Re: American Idol 2009- Season 8 Thread and Discussion
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Mr. Smith<SCRIPT type=text/javascript> vbmenu_register("postmenu_2163561", true); </SCRIPT>
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Join Date: Jun 06, 2006
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Re: American Idol 2009- Season 8 Thread and Discussion
<HR style="COLOR: #2b295e" SIZE=1>so whats the deal Doberman, do you think Kris is going to get there?
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Money-wise really does not matter to me at this point. I'm certainly rooting for him for you though. I look at this as unbiased as I can and search and interpret the data.
A couple things regarding that:
- Very statistically close margin right now, given error deviations it really is tough to call right now.
- Everything I have indicated around a 51/49 percentage split. While this may sound very close, it is not as much as it seems as this is about the breakdown of Obama/McCain and in a two-horse race typically the case.
- Data interpretation is only as good as the data provided. While on the surface the data would be seem to be unreliable, anyone with experience in poll sampling knows that there are statistically significant sample sizes available to interpolate.
-Anyone who did not make a significant return on investment this year did not do a very good job and let emotion dictate over the marketplace and common reasoning. In essence, this is a microcosm of gambling in general.
-While this show sucks donkey dicks, the wagering and elimination aspect and subtle manipulations are fascinating psychological studies I could probably write a dissertation on. I won't though.
-I'm confident in predicting that tonight's winner will not be Lil Rounds.
Good day.