A look inside my NHL Program for today

SSI

EOG Dedicated
#1
I was involved in an auto accident thursday evening but feeling better today.. Thought i would share a look inside my NHL program and offer a little as to how it works.. I have not abandoned the other thread.. I will pick it back up..

Lets look at the entire board..

This is how my program views todays games..

% chance to win contest..

Montreal 69%
Boston 68%
Pitt 64%
Tor 64%
Stl 64%
SJ 62%
Ott 55%
Nash 55%
Minn 54%
NJ 54%
Isles 50%
Ana 50%

We then must apply the betting line to each selection... In doing this i can determine a Value Rating for each team..

Isles (22.5)
Mont (19.4)
Ana (14.75)
Minn (10.7)
Bos (8.8)
Ott (7.75)
Pitt (4.6)
SJ (3.1)
NJ (1.1)
Stl (1.0)
Tor (-2.6)
Nash (-14.75)

Now one must determine whether to be a Value player or a player who simply wants the best % chance to win... One would lead to a higher volume of plays and the other, perhaps a simply best play to win today..

I consider Montreal (-160) the best play on the board today... The Islanders may offer the best Value once the line is considered but they only have a 50% chance to win the game today.. and today is what we should consider over any other factors.. The Islanders and TB are not going to play 100 or 1000 times today, they are going to play just once.. Now dont get me wrong, Value players should be on the Isles as well as the other higher listed Value plays..

In saying all this my Play for today will be Montreal (-160) based solely off my work..

You can see how i view each game as for "who should win" and the value placed on each...

Have a good day..


Falcon
 

SSI

EOG Dedicated
#2
Re: A look inside my NHL Program for today

Montreal came thru on Saturday as a nice 3 unit winner...

Here is my work and plays for Sunday..

%%% chance to win

Anaheim 61%
Minn 58%
Montreal 53%
Dallas 52%
SJ 52%
Ariz 51%

Now with those selections we will apply the lines and take a look at the Value chart..

Ana (-13.1) neg value
Minn (-13.4) neg value
Mont (+27.4) great value
Dallas (50.8) great value
SJ (-17.6) neg value
Ariz (+9.65) slight value


Now lets apply the value to the win %% and see if we can come up with a play or 2... No way will be ever play any negative value plays, so that quikly eliminates (ana, minn and sj)... So here is what i played for today..


Montreal (+140) 1 unit
Dallas (+190) 1 unit

2 small value plays for only 1 unit, you can contrast those to the Montreal play from yesterday which had a win %% of (69%) with a value rating of (+19.4)...

The win %%% on mont and dal are very small and that is why we are going with only a one unit play on each.. Remember we can only choose a play from the selected program choice, never on the other side..

Hoping to win one of the two tonight and turn a profit..

Good luck boys..


Falcon
 

SSI

EOG Dedicated
#3
Re: A look inside my NHL Program for today

got the split on Sunday, as expected..

here is what i have for monday...

TB (63%) chance to win

TB (26.0) value rating


my play monday


TB (+100) 2.5 units


Falcon
 

SSI

EOG Dedicated
#6
Re: A look inside my NHL Program for today

thanks Mike, got the easy winner..

my nhl plays tonight are

nash (+105) 1.5 units
nj (+105) 1.5 units
ana (-120) 1.5 units

ill try and post the work this afternoon or maybe sly can post my email from this morning..


Falcon
 

VegasVic

EOG Addicted
#7
Re: A look inside my NHL Program for today

FYI, you have someone named "Man In the mirror” in the Rx hockey forum editing, copy and pasting your NHL picks/information.
 

SSI

EOG Dedicated
#10
Re: A look inside my NHL Program for today

i thought sly may post todays email but here was the nhl work for tuesday. from many hours ago..

win %%% chart today
sj 69%
la 67%
ana 59%
nash 56%
nj 56%
det 54%
dal 52%
bos/stl 50%
wash/az 50%
pitt/mont 50%
tb/isles 50%

the 4 50% games were eliminated, program has to pick a side for me to apply the value filter to the equation..

value
sj (-8.80)
la (-5.95)
ana (10.15)
nash (14.80)
nj (12.90)
dal (-27.20)

all 3 negative values are eliminate (sj, la and dal) although i highly expect sj and la to win tonight...
det was also elimnated due to the fact of only a 54% chance to win with little value, the line was not out this morning when i ran this but i knew they would not qualify tonight..

this leaves me with the 3 plays tonight..

nash (+105) 1.5 units
nj (+105) 1.5 units
ana (-120) 1.5 units


good luck fellas..

