UFC

hats off to valentina. Expected her to win but never dreamed she would be that much more powerful than Andrade. Impressive. lunch money plays go 1-1 for the night
 
I think she is the best fighter in the division. I wagered on JJ vs Zhang and thought JJ won. Close fight, wasn't mad with the split decision. JJ looked to be the superior striker but Weili had the power. I think Rose can bring all the problems JJ did with better footwork, more power, and more creativity in her striking. When you watch Weili or JJ strike they are very fundamentally sound technical fighters. Their movements are predictable/traditional and almost linear in nature. Whereas Rose is a little more unorthodox and seems to flow with the strikes thrown at her. She uses a variety of counters, creates angles in the pocket with her feet, and just brings alot more elusiveness and danger to the mix. If you were able to watch Almeida vs O'Malley, both are very high level strikers but its becomes evident very quickly which fighters movements are harder to read.

Generally there are always questions when the big underdog is challenging for the strap. How will they perform on the big stage and do they have the stamina to go all 5. Rose has already proven both.

Outside of power I really have a hard time finding where Zhang is superior to Rose (I don't think Zhang is the powerhouse Andrade is either). Alot is being made of Zhang's power and I think she is strong but she only has one knockdown in her UFC career and only 2 finishes through 5 fights (With JJ and Andrade being the only legit talent she has faced). I expect Rose to be the quicker fighter, be more elusive with her footwork, use distance more effectively and be the far better striker. My expectation is Zhang will try to be heavy on clinch work and takedowns. Rose is very slippery on the fence with the way she frames and evades and/or mixes in submissions. Her BJJ is nice, my hope is she doesn't spend too much time searching for submissions and instead uses her energy just trying to get to her feet. I could be way off here judging by the way the market is moving but I would line this fight somewhere is the -130 to -150 ballpark for Rose.
Like a boss....
 
I think Masvidal is gonna take more risks. He knows he cant win a decision vs usman. If it goes 5 usman most likely wins. Masvidal is also fighting behind home crowd needs to put on a show. His star power wilts if he doesn't continue to win. Expect usman to look for a finish too. Taking alot of criticism as being boring to win vs a guy like Mas. Kamaru also does not have a broken nose this fight. Expect him not to be as conservative as well. Both can easily finish imo.
 
MMA
[53-50] +27.13
3* [8-5] +10.67

4/24/21
3*Rose Namajunas +170 W Closing Line: +175
2*Brendan Allen -145 W Closing Line: -155
0.5*Brendan Allen Inside the Distance +125 W Closing Line: +130
1*Jimmy Crute -181 L Closing Line: -250
1*Kamaru Usman/Jorge Masvidal "Does Not Go The Distance" +155 W Closing Line: +110
1*Kevin Natividad +145 L Closing Line: +180
1*Chris Weidman/Uriah Hall "Does Not Go The Distance" -120 W Closing Line: -125
1*Under 2.5rds Connelly/Sabatini +170 L Closing Line: +165
1*Under 2.5rds Oliveira/Brown +125 W Closing Line: +110
 
MMA
[53-50] +27.13
3* [8-5] +10.67

GRADED:

1/16/21
3*Dusko Todorovic -140 L Closing Line: -175
1*Max Holloway -180 W Closing Line: -160
1*Max Holloway -155 W

1/20/21
1*Mike Davis -180 W Closing Line: -165
1*Tom Breese -122 L Closing Line: -155
1*Tyson Nam -130 L Closing Line: -125
1*Michael Chiesa by Submission +250 L Closing Line: +250

1/23/21
3*Makhmud Muradov +103 W Closing Line: -220
2*Amir Albazi +120 W Closing Line: -120
1*Amir Albazi +105 W
2*Julianna Pena +110 W Closing Line: +100
1*Amanda Ribas -253 L Closing Line: -345
0.5*Amanda Ribas by Submission +275 L Closing Line: +165
1*Under 2.5 Michael Chandler/Dan Hooker -110 W Closing Line: -110
1*Under 2.5 McGregor/Poirier -116 W Closing Line: -190
Hit Chandler +350 KO for 0.25* but only posted it in BB thread. Wont count it

2/6/21
3*Diego Ferreira -110 L Closing Line: +100
2*Alexander Volkov -160 W Closing Line: -170
0.5*Alexander Volkov by KO/TKO/DQ +140 W Closing Line: +100
2*Under 1.5 Rds Devonte Smith/Justin Jaynes -155 L Closing Line: -190
1.25*Frankie Edgar +350 L Closing Line: +280
0.25*Frankie Edgar by decision +500 L Closing Line: +400
1*Alexandre Pantoja -125 W Closing Line: -110
1*Danilo Marques +205 W Closing Line: +195
1*Seung Woo Choi +205 W Closing Line: +200

