Re: Hey Dirty and MO: top 25 getting killed again.
Thanx Cannon. Got this from another site. I did not compile or check these records, but I think they are pretty close. Looks like this is based on AP rankings only. These are not my picks, just info. thought you might be interested.
Unranked HOME DOGS
(2)UCLA (26-3)
Washington (17-12) +3.5
(1)Ohio State (26-3)
Michigan (20-10) +3.5
(22)Notre Dame (22-6)
Rutgers (10-18) +10.5
(6)Memphis (26-3)
Southern Methodist (14-15) +14
Unranked Home Favourites: 24-11
Unranked Home DOGS: 24-20-1
Overall: 61% (48-31-1)<o></o>
Overall Record - 2006-7 Season:
Unranked Home Team vs Ranked Opponent (all records are ATS):
Favourites
As a Favorite: 60% (34-23-1) - 16-4 Last 20 Games 80%<o></o>
As a Favourite of -1 to -3.5: 62% (24-15)
As a Favourite of -4 to -5.5: 53% (10-8)<o></o>
DOGS
As a Dog: 53% (76-65-2)
As a Dog of 0-3.5: 58% (27-19-1)
As a Dog of 4-9.5: 45% (29-33)
As a Dog of 10+: 60% (20-13-1)
<o></o>
Overall: 55% (108-87-3)
munson15 Great info, Bear, I just have one question. Is the larger # of games (34-23-1) on the faves our total, or is the smaller (24-11) sample the one to go by? Thanks.
Munson, that's a good question. As I said, I did not compile these. I will ask. Perhaps the smaller # is home unranked and the larger one is overall (even though it says Home Unranked below it). That would make sense, as the difference is 10-12, which sounds about right for Road Unranked Favs.
What I find interesting is that 4-9.5 Dogs do not do as well. Cannon seems to include them all. Perhaps play these smaller, unless you think they are due.
Also, small home unranked favs do better than those favored by 4 or more, which makes sense too.
Most interesting, is that they have been on fire lately. Maybe the big boys wear down or are coasting. Maybe the bubble teams fight harder. Could be the ranked teams are overrated by now. 2nd time around in conference could help the dog. Some really bad teams might be getting up for their Super Bowl (for lack of a better term).
Anyway, I am not looking a gift horse in the mouth. Btw, I have been playing these for years with pretty good success, albeit mostly just unranked or lower ranked favs. Anyone have #'s from years passed?