MLB Hot Stove 2024
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kane
EOG master
Changed my mind, while I like their lineup and pen, I still have enough questions with their rotation that will keep me off the Over, don't know what I'm getting with Greene and Lodolo, Montas coming off an injury that cost him the season, I like Abbott, but they're missing a hammer, a guy like Wheeler, Burnes, Strider, etc, they'll be a fun team to follow all season and I hope they have a good one, but I'll be pulling for them as a fan rather than an investor
kane
EOG master
I like both of these, the Padres record in one run games was as bad as the Marlins was good, they also had a bad record in extra innings, the Marlins will miss the power Soler gave them, some of that might be made up by a full season from Burger, but just like every year their pitching will carry them, even without Sandy their rotation should be good, I expect a big year from Luzardo and Eury Perez is the real deal, but offensively they should rank near the bottom of the NL, I've heard rumors they have interest in JD Martinez, but given their low payroll every year I doubt he'll sign with them, I have to think eventually another team will offer him more money than Miami, he's from here so maybe he wants to play home and will accept a home town discount, we'll see
Here's a player prop. I haven't seen a stolen base prop for Acuna, but this is an obvious under to me. He was trying to prove a point last year; he could be a 40 HR/70 SB guy. He did it. Stealing bases is rough on the legs (and hands, depending on how one slides). Acuna makes his money by hitting HRs. I would expect a significant drop in his stolen bases.
FairWarning
Bells Beer Connoisseur
I like these two a lot. Played KC over 73.5.
Here's a player prop. I haven't seen a stolen base prop for Acuna, but this is an obvious under to me. He was trying to prove a point last year; he could be a 40 HR/70 SB guy. He did it. Stealing bases is rough on the legs. Acuna makes his money by hitting HRs. I would expect a significant drop in his stolen bases.
kane
EOG master
Just played both of these
kane
EOG master
I haven't pulled the trigger yet, but I like Schildt +1400 to win MOY, kinda correlated with my Padres Over, the award always goes to the manager of a team that exceeds expectations, I don't see guys like Roberts, Snitker, or Thomson winning it, I have the marlins taking a step back so that rules out Schumaker winning again, I also like Councell but the odds aren't good enough, if the Pads can win 90 or so games and make the playoffs, that could bring it home for me
San Diego getting even stronger. ESPN reporting they are finalizing details to acquire Dylan Cease from the White Sox.
kane
EOG master
Devin Williams will miss the first half of the season with a back fracture, backs are tricky so I wouldn't be surprised if it's longer
I don't wish injuries on any player but this will clearly impact Milwaukee. The one strength for the Brewers is (was) their bullpen, with Williams the key piece.
I agree completely re: backs. I'm battling sciatica right now and it is nasty. Being able to rotate freely is so important for MLB players. Back problems usually also go into the leg.
Just listened to the Bet US MLB podcast. Base Winner is knowledgeable and worth a listen. I don't always agree with him but like his insights. The one drawback is the host Kyle is a clown. He always tries to bring the podcast to his recent female conquest (allegedly). If BW likes a play and Kyle is on the other side, the Kyle side is an auto fade.
BW liked the Milwaukee over but that was before this news. I'm clearly against him here. He likes Tampa over and Kyle likes the under so really have to look at the over. And its Tampa, who as an organization, are really good at winning regular season games. Base WInner also believes the White Sox will have the fewest wins of any MLB team. And that was before the Cease trade.
I don't wish injuries on any player but this will clearly impact Milwaukee. The one strength for the Brewers is (was) their bullpen, with Williams the key piece.
I agree completely re: backs. I'm battling sciatica right now and it is nasty. Being able to rotate freely is so important for MLB players. Back problems usually also go into the leg.
Just listened to the Bet US MLB podcast. Base Winner is knowledgeable and worth a listen. I don't always agree with him but like his insights. The one drawback is the host Kyle is a clown. He always tries to bring the podcast to his recent female conquest (allegedly). If BW likes a play and Kyle is on the other side, the Kyle side is an auto fade.
