IWishIWasAPro
EOG Master
Fine margins. Turner gets one there, Nats probably go on to win and Braves fall to 0-4.
2021 Baseball Picks, Fades, Info, Group Discussion
- Thread starter ZzyzxRoad
- Start date
WildBill
2
Now that we are settled in, here's the status of the books vig today thanks to OddsBoom. Pretty clear to me Fox needs to GTFO, that's embarrassing and that FD and DK really don't want our business day to day. MGM wins the award for most disappointing book, they have 15 cent spreads on NHL for goodness sakes. WH, Super, Circa and Wynn seem to be the best for baseball. SBK not posted on here, but they haven't been so hot on MLB so far with very thin markets. Overall though its great for bettors, the effective house edge is very small as long as you are funded across the board.
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cheapseats
EOG Master
Kershaw 165 versus winless Oakland. My, have things changed.
IWishIWasAPro
EOG Master
When do you start to worry if you're the Braves? Lol
pro analyser
EOG Dedicated
sides 1-0 +1 totals 0-0 play colorodo under 10'-10
FairWarning
Bells Beer Connoisseur
Great site, thanks for sharing.
WildBill
2
Lol, how much longer are they going to exist for sports betting?
WildBill
2
Here's your update, big puffy snowflakes falling at my place, about a 15 mile drive from Coors. Not sure if this game gets done tonight.
Yeah as far as MLB sides go I 'm only shopping my #s at Circa, Wynn and Super. No need to waste my time even looking at the others.
WildBill
2
But you could miss things like the Scherzer 5 inning line at MGM which I still don't get. The situation reminds me of offshore where Bookmaker has crappy vig compared to the others but on big dogs you still get the best price at times. OddsBoom has been great, almost as useful as Don Best to me but just $9/month. I wonder if they are going to jack up the prices soon.
pro analyser
EOG Dedicated
mgm and mirage deal the same line in lasvegas. check donbest -115, was never,guess colorodo mgm is different. Mirage deals 20cents in baeball when others 10, guess they don't want baseball action. Only -115 at mgm-mirage was for game not first five.
I honestly think MGM was taking a side on that game.
I gave that info for you...cause you did not know.. . by the time caesars fades to black.. I will be dead... Keep in mind they are cheaper and slower in many ways in sports betting then DK and fan duel and many new places ... NJ in the next few months will let us all know when and if these new places open up., the exchange. superbook.... the question of 5dimes's application ..
I had the Under in the Yankees Redsox and Rockies games all winning going into the 9th all losers. I fucking hate baseball.
Murphy’s Best
EOG Dedicated
Bottom of 9th Arizona is up 5-4 with 2 outs.... damn HR kills my under 10! Tomorrow is a new day, hang in there Ruca.
Sox was the worst. Under 9 and it's 3-2 going into the BOTTOM of the 9th
IWishIWasAPro
EOG Master
Brutal.
IWishIWasAPro
EOG Master
Not sure how much I enjoy the runner on 2nd to start extra innings anymore.
WAY-TOO-EARLY obervations so far: (all anecdotal)
1.) The Pirates are absolutely fucking horrible in every facet of the game from every on-field metric to the farm and the front office, and the Hayes injury just adds insult on top of it. I don't think the books realize yet just how truly bad they are. I'll tell you this: I'm blindly betting every opposing team's run line at ANY plus number, and any -2.5 line at +170 or better until they prove otherwise. Pirates under 58.5 (or whatever it was) looks like the stone nuts right now barring some huge injury issues in the rest of the division.
I fully expect the 119 losses by the Tigers in 2003 to be in play for this team. The 134 by the Cleveland Spiders in 1899 is probably safe though LOL.
2.) Don't sleep on the Royals. Merrifield would be a perennial MVP candidate in just about any other market, and I love the addition of Taylor, who seems like a perfect fit to roam that cavernous outfield. The rotation is serviceable, but they have to get the pen figured out. I've also been pretty underwhelmed by the rest of that division so far, and the Jimenez injury looms large for the White Sox.
3.) I mentioned earlier that I was skeptical of MLB's claim of a deadened baseball, and maybe it's just confirmation bias but I've seen nothing so far to change my mind. The 3-outcome game looks more prevalent than ever.
1.) The Pirates are absolutely fucking horrible in every facet of the game from every on-field metric to the farm and the front office, and the Hayes injury just adds insult on top of it. I don't think the books realize yet just how truly bad they are. I'll tell you this: I'm blindly betting every opposing team's run line at ANY plus number, and any -2.5 line at +170 or better until they prove otherwise. Pirates under 58.5 (or whatever it was) looks like the stone nuts right now barring some huge injury issues in the rest of the division.
I fully expect the 119 losses by the Tigers in 2003 to be in play for this team. The 134 by the Cleveland Spiders in 1899 is probably safe though LOL.
2.) Don't sleep on the Royals. Merrifield would be a perennial MVP candidate in just about any other market, and I love the addition of Taylor, who seems like a perfect fit to roam that cavernous outfield. The rotation is serviceable, but they have to get the pen figured out. I've also been pretty underwhelmed by the rest of that division so far, and the Jimenez injury looms large for the White Sox.
3.) I mentioned earlier that I was skeptical of MLB's claim of a deadened baseball, and maybe it's just confirmation bias but I've seen nothing so far to change my mind. The 3-outcome game looks more prevalent than ever.
pro analyser
EOG Dedicated
IWishIWasAPro
EOG Master
You would think Castillo would bounce back for Cincinnati today against that pathetic Pit lineup. Run line?
WildBill
2
Rockies aren't too far behind the Pirates and figure to ship off some of their players before the deadline. I wouldn't be surprised to see Story, Gray and maybe Marquez getting shipped off. Maybe hosting the All-Star game will keep them from a fire sale before then, but a house cleaning is coming. Hopefully the GM and all the internal staff is sent packing too. I know a lot of this mess is on ownership, but owners aren't selling.
I think they are where the Pirates are two years ago, bad team with mediocre farm system so they will be trying everyone young they can. They are probably at the bottom of the league for awhile.
We'll have to pick our spots with the Pirates. +190 against a Castillo seems like a good start.
Brayden11
EOG Dedicated
I thought I read somewhere recently he added velocity this year?
i read it and went to FG
i posted 3 mph...but it was only 2 MPH... biggest thing is cubs last in hitting in MLB.. meanwhile castellanos of reds killing it...cubs got rid of him
Chi_Archie
EOG Veteran
FairWarning
Bells Beer Connoisseur
Hey now, they have a hit thru 7 innings.
FairWarning
Bells Beer Connoisseur
That and also the late ingame plays. Got Mil Tl +280 in the bottom of 7 hoping for extra innings.
I wish i could look up the last time hendrix a dog at home vs woodruff...maybe never .... hendrix was a dog at the westgate today
Everyone that bet the Padres Under holding our collective breath.
TobyTyler
EOG Dedicated
ODDSboom is great
I have been playing at BetMGM, their 1H Unders are often more favorable juice there as well as at Scorebet
Betmgm also allows you buy half run on the 1H total