Falcon
 

SSI

EOG Dedicated
#12
Re: A look inside my NHL Program for today

NHL SRS Program
4-3 (+4.18 units)


Play tonight

Vancouver (-135) 3 units
4.05 to win 3.00


charts

Van (68% chance to win)
NYR/Phil (50% game)

value
van (24.0)


plays will range from 1-3 units


Falcon
 

SSI

EOG Dedicated
#13
Re: A look inside my NHL Program for today

NHL SRS Program
5-3 (+7.18 units)

Plays for nov 20

TB (-135) 1.5 units
Nash (-115) 1.5 units
Wash (+100) 1.5 units
AZ (+140) 1.5 units


Win % chart
LA 68%
TB 62%
Nash 60%
Wash 60%
AZ 59%
SJ 55%
Mont 54%
Cal 53%
Winn 53%
Minn 52%
ana/van no line, eliminate this one

Value chart
LA -4.00
TB +10.70
Nash +12.00
Wash +23.00
AZ +31.60
SJ -18.45
Mont +4.80
Cal +14.55
Winn +3.65
Minn +5.60

all negative value selections are eliminated, plays range from (1-3) units.. good luck on thursday..


Falcon Sports
 

SSI

EOG Dedicated
#14
Re: A look inside my NHL Program for today

NHL SRS Program
6-6 (+3.42 units)


Plays for Nov 21

Boston (-115) 2 units
NJ (+100) 2 units


Falcon
 
#15
Re: A look inside my NHL Program for today

Are these top plays?

I am guessing either you forgot your other thread or that you want others to forget it.....touting isn't for everyone.....
 

SSI

EOG Dedicated
#16
Re: A look inside my NHL Program for today

NHL SRS Program
8-6 (+7.42 units)

Play for saturday nov 22

TB (-140) 2.5 units


My NHL record on the season is (22-14) (+17.87 units)... My thread record for NHL is posted above.. I will have my NBA SRS Program ready, the friday after Thanksgiving..


Falcon Sports
 
#17
Re: A look inside my NHL Program for today

So sad.....this tout is ignoring the other thread he started because he was losing.....Tout 101

Very typical move by losing touts...:doh1
 

SSI

EOG Dedicated
#21
Re: A look inside my NHL Program for today

NHL SRS Program
9-6 (+9.92 units)

Plays for Sunday Nov 23

Montreal (+125) 1 unit
Stl. Blues (-110) 1 unit

two small one unit plays today, plays will range from (1-3) units..


Im going to give out my NBA plays for a while as well...

NBA SRS Program
0-0 (0.00 units)
1Q Plays: 0-0 (0.00 units)

Plays for Nov 23

Golden St -8 (1 unit)
Golden St -2 (1Q) (1 unit)

I expect the 1Q plays to win at a clip of 60-65%, feel free to fade away VD... Ill discuss the programs more as we move along..


Falcon Sports
 
#23
Re: A look inside my NHL Program for today

Must be the side affects of the accident an you forgot. You've already beat the 'SRS' gimmick to death


http://forums.eog.com/showthread.php/344882-Computer-Program-SRS-Numbers-Update
http://forums.eog.com/showthread.php/355435-The-Power-of-the-SRS-Numbers
http://forums.eog.com/showthread.php/357715-Falcon-Sports-SRS-Program-Plays-(for-today)

If you're taking requests could you bring back the Totals predictor or maybe its time for the Commodity trading thing again

 

SSI

EOG Dedicated
#24
Re: A look inside my NHL Program for today

NHL SRS Program
10-7 (+9.92 units)

Play for Nov 24

Islanders (-175) 1 unit

Disappointed i didnt play this last night at (-145) (-150).. I lost almost all value with this move higher.. Ill still play it but keep it small.. Here are todays numbers, broken down from my program..

