Goon's Gamble - NHL 2018-2019

Summary time:

Mon Dec 17: 0-3 -4.23 units
Tue Dec 18: 1-2 -1.86 units
Wed Dec 19: 1-0-1 +1.00 units
Sat Dec 22: 1-2 -1.56 units
Fri Dec 28: 1-1 -0.44 units
Sat Dec 29: 1-2 -2.48 units
Mon Dec 31: 1-2-1 -1.71 units

Season Totals (Up to End of 2018): 94-78-3 -4.51 units
 
Saturday soliloquies:
#180. Minnesota -160 over Ottawa 1 unit
#181. Boston/Buffalo over 5.5 -110 1 unit
#182. Edmonton +105 over Los Angeles 1 unit
#183. Tampa Bay -110 over San Jose 1 unit
 

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
Summary time:

Mon Dec 17: 0-3 -4.23 units
Tue Dec 18: 1-2 -1.86 units
Wed Dec 19: 1-0-1 +1.00 units
Sat Dec 22: 1-2 -1.56 units
Fri Dec 28: 1-1 -0.44 units
Sat Dec 29: 1-2 -2.48 units
Mon Dec 31: 1-2-1 -1.71 units

Season Totals (Up to End of 2018): 94-78-3 -4.51 units

Sixteen games over .500 yet stuck more than four units.

Too chalky, Goon?
 
Back to the grind, I was on a flu diet last week, lost 10 pounds and couldn't eat anything for a couple of days, I prefer to take it easy betting when that's the case, it's hard enough when you're 100% focused...

#185. Nashville -117 over Carolina 1 unit
#186. Winnipeg -190 over Anaheim 1 unit
#187. Florida +100 over Vancouver 1 unit
#188. Tampa Team Total OVER 3.5 +113 1 unit
 

winkyduck

TYVM Morgan William!!!
Back to the grind, I was on a flu diet last week, lost 10 pounds and couldn't eat anything for a couple of days, I prefer to take it easy betting when that's the case, it's hard enough when you're 100% focused...

#185. Nashville -117 over Carolina 1 unit
#186. Winnipeg -190 over Anaheim 1 unit
#187. Florida +100 over Vancouver 1 unit
#188. Tampa Team Total OVER 3.5 +113 1 unit
I could never lay this much wood in any NHL game. I took a shot with The Mighty Ducks of Anaheim - Rock the Pond. I think getting as far away from home is the best thing that could happen to them. They are 7-2 their last 9 in Losepeg, too. They might get smoked but I sense they might win a 3-2 kind of game today
 
Catching up on the record:

Tue Jan 1 1-0 +1.00 units
Wed Jan 2 2-0 +2.00 units
Thu Jan 3 1-0 +1.00 units
Sat Jan 5 1-3 -2.20 units
Tue Jan 8 1-0 +1.00 units

Season Totals : 100-81-3 -1.71 units
 
Tuesday's Tags:
#189. St Louis +140 over NY Islanders 1 unit
#190. Columbus -188 over New Jersey 1 unit
#191. Anaheim -104 over Detroit 1 unit
#192. Montreal -120 over Florida 1 unit
#193. Nashville -140 over Washington 1 unit
#194. Pittsburgh/San Jose OVER 6.5 -115 1 unit
 

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
Back to the grind, I was on a flu diet last week, lost 10 pounds and couldn't eat anything for a couple of days, I prefer to take it easy betting when that's the case, it's hard enough when you're 100% focused...

#185. Nashville -117 over Carolina 1 unit
#186. Winnipeg -190 over Anaheim 1 unit
#187. Florida +100 over Vancouver 1 unit
#188. Tampa Team Total OVER 3.5 +113 1 unit
A flu diet.

The silver lining there is you clean out your system.

A natural cleanse, if you will.
 
What exactly makes it easy to back the leafs? One extra day of rest? I don't really see it, their trip from Dallas is actually closer than trip in for Toronto and Leafs traveled in last night.

Lightning are crazy good at home(19-4). Their PP leads the league while the leafs have struggled, TB is 6/21 since Jan 1st ,while Leafs are 1/12. Aside from Marner, Tavares and Reilly, all of the Leafs offensive players are struggling. Andersen is trying to get up to speed after injury while Vasilevsky is possibly the best goalie in the league right now after his injury stint. Leafs PK has been really good lately, I'll give them that but Bolts' not far behind.

Tampa has won the only meeting this season 4-1 but Leafs badly outshot them. TB won 5 of the last 6 H2H.

True, this is a big measuring stick game for Toronto, maybe not so much for Tampa. Toronto has faded badly since Dec 1st, they are only 1 point ahead of Boston AND Montreal and only 4 points above the playoff line, something that was so far in their rear view mirror a month ago.

Leafs need this more but they always struggle on their Florida trips with other distractions like fishing, the beach, etc... Not exactly the vegas flu, but still a factor.
 

winkyduck

TYVM Morgan William!!!
What exactly makes it easy to back the leafs? One extra day of rest? I don't really see it, their trip from Dallas is actually closer than trip in for Toronto and Leafs traveled in last night.

Lightning are crazy good at home(19-4). Their PP leads the league while the leafs have struggled, TB is 6/21 since Jan 1st ,while Leafs are 1/12. Aside from Marner, Tavares and Reilly, all of the Leafs offensive players are struggling. Andersen is trying to get up to speed after injury while Vasilevsky is possibly the best goalie in the league right now after his injury stint. Leafs PK has been really good lately, I'll give them that but Bolts' not far behind.

Tampa has won the only meeting this season 4-1 but Leafs badly outshot them. TB won 5 of the last 6 H2H.

True, this is a big measuring stick game for Toronto, maybe not so much for Tampa. Toronto has faded badly since Dec 1st, they are only 1 point ahead of Boston AND Montreal and only 4 points above the playoff line, something that was so far in their rear view mirror a month ago.

Leafs need this more but they always struggle on their Florida trips with other distractions like fishing, the beach, etc... Not exactly the vegas flu, but still a factor.
A look at the list of games these 2 have played recently showed the Leaves were well rested and coming off a stinker game. Tampa was off 3-in-4 and now 4-in-6...all in different arenas. We saw a rested team beat a tired team today. That is what put me on the Leaves. That is also what put me on Coyotes on Wednesday as my EOG BB. SJ went all out to beat Pitt then had to fly to AZ and get in at an ungodly hour and play a well rested team seeking to put the stench of a 7-1 loss from a few days earlier out of their mind.

And now on Friday I will be looking to play Florida. Leaves WANTED this game in Tampa and they got it. Now they have to make a short flight and play an inferior team with almost certainly a backup goalie and they might come in "fat and happy" and be very ripe for the pickin by Florida. To me it is Florida or no one Friday in this game and I will almost certainly be on Florida - especially how awful the Leaves are in Miami
 

winkyduck

TYVM Morgan William!!!
And now on Friday I will be looking to play Florida. Leaves WANTED this game in Tampa and they got it. Now they have to make a short flight and play an inferior team with almost certainly a backup goalie and they might come in "fat and happy" and be very ripe for the pickin by Florida. To me it is Florida or no one Friday in this game and I will almost certainly be on Florida - especially how awful the Leaves are in Miami
Played Panthers +115 for the reasons stated above
 
Saturday's slap shots:
#199. Montreal -120 over Philadelphia 1 unit
#200. San Jose Team Total UNDER 3.5 -145 1 unit
#201. Winnipeg -103 over Dallas 1 unit
#202. Nashville -210 over Florida 1 unit
 
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