UFC

MMA
[53-50] +27.13
3* [8-5] +10.67

PENDING:

5/1/21
2*Cody Stamann +220
2*Under 2.5rds Kai Kamaka/TJ Brown +170
1*Sean Strickland -220
1*Dominick Reyes +105
1*Randa Markos +143
1*Dustin Jacoby +123
1*Gabriel Benitez -200


5/7/21
3*Sergio Pettis +160
2*Costello van Steenis +125
1*Michael Page -200

5/8/21
3*Cory Sandhagen -110
3*Carlston Harris +120
3*Ludovit Klein -150
2*Diego Ferreira +160
1*Angela Hill +195
1*Neil Magny +195
1*Kyle Daukaus -145

5/15/21
3*Edmen Shahbazyan +175
2*Katlyn Chookagian -135
1*Edson Barboza +120
1*Michael Chandler +125

6/26/21
1*Alexander Volkov +115

7/10/21
3*Conor McGregor -125
1*Conor McGregor -105

Future Event
3*Colby Covington +250 vs Usman
 
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Michael Chandler has been powerful and impressive. With that said he hasn't beaten anybody.

Now your pick on Colby Covington is cray, cray.

Good Luck
Just because you don't know who they are doesn't mean they aren't quality fighters. Primus, Goiti, Patricky, Rickels, Held could all be successful in the UFC. Every major organization in the world has elite talent. They just don't have the consistency and depth the UFC does. He's also beaten household names Dan Hooker, Eddie Alvarez (former UFC champ), and Benson Henderson (former UFC champ). He also finished all 3 of those guys. Conversely, of those last 11 fights Oliveira has had (see pic below), which one of those wins are worth writing home about? Despite only having 1 fight in the UFC, Chandler already has the same amount of wins vs guys currently ranked in the top 10 in the division and only 1 less win than guys currently ranked in the top 15. Not saying Oliveira isn't good, there's clearly no denying the tools he possesses. But I think you could make the same counter argument for him as you did Chandler.
Screen Shot 2021-04-30 at 2.01.06 PM.png

In regards to Colby....
Considering if the fight had gone 50 more seconds it was a guaranteed split decision as Colby was leading 3-1 on one card, down 1-3 on another, and tied 2-2 on the final card even after breaking his jaw sometime in the 3rd (My personal feel was 3-1 Colby or 2-2 at worst heading into the 5th). I don't think taking +250 is crazy in the slightest. Sure you could argue Kamaru is the one that broke his jaw, but it's also a rare injury to suffer and part of in game variance. Prior to him breaking his jaw he was ahead 2-0, 2-0, and tied 1-1 on the scorecards. I think Kamaru is the better fighter but not 74% chance to win better. My other reason is I think this wager opens up +EV opportunities as I expect the fight to be close again and expecting much cheaper prices on Kamaru live.
 
Just because you don't know who they are doesn't mean they aren't quality fighters. Primus, Goiti, Patricky, Rickels, Held could all be successful in the UFC. Every major organization in the world has elite talent. They just don't have the consistency and depth the UFC does. He's also beaten household names Dan Hooker, Eddie Alvarez (former UFC champ), and Benson Henderson (former UFC champ). He also finished all 3 of those guys. Conversely, of those last 11 fights Oliveira has had (see pic below), which one of those wins are worth writing home about? Despite only having 1 fight in the UFC, Chandler already has the same amount of wins vs guys currently ranked in the top 10 in the division and only 1 less win than guys currently ranked in the top 15. Not saying Oliveira isn't good, there's clearly no denying the tools he possesses. But I think you could make the same counter argument for him as you did Chandler.
View attachment 7464015

In regards to Colby....
Considering if the fight had gone 50 more seconds it was a guaranteed split decision as Colby was leading 3-1 on one card, down 1-3 on another, and tied 2-2 on the final card even after breaking his jaw sometime in the 3rd (My personal feel was 3-1 Colby or 2-2 at worst heading into the 5th). I don't think taking +250 is crazy in the slightest. Sure you could argue Kamaru is the one that broke his jaw, but it's also a rare injury to suffer and part of in game variance. Prior to him breaking his jaw he was ahead 2-0, 2-0, and tied 1-1 on the scorecards. I think Kamaru is the better fighter but not 74% chance to win better. My other reason is I think this wager opens up +EV opportunities as I expect the fight to be close again and expecting much cheaper prices on Kamaru live.

I know Chandler beat Benson Henderson twice, spilt against Alverez, beat Dave Rickels, Rick Hawn, lost to Will Brooks twice. Plus Oliveria at 31 seems to be hitting his prime. His last win over Tony Ferguson was an amazing display of fighting skills. Chandler is 35, has been in multiple wars, 2 against Eddie Alvarez, I just think his recent competition was sub par. especially Benson Henderson, & Sidney Outlaw?