2/13/21
1*Gabe Green +103 W Closing Line: -140
2*Gabe Green -110 W
1*Under 2.5 Rds Gabe Green/Phil Rowe -135 L Closing Line: -140
2*Chris Gutierrez -150 W Closing Line: -135
1*Chris Gutierrez -125 W
1*Maycee Barber +159 L Closing Line: -115
1*Kelvin Gastelum -219 W Closing Line: -200
1*Anthony Hernandez +300 W Closing Line: +370

2/19/21 LFA Bout
1*Nate Davis -145 L Closing Line: -155

2/20/21
1*John Castaneda +120 W Closing Line: -130
1*Julian Erosa +120 W Closing Line: +130
1*Yana Kunitskaya +250 W Closing Line: +235

2/27/21
1*Ciryl Gane -265 W Closing Line: -245
0.5* Ciryl Gane Wins Inside The Distance -105 L Closing Line: -105
1*Nikita Krylov +250 L Closing Line: +250
1*Nikita Krylov +260 L
1*Thiago Moises +165 W Closing Line: +185
1*Maxim Grishin +150 L Closing Line: +140
1*Pedro Munhoz +133 W Closing Line: +110
1*Kevin Croom +162 L Closing Line: +135

3/6/21
3*Amanda Lemos -104 W Closing Line: -225
2*Thiago Santos +232 L Closing Line: +160
2*Kyler Phillips +169 W Closing Line: +160
2*Over 3.5 Rds Petr Yan/Aljamain Sterling -105 W Closing Line: -140
2*Over 1.5 Rds Amanda Nunes/Megan Anderson -115 L Closing Line: -160
2*Fight does not go the distance Dober/Makhachev -105 W Closing Line: -105
1*Parlay (Jan Blachowicz +225 & Islam Makhachev -310) +330 W
1*Casey Kenney -108 L Closing Line: -130
1*Mario Bautista -205 L Closing Line: -240
1*Carlos Ulberg -172 L Closing Line: -240
1*Aljamain Sterling by Decision +350 L Closing Line: +350

3/6/21
1*Parlay (Islam Makhachev -400 (WIN) /Leon Edwards -255/Jonathan Martinez -300) +132 L

3/13/21
3*Misha Cirkunov -125 L Closing Line: -140
1*Leon Edwards -260 No Action
1*Gavin Tucker +110 L Closing Line: +165
1*Gavin Tucker +162 L Closing Line: +165
1*Over 2.5 Rds Manel Kape/Matheus Nicolau -125 W Closing Line: -150
1*Matheus Nicolau +110 W Closing Line: +110

3/20/21
3*Derek Brunson +145 W Closing Line: +170
3*Trevin Giles +135 W Closing Line: -115
0.5*Trevin Giles Wins Inside the Distance +325 L Closing Line: +300
0.5*Trevin Giles Wins Inside the Distance Goes Distance = No Action +185 No Action
2*Gustavo Lopez +185 L Closing Line: +185

3/27/21
2*Stipe Miocic +140 L Closing Line: +110
1*Gillian Robertson +150 L Closing Line: +130
1*Tyron Woodley +221 L Closing Line: +160

4/2/21 Bellator
2*Patricio Freire -244 W Closing Line: -250
1*Jason Jackson +138 W Closing Line: +105

4/7/21 ONE
2*Eddie Alvarez -115 No Action Closing Line: -145

4/9/21 Bellator
1*Dan Moret +425 W Closing Line: +375
1*Adam Borics -102 W Closing Line: -110

4/10/21
3*Nina Ansaroff -110 L Closing Line: -130
2*Joe Solecki -190 W Closing Line: -240
2*Mateusz Gamrot -175 W Closing Line: -240
1*Sodiq Yusuff -145 L Closing Line: -150
1*Hunter Azure +125 L Closing Line: +160
1*Over 2.5 Rounds Marvin Vettori/Kevin Holland -135 W Closing Line: -135
1*Under 2.5 Rounds Mike Perry/Daniel Rodriguez +117 L Closing Line: +115

4/16/21
2*Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov -120 L Closing Line: +170
1*Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov +110 L
0.5*Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov +150 L
1*Phil Davis +149 L Closing Line: +150
0.5*Phil Davis +165 L
0.5*Phil Davis +170 L
0.5*Phil Davis by Decision +300 L Closing Line: +275
1*Desiree Yanez -110 L Closing Line: -120

