54.0 4 1 0 $6,875.06
CMOP 53 30 2 54.0 3 2 0 $6,875.06
FATDADDYCOOL 53 30 2 54.0 5 0 0 $6,875.06
FORGEDFROMSTEEL42 53 30 2 54.0 5 0 0 $6,875.06
GOAT12 53 30 2 54.0 4 1 0 $6,875.06
GROSSLY INFLATED 53 30 2 54.0 3 2 0 $6,875.06
JACK BURTON 53 30 2 54.0 3 2 0 $6,875.06
LOTFM 53 30 2 54.0 4 1 0 $6,875.06
MACSPORTS 53 30 2 54.0 2 3 0 $6,875.06
PHASE4PROFIT 53 30 2 54.0 3 2 0 $6,875.06
PUDDIN PALS 53 30 2 54.0 2 3 0 $6,875.06
THE ITALIAN STALLION 53 30 2 54.0 3 2 0 $6,875.06
THUNDERHAWKS 53 30 2 54.0 5 0 0 $6,875.06
WILLYTECH 53 30 2 54.0 4 1 0 $6,875.06
GEDGOUDASMILLER.COM 54 31 0 54.0 4 1 0 $6,875.06
LIGHTNING 1 54 31 0 54.0 3 2 0 $6,875.06
THE BEARDED ONE 54 31 0 54.0 4 1 0 $6,875.06

MARTY O AND UNCLE C 51 29 5 53.5 4 1 0 $3,800.41
7 SHOTS 52 30 3 53.5 4 1 0 $3,800.41
JUST A DREAM 52 30 3 53.5 4 1 0 $3,800.41
MAGNUM3 52 30 3 53.5 2 3 0 $3,800.41
NITO ICHI 52 30 3 53.5 1 4 0 $3,800.41
NOBLEMAN 52 30 3 53.5 4 1 0 $3,800.41
SHGP 52 30 3 53.5 5 0 0 $3,800.41
SNOOPYANDPRICKLYPETE 52 30 3 53.5 4 1 0 $3,800.41
SWAGGYDMC&RICHMITCH 52 30 3 53.5 4 1 0 $3,800.41
THE TRUTH 52 30 3 53.5 3 2 0 $3,800.41
THERESA GUACAMOLE 52 30 3 53.5 5 0 0 $3,800.41
TINO 77 52 30 3 53.5 5 0 0 $3,800.41
@SMARTERPICKS 53 31 1 53.5 3 2 0 $3,800.41
BET CHICAGO FRANK 53 31 1 53.5 4 1 0 $3,800.41
GOOD TALK RUSS 111 53 31 1 53.5 4 1 0 $3,800.41
JAZ 53 31 1 53.5 3 2 0 $3,800.41
KEEPPOUNDING 53 31 1 53.5 4 1 0 $3,800.41
KYLE TRUEHITT 53 31 1 53.5 2 3 0 $3,800.41
MNHOMEBOYS 53 31 1 53.5 3 2 0 $3,800.41
MR. DO 53 31 1 53.5 5 0 0 $3,800.41
NATTILYCLADBELICHECK 53 31 1 53.5 4 1 0 $3,800.41
VSiN 1 53 31 1 53.5 3 2 0 $3,800.41

CALABASAS WISE GUY 51 30 4 53.0 3 2 0 $2,267.30
MICKS PICKS 51 30 4 53.0 4 1 0 $2,267.30
RUGGED KAYMAN 51 30 4 53.0 3 2 0 $2,267.30
BENTLEY BOY 52 31 2 53.0 5 0 0 $2,267.30
BIG LEBOWSKI 52 31 2 53.0 4 1 0 $2,267.30
GAMBLEBF 52 31 2 53.0 5 0 0 $2,267.30
GRAHAMDIVITO1 52 31 2 53.0 4 1 0 $2,267.30
JACKIE JONES 52 31 2 53.0 4 1 0 $2,267.30
JAREDMARR 52 31 2 53.0 3 2 0 $2,267.30
JUST THE TWO OF US 52 31 2 53.0 2 3 0 $2,267.30
JWADD 52 31 2 53.0 4 1 0 $2,267.30
LITTLE RED FOURNETTE 52 31 2 53.0 4 1 0 $2,267.30
LOOKINGUPFROMBELOW 52 31 2 53.0 3 2 0 $2,267.30
MANCHESTER MONEYLINE 52 31 2 53.0 5 0 0 $2,267.30
MONTY C 52 31 2 53.0 3 2 0 $2,267.30
MR503 52 31 2 53.0 3 2 0 $2,267.30
OOPS... I WON 52 31 2 53.0 4 1 0 $2,267.30
PHILLY SPECIALS 52 31 2 53.0 4 1 0 $2,267.30
PURPLE DRANK 52 31 2 53.0 3 2 0 $2,267.30
RICK D 52 31 2 53.0 2 3 0 $2,267.30
ROUGHRIDER 39 52 31 2 53.0 3 2 0 $2,267.30
SEASON OF SAM 52 31 2 53.0 3 2 0 $2,267.30
XRAYMD 53 32 0 53.0 2 3 0 $2,267.30
 