Win %%
Isles (65%)
Pitt (56%)
Det (55%)
Minn (52%)

Value chart
Isles (+3.45)
Pitt (+5.40)
Det (-12.90)
Minn (-10.45)

Ill run the NBA this afternoon and try and post them.. Split the NBA last night (1-1)...


Falcon Sports
 

SSI

EOG Dedicated
#25
Re: A look inside my NHL Program for today

NBA SRS Program
1-1 (-0.10 units)
1Q Plays: 1-0 (+1.00 units)

Plays for Nov 24

Houston -6
Houston -2 1Q
Chicago -3
Orlando +9

each for 1 unit

Falcon Sports
 

royalfan

EOG Dedicated
#26
Re: A look inside my NHL Program for today

My goodness.. Every time I come back here this piece of shit is on here with a new shitty thread trying to lure people in. This asshat has some serious screws loose. Every thread ends badly. Still going to add up his record and post it every time he makes a post. That ought to shut this dipshit up once and for all.
 
#27
Re: A look inside my NHL Program for today

NBA SRS Program
1-1 (-0.10 units)
1Q Plays: 1-0 (+1.00 units)

Plays for Nov 24

Houston -6
Houston -2 1Q
Chicago -3
Orlando +9

each for 1 unit

Falcon Sports
0-4. Golden Sombrero in NBA yesterday. Tough start.
 
#28
Re: A look inside my NHL Program for today

Time to return to top plays for SSI or Falcon.....now two threads with losing records.....

Time to pull out those GOYs and Games of the month...tout 101
 

SSI

EOG Dedicated
#31
Re: A look inside my NHL Program for today

What jokers.

Nhl srs program
11-7 (+10.92 units)

nba srs program
1-5 (-4.50 units)
1q plays: 1-1 (-0.10 units)

how is this a losing thread? Can someone not add.

Tuesday plays

nash -125 (2.5 units)
winn -105 (1 unit)
cal +150 (1 unit)

wash -4 (1 unit)
wash -1.5 (1 unit)
mil -3 (1 unit)


at least tell the truth

Falcon
 
#32
Re: A look inside my NHL Program for today

What happened to you reminding everyone to check Twitter.

Fucking donezo with that too when it went belly up

Clown

 

SSI

EOG Dedicated
#35
Re: A look inside my NHL Program for today

NHL SRS Program
13-8 (+13.42 units)

Plays for Nov 26

Minn (-135) 2.5 units

Det (-170) 1 unit

TB (-145) 1 unit


NBA SRS Program
2-7 (-5.70 units)
1Q Plays: 1-2 (-1.20 units)

Plays for Nov 26

Memphis -6.5 (1 unit)
Memphis -2 (1Q) (1 unit)
Wash +7 (1 unit)
PHX -7.5 (1 unit)


Falcon Sports
 
#38
Re: A look inside my NHL Program for today

Must be the side affects of the accident an you forgot. You've already beat the 'SRS' gimmick to death


http://forums.eog.com/showthread.php/344882-Computer-Program-SRS-Numbers-Update
http://forums.eog.com/showthread.php/355435-The-Power-of-the-SRS-Numbers
http://forums.eog.com/showthread.php/357715-Falcon-Sports-SRS-Program-Plays-(for-today)

If you're taking requests could you bring back the Totals predictor or maybe its time for the Commodity trading thing again

:LMAO

"Been working on the underdog formula for 7 years, it only plays underdogs because it's nice to hit 50% or less and still make money!"
"Been working on this over totals predictor for 5 years. Expect to hit between 57% and 59%, but it may go way over or way under that percent. My predictor prediction is actually bullshit!"
 
#39
Re: A look inside my NHL Program for today

All I want is one thread from this dude.

He had his underdog thread and it made money, and then voila, he has now made at least 2 new threads for no reason when he could have just kept tracking in that first thread.
 

SSI

EOG Dedicated
#40
Re: A look inside my NHL Program for today

The Underdog thread
194-263 (+22.95 units)

The TOP Play thread
down around 10 units

this thread
up over 4 units

I do want one question answered, why must all my stuff be in one thread.. I can go thru the eog forum here and see many different threads started by the same people.. Why doesnt everyone keep everything in one thread.. Why must it just be me?

I have never tried to sell anyone anything, im just a regular poster here.. Why should there be a different criteria for me?
 
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