2021 MLB thread

Valuist

EOG Master
cardinals vs. padres starting friday for 3 games ...could decide the last WC in the national league

Interesting spot for San Diego. They had been going bad but finally won L2 games of the series in San Francisco. But at what cost? Velasquez is going today. He has been terrible this year for Philly. Look at their pen. Closer Melancon has pitched each of the last 3 days, Pagan last 2 days, and four other pitchers pitched both yesterday and Tuesday.
 

MrTop

EOG Master
Interesting spot for San Diego. They had been going bad but finally won L2 games of the series in San Francisco. But at what cost? Velasquez is going today. He has been terrible this year for Philly. Look at their pen. Closer Melancon has pitched each of the last 3 days, Pagan last 2 days, and four other pitchers pitched both yesterday and Tuesday.



a closer means something in price when betting but the score of the game means more. A 7 run lead either way takes the closer right out of it. Both teams are hurting.. the cards will not see musgrove in rotation.


cards are -145 series.
 

kane

EOG master
I grabbed the cards last night at -112 and felt like I was stealing. Wake up today and its hardly moved? Thought for sure this would end up in the -145 -150 range.
I agree, the pitching matchup favors the Cards bigly, I thought the game would open around 135-140, it almost feels a bit trappish to lay the small price with St Louis
 

Valuist

EOG Master
I'm surprised the line on St Louis today is around -114 to -115. Yes, Happ was terrible in his last 10 starts with the Twins but he really only has had two poor starts out of 8 with St. Louis. Meanwhile Arrieta is likely at the end of the line. He had a great run from 2014-2017 with the Cubs but since 2019 he's been awful. Here's his yearly ERAs:

2014: 2.53
2015: 1.77
2016: 3.10
2017: 3.53
2018: 3.96
2019: 4.64
2020: 5.08
2021: 7.05

And we have two teams clearly headed in opposite directions: St Louis has won 7 straight and 9 out of their last 10. San Diego has been sliding for quite a while; 10-24 in their last 34.

And the linemaker is pricing this like a tossup, giving 15 cents or so for HFA to St Louis. If you are only looking at football, you are missing out.
 

Valuist

EOG Master
Is Ohtani wearing down? The pitcher Ohtani? Maybe a bit. The hitter Ohtani? Huge falloff. Here's his hitting slash lines:

thru July 31: .278 BA .369 OBP .682 SP 1.051 OPS 176 WRC+
since Aug 1: .208 BA .335 OBP .382 SP .717 OPS 93 WRC+

No Trout, Rendon, Adell or Upton and Ohtani about half the hitter he was. How does this team score?
 

ouch

EOG Veteran
If you're the Yankees, you are allowed to lose back-to-back games to Cleveland in the middle of a wildcard scramble.

You're not allowed to be crushed 11-3 and 11-1.

Let the debate begin......who's the Yankee manager in 2022? (because it's not going to be the incumbent)
 

FairWarning

Bells Beer Connoisseur
Is Ohtani wearing down? The pitcher Ohtani? Maybe a bit. The hitter Ohtani? Huge falloff. Here's his hitting slash lines:

thru July 31: .278 BA .369 OBP .682 SP 1.051 OPS 176 WRC+
since Aug 1: .208 BA .335 OBP .382 SP .717 OPS 93 WRC+

No Trout, Rendon, Adell or Upton and Ohtani about half the hitter he was. How does this team score?
Have to wonder how much of a lock aohtani is to win the MVP now. One of the VSIN talking heads suggested to buy him at 1/6 a month ago.
 
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