4/17/21
2*Alexander Romanov +105 W Closing Line: -145
2*Austin Hubbard "Live Bet" -139 W
1*Kelvin Gastelum +220 L Closing Line: +215
1*Gerald Meerschaert +130 W Closing Line: +105
0.5*Luis Pena "Live Bet" -117 W
0.5*Al Hassan "Live Bet" +125 L

4/23/21 PFL
2*Sheymon Moraes +195 L Closing Line: +130
1*Marcin Held +350 W Closing Line: +325

4/24/21
3*Rose Namajunas +170 W Closing Line: +175
2*Brendan Allen -145 W Closing Line: -155
0.5*Brendan Allen Inside the Distance +125 W Closing Line: +130
1*Jimmy Crute -181 L Closing Line: -250
1*Kamaru Usman/Jorge Masvidal "Does Not Go The Distance" +155 W Closing Line: +110
1*Kevin Natividad +145 L Closing Line: +180
1*Chris Weidman/Uriah Hall "Does Not Go The Distance" -120 W Closing Line: -125
1*Under 2.5rds Connelly/Sabatini +170 L Closing Line: +165
1*Under 2.5rds Oliveira/Brown +125 W Closing Line: +110
 
I think this win over Masvidal is overrated but there's no question Usman is getting better. Hope he doesn't fall in love with his hands. His grappling will always be his best asset.
 
MMA
[53-50] +27.13
3* [8-5] +10.67

PENDING:

5/1/21
1*Sean Strickland -220
1*Dominick Reyes +105

5/7/21
3*Sergio Pettis +160
2*Costello van Steenis +125
1*Michael Page -200


5/8/21
3*Cory Sandhagen -110
3*Carlston Harris +120
3*Ludovit Klein -150
2*Diego Ferreira +160
1*Angela Hill +195
1*Neil Magny +195
1*Kyle Daukaus -145

5/15/21
3*Edmen Shahbazyan +175
1*Michael Chandler +125

6/26/21
1*Alexander Volkov +115

7/10/21
3*Conor McGregor -125
1*Conor McGregor -105
 
Apparently should have climbed a lot more. That was a style mismatch. Last night was a great night.
Brendan was getting cracked in the first 30secs or so. I thought my ticket was about to be lit on fire. Finally wised up and shot for a takedown before getting KO'd. I am glad he got the finish via grappling and hopefully he starts sticking to his strengths.
 
I expected Crute to wrestle early and often last night. Didn't shoot til his foot went numb. Guys get KO's and forget what got them to the dance. Freak loss but hopefully he gets back to his grappling as well.
 
Brendan was getting cracked in the first 30secs or so. I thought my ticket was about to be lit on fire. Finally wised up and shot for a takedown before getting KO'd. I am glad he got the finish via grappling and hopefully he starts sticking to his strengths.
Yeah he took a few hard shots early but Roberson isn’t really a 1 shot KO guy. Once he wanted the TD he got it pretty easily.
 
I'd lay the number on Crute again. No hesitation. If he came out trying to grapple it would be the Glover Teixeira fight all over again
I don’t know if he would smash Smith like Glover did on the ground. I do think Crute would win with a smarter game plan. His wrestling was easily good enough to get Smith down. I don’t understand why he didn’t go to it immediately.
 
I don’t know if he would smash Smith like Glover did on the ground. I do think Crute would win with a smarter game plan. His wrestling was easily good enough to get Smith down. I don’t understand why he didn’t go to it immediately.
Those takedowns he landed were also on 1 live foot. I personally think Crutes top game is extremely high level. Top control is very good, has a variety of submissions in his repertoire, and ground and pound is vicious. Most importantly, he can get guys down at will in order to execute.
 
MMA
[53-50] +27.13
3* [8-5] +10.67

PENDING:

5/1/21
2*Under 2.5rds Kai Kamaka/TJ Brown +170
1*Sean Strickland -220
1*Dominick Reyes +105

5/7/21
3*Sergio Pettis +160
2*Costello van Steenis +125
1*Michael Page -200

5/8/21
3*Cory Sandhagen -110
3*Carlston Harris +120
3*Ludovit Klein -150
2*Diego Ferreira +160
1*Angela Hill +195
1*Neil Magny +195
1*Kyle Daukaus -145

5/15/21
3*Edmen Shahbazyan +175
2*Katlyn Chookagian -135
1*Edson Barboza +120

1*Michael Chandler +125

6/26/21
1*Alexander Volkov +115

7/10/21
3*Conor McGregor -125
1*Conor McGregor -105
 
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