#14
Thanks for the encouraging words, guys.

Certainly didn't hurt to be rooting for some of the same sides with you, Bob. And, yeah, I underestimated just how much Denver was a shell of its former self due to injuries. Although, as with many of these games, a play or two here or there -- like the 2-point conversion turnaround -- could have made more of an ATS game of it. And Bosa was finally back -- as in back as an impact player -- today. Getting back in game shape and getting confident with his previously injured foot at just the right time heading into the playoffs. He can be disruptive.

But, yeah, after having a $220K swing on a missed field goal as the difference between 1st and tied for 4th back in the 2004 SuperContest (with a then whopping 411 entries), I -- sort of -- can take a six figure swing on a single side a bit more in stride.

Almost $150K on the T6 SuperContest Classic finish this year still will do nicely, all things considered. And the 56.5 contest points beats my prior high water mark of 52 (twice I believe). That's satisfying after the 17-week marathon that feels like we run it at a 800 meter pace.

Thanks again for the kind words and support.
 

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
#15
It's heartwarming when good things happen to good people.

Squarepants deserves the best of everything.

His hard work was rewarded handsomely.

A six-figure score is a beautiful thing.

Congratulations to the one and only Squarepants.
 

bishqqq

EOG Addicted
#17
nice work, Squarepants................were you able to do any hedging ? ...would like hearing how do pro's hedge when 6 figures are involved......thnx
 
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#19
Thanks guys . . . yeah, I knew that I had "a little bit" riding on that final game.

But, first, I was busy heading into the game quickly setting up a cash hedge, which took me down to the SouthPoint for the first half. That kept me occupied as I was running around.

And then, on my way mostly home (game on the car radio), I wound up watching the second half over at the SuperBook with Dave and a friend of his who was in town, so visiting with them kind of insulated me from obsessing too much about the potential payout swing on that final game.

I didn't have a bunch of cash on hand to do a strictly cash hedge. But I wanted to do at least a small middle in all events. The contest number was at -3, and I was scrambling to get down to the Southpoint to catch a +6 that I saw down there within the last hour before game time. But it had evaporated back to a +5.5 by the time that I got there (yes, I'll be mobile app'd all the way for next season now with the bankroll bump). So I caught the +5.5 there, with no time to get anywhere else and likely no better number anywhere else anyway by that point.

There wasn't enough time -- before I left the house initially -- to bum some more money off a bettor friend and also get to the Southpoint in time, so I basically was able to cobble together only enough on the fly to buy a dime ticket for the middle/hedge. Didn't want to pass that up at least that shot at having the -3/+5.5 on the game. Would have loved the +6 even better of course.

A pro might have done it differently, but that's what I did with the time and money that I had at that point.

Laying the contest -3 on that particular game -- which otherwise was supported by my handicapping -- did allow for that sort of hedge/side-or-possible-middle opportunity if I had a lot riding on that final game. There was a pretty good chance that the line was going to stay above 3 or possibly go higher based on the Mariota situation. It appeared to me more probable than not that he was going to be inactive.