Colby fought crazy good in the first fight but it wasn't enough. I also think having already fought once is a plus for Kamaru. Kamuru is stronger, has better endurance,. The rematch will be close to 2 years from their first fight. I think all the upside belongs to Kamaru. I'm sure we are gonna find out. After this rematch your opinion will be changed like it was when Stipe got crushed by Ngannu.
 
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I know Chandler beat Benson Henderson twice, spilt against Alverez, beat Dave Rickels, Rick Hawn, lost to Will Brooks twice. Plus Oliveria at 31 seems to be hitting his prime. His last win over Tony Ferguson was an amazing display of fighting skills. Chandler is 35, has been in multiple wars, 2 against Eddie Alvarez, I just think his recent competition was sub par. especially Benson Henderson, & Sidney Outlaw?


Colby fought crazy good in the first fight but it wasn't enough. I also think having already fought once is a plus for Kamaru. Kamuru is stronger, has better endurance,. The rematch will be close to 2 years from their first fight. I think all the upside belongs to Kamaru. I'm sure we are gonna find out. After this rematch your opinion will be changed like it was when Stipe got crushed by Ngannu.
Who do you think has had more pro bouts and suffered more finishes? Charlie Olives by a large margin

Chandler finished both of those dudes in less than 3 minutes. Idk what more he is supposed to do.

Better endurance than Covington?
 
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MMA
[54-50] +28.13
3* [8-5] +10.67

GRADED:

1/16/21
3*Dusko Todorovic -140 L Closing Line: -175
1*Max Holloway -180 W Closing Line: -160
1*Max Holloway -155 W

1/20/21
1*Mike Davis -180 W Closing Line: -165
1*Tom Breese -122 L Closing Line: -155
1*Tyson Nam -130 L Closing Line: -125
1*Michael Chiesa by Submission +250 L Closing Line: +250

1/23/21
3*Makhmud Muradov +103 W Closing Line: -220
2*Amir Albazi +120 W Closing Line: -120
1*Amir Albazi +105 W
2*Julianna Pena +110 W Closing Line: +100
1*Amanda Ribas -253 L Closing Line: -345
0.5*Amanda Ribas by Submission +275 L Closing Line: +165
1*Under 2.5 Michael Chandler/Dan Hooker -110 W Closing Line: -110
1*Under 2.5 McGregor/Poirier -116 W Closing Line: -190
Hit Chandler +350 KO for 0.25* but only posted it in BB thread. Wont count it

2/6/21
3*Diego Ferreira -110 L Closing Line: +100
2*Alexander Volkov -160 W Closing Line: -170
0.5*Alexander Volkov by KO/TKO/DQ +140 W Closing Line: +100
2*Under 1.5 Rds Devonte Smith/Justin Jaynes -155 L Closing Line: -190
1.25*Frankie Edgar +350 L Closing Line: +280
0.25*Frankie Edgar by decision +500 L Closing Line: +400
1*Alexandre Pantoja -125 W Closing Line: -110
1*Danilo Marques +205 W Closing Line: +195
1*Seung Woo Choi +205 W Closing Line: +200

2/13/21
1*Gabe Green +103 W Closing Line: -140
2*Gabe Green -110 W
1*Under 2.5 Rds Gabe Green/Phil Rowe -135 L Closing Line: -140
2*Chris Gutierrez -150 W Closing Line: -135
1*Chris Gutierrez -125 W
1*Maycee Barber +159 L Closing Line: -115
1*Kelvin Gastelum -219 W Closing Line: -200
1*Anthony Hernandez +300 W Closing Line: +370

2/19/21 LFA Bout
1*Nate Davis -145 L Closing Line: -155

2/20/21
1*John Castaneda +120 W Closing Line: -130
1*Julian Erosa +120 W Closing Line: +130
1*Yana Kunitskaya +250 W Closing Line: +235

2/27/21
1*Ciryl Gane -265 W Closing Line: -245
0.5* Ciryl Gane Wins Inside The Distance -105 L Closing Line: -105
1*Nikita Krylov +250 L Closing Line: +250
1*Nikita Krylov +260 L
1*Thiago Moises +165 W Closing Line: +185
1*Maxim Grishin +150 L Closing Line: +140
1*Pedro Munhoz +133 W Closing Line: +110
1*Kevin Croom +162 L Closing Line: +135

