Railbird vs SlipperyPete Election Contest.....
- Thread starter SlipperyPete
- Start date
winkyduck
TYVM Morgan William!!!
ZERO
IF the expected carnage comes on Tuesday it will be America raising its middle finger to this Mentally Unstable Orange Skin Psychotic Failed Businessman in a big way.
I say ZERO because the next few years and his sons Uday and Qusay as well as Daughter Cruella and INCOMPETENT S-I-L Jared are all going to be facing the full wrath of the law - one not undermined by those sucking the Orange Man's little dick. He has major tax issues he is facing and a ton of lawsuits.
November 3, 2020 will be the very last time a member of Der Fuhrer's family ever runs again for public office. 100% LOCK on that.
ON Tuesday Americans have a choice to make at the polls: #AmericaOrTrump - for our sake the right choice better be made
TheGuesser
EOG Dedicated
What is less than Zero, Alex?
TheGuesser
EOG Dedicated
There is a GIANT hole in the market for a SANE, Conservative leaning Cable news station. If the Idiot gets swamped as the math indicates, someone smart will fill that hole.
TheGuesser
EOG Dedicated
Yeah, he does. https://twitter.com/thetweetofgod?lang=en
railbird
EOG Master
TheGuesser
EOG Dedicated
Trafalgar becomes THE Go to polling company if they are right. And out of business if they're spectacularly wrong. If they election is fair and honest, the latter is likely.
Sportsrmylife
EOG Master
A perfect person to run the country.
If he gets some money behind him before 2022 he could be a good bet
Bushay
NHL Expert
He looks important besides the Orville Reddenbachar look. Even Fox News thinks he's another kook.
Nice fact-based opinion Robert!!
IWishIWasAPro
EOG Master
This thread is awesome.
TheGuesser
EOG Dedicated
One of the first things I learned in my adult life, as I went off into the working world, and it's served me well. NEVER EVER EVER trust someone who wears a bow tie on the regular. They think their Shit don't stink..and they are entirely FOS.He looks important besides the Orville Reddenbachar look. Even Fox News thinks he's another kook.
Nice fact-based opinion Robert!!
fifty cint
EOG Dedicated
Wade
EOG Master
railbird showed that old guy who the boss was
railbird
EOG Master
Robert Barnes@RobertBarnes
1 hour ago
Reports of very low voter turnout in black urban precincts in Philadelphia, Cleveland and Milwaukee.
Much more interesting for the contest are the breakeven margins (i.e % with no advantage) for the conflict states (point at which Rail's margin diff = Pete's margin diff):
AZ D by 0.55
MI D by 3.45
MN D by 3.95
NC D by 0.15
PA D by 1.55
and
FLA R by 1.15
GA R by 1.1
Last edited:
railbird
EOG Master
Nevada will finish closer to ZERO than GA or NC
Update, executive summary:
With 21 of the 40 states having 85% or more of the precincts in (all have 50% or more and 12 have 99%), Rail has increased his lead with a total deviation of actual from estimated % of 134.4% (average 3.36% per state) to Pete's 238.5% (average 5.96% per state). Best state so far for Rail is Texas at 0.04% off, for Pete with Arizona at 0.22% off (but Az is changing fast).
So far Rail has the better estimate in 30 states, Pete in 10. Rail closer in 5 of the 7 "conflict states", all but AZ and MN.
With 21 of the 40 states having 85% or more of the precincts in (all have 50% or more and 12 have 99%), Rail has increased his lead with a total deviation of actual from estimated % of 134.4% (average 3.36% per state) to Pete's 238.5% (average 5.96% per state). Best state so far for Rail is Texas at 0.04% off, for Pete with Arizona at 0.22% off (but Az is changing fast).
So far Rail has the better estimate in 30 states, Pete in 10. Rail closer in 5 of the 7 "conflict states", all but AZ and MN.
Viejo Dinosaur
EOG Master
How did that work out?
railbird
EOG Master
There will be litigation, we will find out in December maybe later
Viejo Dinosaur
EOG Master
What a surprise....violence starting in Oregon.....
railbird
EOG Master
Thanks for officiating Bob, your the best.