If he instead had tried to go, that may have juked the pre-game line and eliminated the opportunity to do that. But insofar as the underlying pick was concerned, I believed that it was even more probable that if he played he would not have been effective with the ulnar nerve injury ("stinger" was BS) against the surging IND D over the second half of the season. So I would have been OK with the eventuality of Mariota being up even if that would have worked against a side, middle, or possibly even a hedge opportunity if the line went down to 2.5 before the game kicked because Mariota was reported to be up rather than down (all leaving in-game betting to the side, with which I haven't established a direct experience base). With the injury, the TEN QB position was going to be a liability in the game either way, with no disrespect to Gabbert other than handicapping probable outcomes. If he had to play from behind in the fourth quarter against that defense, we most likely were going to see exactly what we did see on SNF. Although all those penalties didn't help him either, over and above his own particular position battle against the IND D.
 
#21
Haven't looked with anything like the above focus at any of those games, John. After 17 weeks on the clock, with that "little bit" on the line at the end, my focus has shifted back to the exercise and nutrition regimen that I got knocked off of from Thanksgiving on. Without health, no other success matters.

Generally, however, the playoffs always remind me of how much of an advantage it is in season to be able to discard from 13 to 16 down to 5 sides. You lose that selectivity when it's down to four games a weekend.

If I were to break down this quartet with full focus, I likely would start with a look at SEA currently at +1.5 to +2. They still may be undervalued by the market. The Week 17 performance v. ARI doesn't mean much to me.

But I have a 30 page draft opinion waiting on my virtual desktop for me in the morning that I was trying to finish before I took leave for the run for the roses, and cardio still to do, so I may not get to that fully focused analysis for the WC round.

It's a fair bet, however, that these wild card games are going to be much better than the CFB semifinals were this year, although that's a pretty low bar.
 
#26
Thanks, guys. I very much appreciate all the kind comments.

Hey, Dave, I did refer to "the run for the roses" in post #21 . . . "completely transparent" the whole way, lol.

Crick (2W2P2S), you guys definitely have a very, very nice dinner waiting next time you're in town. The help that you and Donnie Peszynski (Win More -- Lose Less) provided in the 2011 threads as we looked together at SuperContest strategy on viewfromvegas.com and then "back channel" during the 2012 season (I'll leave it to you to elaborate on that if you want to) has been a material part of my tool box in all those following years.

Our old friend The Dread Pirate Roberts was with me every step of the way this year, especially coming down the stretch, even when I wasn't picking specifically the five most mathematically advantaged plays on the board. Knowing specifically and precisely what "the math" would do at that point -- down to the cent if necessary -- was a constant reference point as I was breaking down the board each week.

And of course it was me that was the dead weight, lol. You math guys made it simple -- and consistent -- even for a liberal arts wordsmith like me.
 
#28
SP, Very nice performance, congrats.

Actually from Week 6 to Week 12 (as well as Weeks 1 and 2, so most of the contest), Squarepants was out of the Top 100. He made a major move in Week 13 from a tie for 107th place up to 42nd place. Little did I suspect that he had a second entry as well as one in the running for the Gold contest. I should have compared picks, dammit as JK would say!
 
#29
Thanks, Papa and Bob.

Yeah, Bob, I kept wondering whether you were going to bust me on Squarepants being Nito Ichi . . . and also There Can Be Only 1, lol.

Nito Ichi comes from Miyamoto Musashi's Niten Ichi-ryu, the samurai discipline that he taught that used two swords. So, along with the Highlander reference over in the Gold, I guess I had this whole sword thing going.
 
#31
Thanks, mon, and congratulations. Free roll for next year.

After sixty years, I've finally figured out how to be a babe magnet -- walk around a casino with one of those oversized winner's checks, lol.
 
#33
Thank you Moog.

Just did my first broadcast radio gig in 53 years (my Dad used to own and run a small radio station in North Louisiana).

Not sure how it came out, but enjoyed being on Brent Musburger's show on VSiN this afternoon.

Reminds me of the line about oral argument that appellate lawyers say -- there's the argument you prepared to give, the argument you gave, and the argument that wish you had given afterwards. But definitely enjoyed doing it.
 
#35
Hey, John, believe this youtube link has the whole discussion, from the length listed, although I haven't gone back and listened yet ("too soon," lol):
 
#37
Alright, go just to the basic youtube.com home page, and copy this into the search window (pardon the larger than life font size):

My Guys in the Desert w/ Brent Musburger, Vinny Magliulo, & Amal Shah (1-08-2019) - George King INT
 
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