3/6/21
3*Amanda Lemos -104 W Closing Line: -225
2*Thiago Santos +232 L Closing Line: +160
2*Kyler Phillips +169 W Closing Line: +160
2*Over 3.5 Rds Petr Yan/Aljamain Sterling -105 W Closing Line: -140
2*Over 1.5 Rds Amanda Nunes/Megan Anderson -115 L Closing Line: -160
2*Fight does not go the distance Dober/Makhachev -105 W Closing Line: -105
1*Parlay (Jan Blachowicz +225 & Islam Makhachev -310) +330 W
1*Casey Kenney -108 L Closing Line: -130
1*Mario Bautista -205 L Closing Line: -240
1*Carlos Ulberg -172 L Closing Line: -240
1*Aljamain Sterling by Decision +350 L Closing Line: +350

3/6/21
1*Parlay (Islam Makhachev -400 (WIN) /Leon Edwards -255/Jonathan Martinez -300) +132 L

3/13/21
3*Misha Cirkunov -125 L Closing Line: -140
1*Leon Edwards -260 No Action
1*Gavin Tucker +110 L Closing Line: +165
1*Gavin Tucker +162 L Closing Line: +165
1*Over 2.5 Rds Manel Kape/Matheus Nicolau -125 W Closing Line: -150
1*Matheus Nicolau +110 W Closing Line: +110

3/20/21
3*Derek Brunson +145 W Closing Line: +170
3*Trevin Giles +135 W Closing Line: -115
0.5*Trevin Giles Wins Inside the Distance +325 L Closing Line: +300
0.5*Trevin Giles Wins Inside the Distance Goes Distance = No Action +185 No Action
2*Gustavo Lopez +185 L Closing Line: +185

3/27/21
2*Stipe Miocic +140 L Closing Line: +110
1*Gillian Robertson +150 L Closing Line: +130
1*Tyron Woodley +221 L Closing Line: +160

4/2/21 Bellator
2*Patricio Freire -244 W Closing Line: -250
1*Jason Jackson +138 W Closing Line: +105

4/7/21 ONE
2*Eddie Alvarez -115 No Action Closing Line: -145

4/9/21 Bellator
1*Dan Moret +425 W Closing Line: +375
1*Adam Borics -102 W Closing Line: -110

4/10/21
3*Nina Ansaroff -110 L Closing Line: -130
2*Joe Solecki -190 W Closing Line: -240
2*Mateusz Gamrot -175 W Closing Line: -240
1*Sodiq Yusuff -145 L Closing Line: -150
1*Hunter Azure +125 L Closing Line: +160
1*Over 2.5 Rounds Marvin Vettori/Kevin Holland -135 W Closing Line: -135
1*Under 2.5 Rounds Mike Perry/Daniel Rodriguez +117 L Closing Line: +115

4/16/21
2*Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov -120 L Closing Line: +170
1*Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov +110 L
0.5*Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov +150 L
1*Phil Davis +149 L Closing Line: +150
0.5*Phil Davis +165 L
0.5*Phil Davis +170 L
0.5*Phil Davis by Decision +300 L Closing Line: +275
1*Desiree Yanez -110 L Closing Line: -120

4/17/21
2*Alexander Romanov +105 W Closing Line: -145
2*Austin Hubbard "Live Bet" -139 W
1*Kelvin Gastelum +220 L Closing Line: +215
1*Gerald Meerschaert +130 W Closing Line: +105
0.5*Luis Pena "Live Bet" -117 W
0.5*Al Hassan "Live Bet" +125 L

4/23/21 PFL
2*Sheymon Moraes +195 L Closing Line: +130
1*Marcin Held +350 W Closing Line: +325

4/24/21
3*Rose Namajunas +170 W Closing Line: +175
2*Brendan Allen -145 W Closing Line: -155
0.5*Brendan Allen Inside the Distance +125 W Closing Line: +130
1*Jimmy Crute -181 L Closing Line: -250
1*Kamaru Usman/Jorge Masvidal "Does Not Go The Distance" +155 W Closing Line: +110
1*Kevin Natividad +145 L Closing Line: +180
1*Chris Weidman/Uriah Hall "Does Not Go The Distance" -120 W Closing Line: -125
1*Under 2.5rds Connelly/Sabatini +170 L Closing Line: +165
1*Under 2.5rds Oliveira/Brown +125 W Closing Line: +110

4/30/21 LFA
1*Cheyden Leialoha -135 W Closing Line: -165
 
Who do you think has had more pro bouts and suffered more finishes? Charlie Olives by a large margin

Chandler finished both of those dudes in less than 3 minutes. Idk what more he is supposed to do.

Better endurance than Covington?
Some of these questions will be answered soon. Oliveira is 30-8. Approximately 7 of those loses were over 5 years ago when he was 25 or younger. Since turning 26 Charlie is 9-1. 1st win of that stretch was over Will Brooks who beat Chandler twice. It took Charlie around 2 and half minutes to finish Brooks.
 
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