Week 3 NFL Picks and Discussion

ZzyzxRoad

ZzyzxRoad

EOG Dedicated
After two uneventful weeks, I finish lunch, and wake up to the following lines:
Saints-Packers under 44
Texans-Jaguars under 45
Patriots-Jets under 38
Commanders +7 (-105)
Bears +14 (-105)
Bears-Chiefs under 49
Cardinals +13.5 (-105)
Buccaneers +6 (-105)
Buccaneers under 47

I don't think I've ever bet more in ten minutes in my life.
 
kane

kane

EOG master
Played the Colts +8, probably my favorite play of the week, tough spot for the Ravens coming off a big win against the Bengals, and they have a big one next week against the Browns, AR is ?, but I like Minshew
 
kane

kane

EOG master
I don't play a lot of totals, but I played the Dal/Ari game Under 44, I can see a scenario where the Boys get out to a big lead, get conservative on offense and drain the clock, I can't see the Cardinals doing much offensively against what might be the best defense in the league, a concern is Dallas scoring on defense, but I'm looking at a 27-13 type game
 
kane

kane

EOG master
The Steelers look good in a teaser leg, bit of a bad spot coming off the MNF win over the Browns, but I have to think they can hang within 8 of the Raiders. The Steelers offense has been putrid through two games, but they've gone against two of the best defense in the league, Picket and company should find the going much easier against the Raiders D, Steeler nation travels, so I don't think LV has much of a HF advantage here, I have the game closer to a pick, so anything over a TD looks good teaser wise
 
kane

kane

EOG master
ZzyzxRoad said:
After two uneventful weeks, I finish lunch, and wake up to the following lines:
Saints-Packers under 44
Texans-Jaguars under 45
Patriots-Jets under 38
Commanders +7 (-105)
Bears +14 (-105)
Bears-Chiefs under 49
Cardinals +13.5 (-105)
Buccaneers +6 (-105)
Buccaneers under 47

I don't think I've ever bet more in ten minutes in my life.
Click to expand...
Amazing that you can get these numbers, I have no idea how that place stays in business, interested to see where these lines move throughout the week
 
ZzyzxRoad

ZzyzxRoad

EOG Dedicated
kane said:
Amazing that you can get these numbers, I have no idea how that place stays in business, interested to see where these lines move throughout the week
Click to expand...

I added Giants under 46 and Seahawks under 43 this morning.
A guy I know in a state 1200 miles away says he found a few of these machines in two small casinos near his house, so I'll have at least a little bit of competition for the lines. In the just over a year that I've been here, I've met exactly one person who has a clue. Despite being a huge bettor in other casino games, he only bets a few hundred a game at sports.
 
railbird

railbird

EOG Master
ZzyzxRoad said:
After two uneventful weeks, I finish lunch, and wake up to the following lines:
Saints-Packers under 44
Texans-Jaguars under 45
Patriots-Jets under 38
Commanders +7 (-105)
Bears +14 (-105)
Bears-Chiefs under 49
Cardinals +13.5 (-105)
Buccaneers +6 (-105)
Buccaneers under 47

I don't think I've ever bet more in ten minutes in my life.
Click to expand...
what book is this?
 
R

Ray Donovan

EOG Member
kane said:
Amazing that you can get these numbers, I have no idea how that place stays in business, interested to see where these lines move throughout the week
Click to expand...
Think Raiders should give 3rd round or 4th for Fields & use him like Steelers did Stewart & even more than that in Wildcat type sets ?
 
kane

kane

EOG master
I'm on the Panthers, at this point of their careers, I don't think Young to Minshew is much, if any of a down grade, Minshew less mobile, but a better passer, they have a weak offense, but it's not like the Hawks defense has been playing like the 85 Bears, and even though it was recently announced, they knew Minshew would be starting, so he's been working with the first team in practice, think 6.5 is a little high
 
kane

kane

EOG master
Shit, It's not Minshew, it's Andy Dalton who replaces Young, got my backups mixed up, I had Minshew on my mind since I'm on the Colts
 
Heim

Heim

EOG Master
Valuist said:
NY Giants 46 offensive plays for 150 yards. 11 runs for 29. They have to already be regretting that Daniel Jones contract.
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He's a different quarterback with pressure, sure (Qb) numbers go down under pressure but his are glaring.

With that being said, was anyone really impressed with Frisco last night? Without Deebo that game is a lot closer.
 
FairWarning

FairWarning

Bells Beer Connoisseur
kane said:
Patrick Surtain says not so fast, the kid is good enough to contain Hill, Waddle Overs would have been the look had he played
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Agree, now it’s a no play.

sleeper prop - M Valdez-Scantling over 25.5 yards rec vs Chicago -113. He’s had big games vs Chicago in the past, they are down 3 DBs today. This is the get-right game for KC. I also played him over 96 rec yards 10/1.
 
V

Valuist

EOG Master
FairWarning said:
Don’t understand that one at all, hard to expect good things from a defense that allows 50% 3rd down conversions. Played KC TT over 30 pretty large.
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Just looks like a game where KC could get disinterested for a quarter or two. No need to bring the heavy artillery.
 
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