BW liked the Milwaukee over but that was before this news. I'm clearly against him here. He likes Tampa over and Kyle likes the under so really have to look at the over. And its Tampa, who as an organization, are really good at winning regular season games. Base WInner also believes the White Sox will have the fewest wins of any MLB team. And that was before the Cease trade.
kane
EOG master
I've had sciatica, worst pain I've ever dealt with, the kind of pain that can't be described to anyone who's never had it, ended up going to physical therapy twice a week for 12 months, it took about 3 months for the pain to subside, a lot of stretching and core work, sciatica is a motherfucker
kane
EOG master
Jose Quintana was named their opening day starter, yikes!
kane
EOG master
Played the Cardinals to miss the playoffs -110, nothing impresses me about this team, potentially their offense could be pretty good, but Arenado is coming off a down year as is Goldy, not that their numbers were bad, but not close to their career numbers, and their rotation doesn't look strong, Gray, Mikolas, Gibson, Lynn, and Matz doesn't excite me, and Gray injured his hammy, it's not as serious as they though so it looks like they dodged a bullet, but it's an old group, Matz at 32 is the youngest, I think both the Cubs and Reds finish ahead of them in the division, and if I'm right it's hard to see a scenario where three teams form the Central make the postseason
kane
EOG master
Fish are in trouble, now Eury Perez is hurt
kane
EOG master
Played the Marlins to miss the playoffs -350, I typically don't lay this kind of price on anything, but this was a future I was considering before all the injuries to their rotation, pitching was supposed to be what would carry them this year, but without Sandy, and now potentially bad news on Eury Perez, it's going to be tough for them, other than Luzardo, who I think will be really good and a potential dark horse to win the NL CY, and Trevor Rogers, there isn't much else at this point, and they're not an organization that will go out and get a guy, Blake Snell and Jordan Montgomery aren't walking through that door, so they'll go with guys like Ryan Weathers, Devin Smeltzer, and AJ Puk. It's a shame they can't keep their guys healthy, if they were, their rotation would be among the best in the league, but that isn't the case
cheapseats
EOG Master
Dodgers play 2 games overseas that are official league, then return to LA for freeway series then return to league play.
FairWarning
Bells Beer Connoisseur
6 am eastern tomorrow, vs SD.
kane
EOG master
I played Aaron Judge Under 44.5 HR's, I'm not convinced he's 100% healthy, he's been dealing with an abdominal injury all Spring, and the toe he injured last year, while healed, will require "constant maintenance", he's only had 14 AB's in Spring training so hoping he comes out of the gates a little slow to start the season, of course the guy's a beast who could easily surpass his total, but given the injuries he's dealing with, I like my Under position
empirewritesback.com
www.si.com
Latest Aaron Judge Injury News is Concerning for Yankees
New York Yankees fans are dying to know what's going on with Aaron Judge as the 2024 MLB season quickly approaches. Opening Day is just over a week away and the
empirewritesback.com
Yankees Captain Aaron Judge's Toe "Will Require Constant Maintenance"
The Yankee captain may feel the effects of last season's injury for the rest of his career.
www.si.com
I played Aaron Judge Under 44.5 HR's, I'm not convinced he's 100% healthy, he's been dealing with an abdominal injury all Spring, and the toe he injured last year, while healed, will require "constant maintenance", he's only had 14 AB's in Spring training so hoping he comes out of the gates a little slow to start the season, of course the guy's a beast who could easily surpass his total, but given the injuries he's dealing with, I like my Under position
Latest Aaron Judge Injury News is Concerning for Yankees
New York Yankees fans are dying to know what's going on with Aaron Judge as the 2024 MLB season quickly approaches. Opening Day is just over a week away and the
Yankees Captain Aaron Judge's Toe "Will Require Constant Maintenance"
The Yankee captain may feel the effects of last season's injury for the rest of his career.
I got under 43 1/2, but I'm fine with that. Gotta always try to exploit the injured players.
I added Ian Happ Under 129 1/2 hits. Happ has been dealing with a hamstring issue all spring training. While Happ isn't a burner, he's quick enough to normally get some infield hits. I think that will be seriously impacted.
FairWarning
Bells Beer Connoisseur
Played Dodgers TT over 4.5, starts in 90 min, opening day in Korea.
cheapseats
EOG Master
Never saw a 1st baseman mitt fail like that.
